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This article identifies 15 S&P 500 stocks that have declined this year despite rising earnings estimates, presenting potential opportunities for long-term investors. The S&P 500 has gained 7.4% in 2026, driven by a few companies, while many others have seen market cap declines. Analysts suggest these stocks may offer attractive entry points, with some, like Palantir, showing high growth projections despite high valuations.

- The S&P 500 has increased by 7.4% in 2026, largely driven by a few companies, while nearly half of its constituents have seen stock declines.  
- Among these decliners, significant increases in earnings estimates suggest potential long-term investment opportunities, especially for companies like Palantir and Schwab.  
- A technical analyst argues that the momentum trade will persist, prompting a focus on identifying stocks with rising earnings expectations despite falling prices.

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SCHWAB(CHARLES)CORP 4.450% DEP SHS REP 1/40TH N-CUM PFD SERJ

These 15 S&P 500 stocks could be contrarian ways to play the market's uneven rally

AVUV

IUSG

SPXL

SCHG

The S&P 500 has gained 8.5% year-to-date, rebounding from early losses despite geopolitical and inflationary challenges. With inflation reaching a three-year high, the likelihood of Fed rate hikes has increased, shifting expectations from cuts. Key sectors to monitor include energy, financials, and real estate, which may excel if inflation remains elevated and the Fed tightens its policy.

- The S&P 500 has rebounded with an 8.5% gain after early-year declines amid geopolitical and inflationary challenges.  
- As inflation reaches a three-year high, the probability of rate hikes by the Fed has increased, changing previous expectations for rate cuts.  
- The energy, financials, and real estate sectors are likely to outperform if inflation remains elevated and the Fed continues to tighten its policy.

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Markets weigh Fed hike risk as S&P 500 gains 8.5% YTD

U.S. stocks are expected to experience further weakness in early trading, with major index futures indicating a lower open. The S&P 500 futures are down by 0.5 percent, and technology stocks may face additional declines due to valuation concerns following recent record highs.

- Stock futures indicate a lower open for the markets, with the S&P 500 futures down by 0.5 percent.  
- There are concerns about technology stock valuations following a recent surge to record highs.  
- The markets may witness further downside in early trading on Tuesday.

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Direxion S&P 500 Bear 3X

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U.S. Stocks May See Continued Weakness In Early Trading

The S&P 500 fell 0.67% as major U.S. indexes declined due to rising bond yields, with the 30-year Treasury yield reaching 5.20%, the highest since 2007. This surge raises concerns about ongoing restrictive Federal Reserve policies. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and oil price fluctuations are contributing to investor caution ahead of important earnings reports.

S&P 500 drops as 30-year yield hits 19-year high

The S&P 500 has achieved its seventh consecutive weekly gain, marking only the 40th occurrence since 1928. Historically, this trend suggests strong future returns, with annualized gains exceeding the long-term average of 10%. Despite potential economic concerns, robust corporate earnings growth supports continued momentum, with expectations of a 27.7% year-over-year earnings increase in Q1 2026. Historical data indicates that such winning streaks often lead to further gains, making it a favorable time for investment.

- The S&P 500 has recorded its seventh consecutive weekly gain, marking a rare occurrence that has only happened 40 times since 1928.  
- Historically, strong forward-looking returns follow such streaks, with annualized returns exceeding the long-term average of 10%, supported by robust corporate earnings growth.  
- Despite potential economic risks, the underlying fundamentals suggest continued upward momentum for the S&P 500.

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Intel

The S&P 500 Just Completed Its 7th Straight Up Week. History Says It's Still Time to Buy.

RBC forecasts the S&P 500 index to reach 7,900 points in 12 months, suggesting a 7.7% upside. The bank warns of potential market pullbacks of 5% to 10%, but a significant decline of 14% to 20% is unlikely unless recession risks emerge. This outlook is based on AI-driven earnings growth, with risks from inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical factors. RBC remains optimistic about the U.S. stock market and growth stocks.

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STOCKS | RBC Forecasts S&P 500 to Reach 7,900 Points in 12 Months

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ONEQ

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Analysts caution that the U.S. stock market may be underestimating risks from inflation and geopolitical instability, particularly with rising bond yields. While strong corporate earnings and AI-driven growth support equities, concerns about high energy prices and the ongoing conflict in Iran pose significant risks. Investors are increasingly aware of potential shocks to the market, especially if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, which could lead to a new inflation regime. The S&P 500 is currently trading at elevated valuations, raising concerns about future growth.

- Investors are concerned that U.S. stock markets have not accounted for rising inflation and increasing bond yields, which could negatively impact equity valuations.  
- Despite a rebound in U.S. stock indexes due to strong earnings and AI-driven optimism, there are fears that persistent inflation and geopolitical issues, particularly the ongoing conflict in Iran, may lead to economic slowdown.  
- The current market conditions highlight a potential risk as the prices of oil and other commodities remain high, suggesting that the economy could face long-term challenges if inflation persists.

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First Trust NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted

Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index ETF

Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF

Janus Henderson

T. Rowe Price

Analysis-Bond yield spike is risk to unprepared equities market, investors warn

CSCO

Polymarket traders predict a lower opening for the S&P 500 on May 15, 2026, following a record close above 7,500. Despite a 0.77% rise to 7,501.24, concerns over stretched valuations and market concentration persist. Strong corporate earnings, particularly from Cisco Systems, support equities, but strategists warn of dependence on a few tech stocks. S&P 500 futures are down 0.37%, indicating potential caution among investors amid geopolitical risks and inflation concerns.

- The S&P 500 closed at a record 7,501.24 on Thursday but Polymarket traders expect it to open lower on Friday due to concerns over valuations and ongoing U.S.-China summit developments.  
- Market gains have been driven largely by technology stocks, with some investors wary of a narrow rally as geopolitical risks and inflation concerns loom.  
- Despite strong corporate earnings supporting equities, S&P 500 futures were down 0.37% early Friday, signaling potential market volatility ahead.

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Cisco

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Global X Internet

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Direxion Daily CSCO Bull 2X Shares

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iShares Semiconductor ETF

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Shutterstock

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down Today?

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.DJI

US equity indexes declined as Treasury yields surged and crude oil prices rose, with the Nasdaq Composite down 1.2% and both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.9%. The market reacted to mixed messages from the US-China summit regarding the Iran war and energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury yields increased significantly, with the 10-year at 4.59% and West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures rising 4% to $105.23.

- US equity indexes declined as government bond yields surged and crude oil futures increased amid investor reactions to the China summit.  
- The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.2% to 26,321.9, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both losing 0.9%.  
- A summit between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping produced mixed signals, leading to speculation about US-China negotiations impacting the Iran conflict and energy flow through the Strait of Hormuz.

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VanEck Oil Services ETF

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ING Groep

US Equity Indexes Drop as Soaring Treasury Yields, Surging Crude Oil Hit Risk Sentiment

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Trimming your stocks amid recent market rotations could be a smart choice, per Jim Cramer’s advice.

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Jim Cramer is trimming stocks as the S&P hits 'extremely overbought' territory — should you do the same?

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