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Poll: Fed to cut fed funds rate at least once this year, said 48 of 101 economists (71 of 103 in April poll)

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Poll: Fed to cut fed funds rate at least once this year, said 48 of 101 economists (71 of 103 in April poll)

Kevin Warsh has been confirmed as the new chairman of the US Federal Reserve. While he asserts commitment to the Fed's independence, concerns arise about potential government influence. Warsh has criticized the Fed's interest rate strategies, reflecting some of President Trump's views, which may impact bond investors.

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What bond investors should know about a Warsh-led Federal Reserve

NY Fed's Perli: Future Fed reserve management bill buying driven by market conditions.

NY Fed's Perli: Future Fed reserve management bill buying driven by market conditions.

Americans are worried about the job market despite positive GDP growth.

Americans are right to worry about the job market

Economist Justin Wolfers cautioned that ongoing Middle East tensions could pose political risks for Republicans ahead of the November midterm elections, as rising oil prices and Treasury yields pressure the U.S. economy. He questioned when Congress would intervene to protect their positions, noting that the conflict has led to significant oil supply losses and increased inflationary conditions.

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Justin Wolfers Warns 'Mess' In Middle East Will Continue Through The Midterms, Wonders If Republicans In Congress Will 'Step In' To Save Their Jobs

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Kevin Warsh will be sworn in as the U.S. Federal Reserve chair on Friday by President Trump, succeeding Jerome Powell. Warsh's confirmation faced delays due to a criminal probe involving Powell. He takes charge amid rising inflation, influenced by Trump's tariffs and geopolitical tensions. Warsh's first rate-setting meeting is in mid-June, where he may confront pressures for a more hawkish stance on monetary policy as inflation concerns grow.

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Warsh to be sworn in as Fed chair at White House on Friday

Trump is urging Congress to suspend the federal gas tax of 18.4 cents per gallon for gasoline and 24.3 cents for diesel amid rising fuel prices. Studies indicate that consumers typically see only about 79% of gas tax cuts, resulting in minimal price drops. Democrats argue that weakening fuel economy standards could lead to increased fuel consumption, higher costs, and negative impacts on air quality.

Trump seeks gas tax suspension amid record fuel prices

The AI boom has led to record spending, with top tech firms projected to invest $800B this year, increasing to $1.1T next year, representing over 3% of GDP. However, this growth has deepened economic divides, as around 10,000 AI insiders have gained over $20M each, while most workers see minimal benefits. Additionally, the AI gains obscure underlying economic issues such as tariffs, war, and sluggish consumer spending.

AI boom fuels record spending but deepens economic divide

Vice President JD Vance asserts that the Trump administration is making progress in strengthening the U.S. economy, with signs of wage growth and economic improvement following challenges inherited from the Biden administration. He acknowledges ongoing economic concerns, including inflation and cost of living, while emphasizing the administration's focus on long-term prosperity, job creation, and reducing inflationary pressures. The economic performance remains a key political issue as the nation approaches the next election cycle.

JD Vance says Trump economy is ‘digging out’ from Biden era

Treasury yields have surged to multi-year highs, with the 30-year yield exceeding 5.1% and the 10-year at 4.6%, driven by inflation concerns. Futures markets indicate a strong likelihood of a Fed rate hike by early 2027, potentially as soon as December. These higher yields could increase mortgage and corporate borrowing costs, negatively impact stocks, and slow economic growth.

Bond yields hit highs as Fed hike bets surge

Dow Jones Transportation Average(.DJT.US)

Poll: Fed to cut fed funds rate at least once this year, said 48 of 101 economists (71 of 103 in April poll)

What bond investors should know about a Warsh-led Federal Reserve

NY Fed's Perli: Future Fed reserve management bill buying driven by market conditions.

Americans are right to worry about the job market

Justin Wolfers Warns 'Mess' In Middle East Will Continue Through The Midterms, Wonders If Republicans In Congress Will 'Step In' To Save Their Jobs

Warsh to be sworn in as Fed chair at White House on Friday

Trump seeks gas tax suspension amid record fuel prices

AI boom fuels record spending but deepens economic divide

JD Vance says Trump economy is ‘digging out’ from Biden era

Bond yields hit highs as Fed hike bets surge