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Trump is back. Let's talk about the possible impact on domestic industries and tax reduction policies.a. For current tech giants (except $Tesla(TSLA.US)), it's short-term bearish but may turn neutral in the long run. These tech giants essentially achieved their commercial imperialism under the globalist umbrella woven by the Democrats. Trump's return to American nativism isn't favorable for them. Fortunately, these tech giants' business moats allow them to grow independently without relying on their home country's protection, so the pressure isn't too severe.b. However, domestic corporate tax cuts combined with interest rate reductions are actually beneficial for tech giants' EPS.So when offsetting both directions, it feels short-term neutral-to-bearish, long-term neutral-to-bullish. $NASDAQ Composite Index(.IXIC.US) c. For traditional industries, whether it's defense (Republican defense spending is generally high) or traditional energy (reducing green energy subsidies, not prematurely accelerating green energy penetration), it's clearly bullish for Dow Jones-represented traditional sectors. $ProShares Ultra Dow30 ETF(DDM.US)

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Due to companies often raising prices at the beginning of the year, the CPI tends to rise in January, but this January, the core CPI growth rate hit a nearly five-year low. Although housing prices continue to rise and consumer goods such as clothing and computers show signs of tariff impacts, prices in politically sensitive categories like gasoline, beef, and eggs have fallen, with disinflationary pressures expected to dominate in the coming months. Goldman Sachs believes that the Federal Reserve's path to "normalizing" interest rate cuts depends on whether employment continues to improve, and still expects two rate cuts this year, the first in June. Traders expect the CPI to peak around mid-year and then decline, consistent with expectations for the first rate cut in June or July

- In January, U.S. inflation data showed a moderate increase, with core CPI growth dropping to its lowest level in nearly five years, easing price pressures.  
- The Labor Department reported a 2.4% year-on-year increase in CPI, below expectations and previous month's growth; markets reacted favorably, raising expectations for three interest rate cuts from the Fed this year.  
- Despite some persistent price pressures in services, overall inflation trends indicate a significant cooling, potentially allowing the Fed to adjust its policies in the near future.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average

How does Wall Street view the January CPI? Inflation concerns take a breather, and the probability of three rate cuts this year rises to fifty percent

.SPX

FNCL

On Friday (February 13), the usage scale of the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) was USD 377 million (with 3 counterparties), compared to USD 2.844 billion on the previous trading day

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The article discusses the Federal Reserve's unexpected actions of cutting rates and printing money despite a strong economy, questioning if these measures indicate an impending AI-induced depression. Microsoft’s AI division CEO, Mustafa Suleyman, predicts that AI will automate many professional tasks within 12 to 18 months, potentially impacting the economy negatively. The article highlights the K-shaped economy, where the top 10% of earners drive consumer spending, and raises concerns about job losses due to AI advancements and their implications for the economy.

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Is The Fed Intervening Because An AI-Induced Depression Is Just Around The Corner?

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The recent economic data showed the U.S. added 130,000 jobs in January, with unemployment at 4.3% and a 2.4% rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). While these figures seem positive, deeper analysis reveals concerns, particularly as most new jobs were in government-funded sectors. Additionally, inflation may be understated due to previous government shutdown impacts, with estimates suggesting it could be closer to 2.7%. This uncertainty may lead the Federal Reserve to be cautious about interest rate cuts, indicating that the economic outlook is not as straightforward as it appears.

- The January economic data indicates the addition of 130,000 jobs, a decrease in unemployment to 4.3%, and a 2.4% rise in the Consumer Price Index.  
- While these figures appear positive, the underlying details reveal challenges, particularly in job growth reliant on government funding and potential inaccuracies in inflation data due to a past government shutdown.  
- As inflation may be higher than reported, the Federal Reserve could remain cautious about interest rate adjustments, leaving the economic outlook uncertain despite some favorable trends.

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The Market Got Everything it Could Have Wanted From January's CPI and Jobs Reports, But the Devil is in the Details

Wall Street stocks mostly rose while Treasury yields fell following cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data for January, which showed a 2.4% increase in the Consumer Price Index. This has fueled expectations for at least two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. The Dow Jones rose 0.10%, and the S&P 500 increased by 0.14%, while the Nasdaq dipped slightly. The U.S. dollar edged higher, and Bitcoin gained 4.16%. Additionally, reports suggest President Trump may reduce tariffs on steel and aluminum, impacting prices.

