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JGBs fell in early Tokyo trade, tracking overnight price declines in U.S.

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JGBs fall, tracking declines in US Treasurys

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Japanese 30-year government bond yields rose 6 basis points to 3.655%

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Japanese 10-year government bond yields rose 1.5 basis points to 2.380%

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Markets are anticipating a 70% probability of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan at its April meeting, as indicated by Tomohisa Fujiki of Citi Research. This expectation has caused the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to rise by 2 basis points to 2.400%, the highest level since February 1999.

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Bank of Japan Rate Hike Probability Rises to 70% for April Meeting

On April 6th local time, the yield on newly issued 10-year Japanese government bonds, a benchmark for long-term interest rates, rose to 2.400%, the highest level since February 1999. (Jinshi)

The yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds reached a new high since 1999.

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The Japanese stock market faced a "Black Monday" due to the escalation of the Middle East situation and rising oil prices, closing down 2.79% on March 30. Bond market yields rose, with the 20-year government bond reaching 3.308%. The yen continued to weaken against the dollar, maintaining a rate of 1 to 159.7. Experts from Fudan University pointed out that the current "triple kill" situation of stocks, bonds, and exchange rates reflects the fragility of the Japanese economy, with increasing risks of stagflation. Market expectations for interest rate hikes have warmed, but the central bank governor has not made a clear commitment to raise rates, indicating a policy dilemma

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Japan's stocks, bonds, and currency face a "triple kill," as foreign capital flees

The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 2.310%

Japan's central bank has reduced its holdings of government bonds, with the proportion falling to 43.1% at the end of December from 44.2% in September. This decline is attributed to decreased bond-buying operations and a drop in market value due to rising bond yields. Economist Tsuyoshi Ueno from NLI Research Institute noted that while the Bank of Japan still holds a significant portion of long-term government bonds, its market influence is diminishing.

Japan's Central Bank Reduces Holdings of Government Bonds

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JGB futures edged higher in early Tokyo trade, tracking overnight price gains in U.S. Treasury market.

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