- On April 8, 2026, China Aluminum announced a projected net profit of 5.302 to 5.585 billion yuan for Q1, a year-on-year increase of 50% to 58%, marking the highest level historically for the same period.
- The company's performance benefits from improved production efficiency and cost control, with utilization rates markedly reducing marginal costs.
- Additionally, the increase in self-mining rates enhances bargaining power for raw materials, decreasing procurement costs and mitigating supply chain risks amid a tightening global resource competition.
- The global aluminum market is facing significant supply disruptions due to an attack on Emirates Global Aluminium's Abu Dhabi facility, which may take up to 12 months to fully recover.
- The attack has resulted in over a 10% increase in aluminum prices on the London Metal Exchange since the onset of the Iran conflict, compounded by already low global inventory levels.
- Additional damage from a similar attack on Aluminium Bahrain's facility adds to concerns about supply, leading to heightened market apprehension regarding future aluminum availability.
- Aluminium Bahrain BSC (Alba) has begun phased shutdowns of three production lines, affecting 19% of its total capacity due to disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
- The shutdown aims to ensure operational stability and optimize existing raw material inventory usage amid an ongoing supply chain crisis affecting the entire Middle East aluminum industry.
- Alba is exploring alternative supply channels as a proactive measure while managing operational capital and signaling that the production cuts are reversible once the supply chain issues are resolved.
- The Middle East conflict has entered its seventh day, severely impacting the global aluminum market with major smelters announcing production halts due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
- JPMorgan identifies the situation as a critical supply-driven event horizon, predicting aluminum prices could surge towards $4,000 per ton if production cuts persist.
- By March 6, LME aluminum prices rose to $3,313 per ton, marking the highest level since 2022, amidst forecasts of increasing supply gaps and tightening inventory conditions.
- The conflict between the U.S. and Iran has disrupted the global aluminum market, with the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz causing a supply chain crisis and warnings of potential large-scale force majeure declarations.
- Aluminium Bahrain BSC (Alba) has invoked force majeure clauses due to this disruption, leading to a 4% rise in London aluminum prices, the highest since November 2024.
- As a major supplier in the region, Alba's shipping capabilities have been directly impacted, with manufacturers facing potential supply shortages in Europe, Asia, and the U.S. due to ongoing logistical challenges.