- Wall Street stocks were mostly higher following U.S. inflation data for January, which came in softer than expected, supporting hopes for interest rate cuts.  
- The U.S. Consumer Price Index increased by 2.4% annually, slightly below the anticipated 2.5%, increasing expectations for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.  
- Treasury yields fell, while the Dow and S&P 500 rose, though the Nasdaq declined amid ongoing concerns regarding artificial intelligence disruption.

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Stocks mostly edge higher, yields fall in wake of US inflation data

U.S. businesses and consumers have borne approximately 90% of the costs associated with President Trump’s tariffs, according to a report by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The study indicates that in the first 11 months of 2025, 94% of the economic burden fell on Americans, contradicting Trump's claims that foreign companies would pay the tariffs. The average tariff rate rose from 2.6% to 13% in 2025. The report also highlights bipartisan criticism of Trump's tariff policies, with some Republicans opposing new tariffs on Canada.

- A recent report from the New York Federal Reserve indicates that U.S. businesses and consumers bear about 90% of the costs associated with tariffs imposed by President Trump.  
- The study finds that most of the tariff burden was transferred to the American public in the first 11 months of 2025, contradicting Trump's claims that foreign companies would pay the import taxes.  
- The report also highlights a significant increase in the average tariff rate, rising from 2.6% to 13%, with ongoing criticisms of Trump's tariff policies from both foreign opponents and bipartisan U.S. lawmakers.

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US business, consumers bore 90 percent of Trump tariff costs: NY Fed

UDOW

U.S. inflation eased, with the January CPI rising 2.4% year-on-year, lower than expected, driving a rebound in U.S. stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 367 points at one point before recovering, ultimately rising by 61 points. Market expectations for a rate cut in June have increased to 66%. Experts believe that the slowdown in inflation is beneficial for the U.S. stock bull market, predicting two rate cuts this year, the earliest in June

- U.S. inflation eased further, with the January consumer price index (CPI) rising 2.4% year-on-year, below expectations.  
- This data triggered a rebound in U.S. stocks, with the Dow Jones rising over 50 points after initially falling 367 points.  
- Analysts suggest the CPI data clarifies the path for interest rate cuts, with expectations for two cuts this year, potentially starting in June.

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U.S. inflation falls again, market expects rate cut as early as June; Dow Jones drops over 300 points in early trading before rebounding

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 152 points, or 0.3%, due to declines in shares of Goldman Sachs and 3M. Goldman Sachs shares fell by $22.31 (2.5%), while 3M's shares decreased by $2.70 (1.6%), contributing to a combined 154-point decline. Other companies like NVIDIA, Verizon, and Cisco also impacted the index's performance. A $1 change in any component of the Dow results in a 6.16-point swing.

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Goldman Sachs, 3M Share Losses Lead Dow's 150-Point Drop

Wall Street remained mostly unchanged as traders awaited retail inflation data. The S&P 500 and Dow were flat, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.2%. The January Consumer Price Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.2%, below the 0.3% consensus, and a year-over-year increase of 2.4%, also below the 2.5% consensus and down from 2.7% in December.

- The stock market remained stable on Friday as traders anticipated important retail inflation data.  
- The S&P 500 and the Dow reported no significant change, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.2%.  
- January's Consumer Price Index showed a monthly increase of 0.2%, below the expected 0.3%, and an annual increase of 2.4%, also lower than the consensus of 2.5%.

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Wall Street little changed as inflation report comes in cooler

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Feb 13 (Reuters) - Wall Street’s main indexes were muted on Friday, with communication services weighing as markets assessed softer-than-expected inflation data that kept Federal Reserve rate cut hopes intact.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 12.4 points, or 0.03%, at the open to 49,439.58. The S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 1.5 points, or 0.02%, at the open to 6,834.27​, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 35.7 points, or 0.16%, to 22,561.456 at the opening bell.

- Wall Street's main indexes showed muted performance as markets reacted to softer-than-expected inflation data.  
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 12.4 points to 49,439.58, while the S&P 500 rose by 1.5 points to 6,834.27.  
- The Nasdaq Composite dropped 35.7 points to 22,561.456 at the opening bell.

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US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Wall St muted as markets assess softer-than-expected inflation data

The Federal Reserve will hire Guynn as the top supervisor of the banking regulatory department. (Reuters)

The upcoming release of the December core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index on February 20th is anticipated to provide insights into the Federal Reserve's inflation targets. US Treasury Secretary Bessant suggested inflation might approach the Fed's 2% target by mid-year, referencing the PCE index. The latest available data shows a core PCE inflation rate of 2.8% for November, with forecasts for December also at 2.8%. Historically, CPI increases have been about 0.5 percentage points higher than PCE increases.

CoinLive

Analysis: The PCE data to be released next Friday will provide clues as to whether the Federal Reserve has achieved its inflation target.

The Dow Jones is expected to open higher following a report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicating that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% in January, below the anticipated 0.3%. Year-over-year, CPI increased by 2.4%, also under the expected 2.5%, marking the slowest growth since May. This news suggests a cooling inflation rate, which may positively impact market sentiment.

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Dow Jones Climbs as CPI Inflation Cools to 9-Month Low

Equity index futures are down pre-bell as investors react to inflation data and tech stock concerns. Dow and S&P 500 futures fell 0.2%, while Nasdaq futures dropped 0.3%. January CPI decreased to 2.4% year-on-year. Oil prices also declined, with Brent crude at $67.39 per barrel. Global markets are down, with Japan's Nikkei 225 falling 1.2% and Europe's indices trending lower. Rivian Automotive shares rose 20% after a positive earnings report, while Pinterest and Wendy's saw significant declines due to missed targets and downgrades.

- Investors displayed caution ahead of market opening as tech stocks experienced a downturn, affecting global markets.  
- Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures were down by 0.2%, 0.2%, and 0.3% respectively, while January CPI decreased to 2.4% year-on-year.  
- Notable premarket movements included Rivian Automotive shares rising about 20% after an earnings report, while Pinterest and Wendy's faced declines of 20% and over 6% respectively due to missed targets and downgrades.

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Equity Index Futures Pre-Bell Down as Investors Balk Amid Inflation Report, Tech Worries

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Following the release of the CPI data, expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 have risen to 61 basis points, up from a previous estimate of 58 basis points. (Jinshi)

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Following the release of the CPI data, expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 have risen to 61 basis points.

Yes, a lot of counters surged today, bringing life back to the market!

Feb 11 (Reuters) - Wall Street’s main indexes opened higher on Wednesday following a stronger-than-expected jobs data that pointed to a resilient U.S. economy, while the unemployment rate ticked lower for January.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 55.0 points, or 0.11%, to 50,243.15 at the open. The S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 34.7 points, or 0.50%, to 6,976.48​, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) rose 175.8 points, or 0.76%, to 23,278.29.

- Wall Street's main indexes opened higher following stronger-than-expected jobs data, indicating a resilient U.S. economy.  
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 55.0 points to 50,243.15, while the S&P 500 increased by 34.7 points to 6,976.48.  
- The Nasdaq Composite also grew by 175.8 points, reaching 23,278.29 as the unemployment rate ticked lower for January.

US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Wall St gains after stronger-than-expected jobs report

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Donald J. Trump Truth Social Post 05:17 PM EST 02.06.26The “Experts” said that if I hit 50,000 on the Dow by the end of my Term, I would have done a great job, but I hit 50,000 today, three years ahead of schedule — Remember that for the Midterms, because the Democrats will CRASH the Economy!

US stocks opened with the Dow down 0.1%, the Nasdaq flat, Nvidia down 0.03%, Tesla up 0.4%, and Novo Nordisk surging 9.6%

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What new insights can the expert share this week!

AllIn Call

US stocks were really a &#34;tale of two extremes&#34; today 🥶🔥 The Dow Jones hit a new high of 46,924 points, with consumer and industrial stocks leading the charge. Both 3M and Coca-Cola reported better-than-expected earnings 👏 But tech stocks underperformed, with Nvidia, Alphabet, and Broadcom weakening, and the Nasdaq dipping slightly… Isn’t this unusual? 🤔 Even more shocking, gold plunged 5.7% in a single day, signaling a sharp retreat in safe-haven demand ⚡️👉 The contrast reveals: 1️⃣ Blue-chip, consumer, and defensive stocks have become &#34;safe havens for capital&#34; 2️⃣ High-valuation tech stocks face short-term pressure...

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Dow hits new high🔥Tech stocks fall? 3 key signals to watch!