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China's economy is under pressure as the ongoing Iran war threatens its 4.5% growth target. Experts warn that rising oil prices are impacting export growth and domestic demand, particularly in the plastics sector. The conflict has led to increased shipping costs and reduced consumer spending in Southeast Asia, affecting China's export shipments. Additionally, domestic demand is faltering, with car sales declining significantly. Analysts predict that the energy crisis will further strain China's economic recovery, impacting both exports and consumer confidence.

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Iran War Threatens China's 4.5 Percent Growth Target: Analysts

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The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8414, a key indicator in Asian foreign exchange markets. The PBOC operates a managed floating exchange rate system, allowing the yuan to trade within a 2% band around a daily midpoint. This midpoint is influenced by various factors, including previous closing prices and economic conditions. The fixing serves as a policy signal, indicating the PBOC's stance on currency strength or weakness, especially during global volatility.

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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8414 – Reuters estimate

Greater China's private equity market is recovering, but fundraising remains selective and performance-driven due to geopolitical uncertainties. According to Bain & Co.'s report, capital is flowing to fewer opportunities, particularly in sectors with strong investor conviction. Yuan-denominated funds are now the primary source of new capital, while US dollar-denominated fundraising has declined. Deal volume and exit values have increased, with total exit value reaching approximately US$53 billion in 2025. Top-performing fund managers are attracting more capital, emphasizing the need for differentiation and consistent execution in a competitive environment.

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Greater China private equity set for patchy recovery, modest fundraising boost

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The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8112, a key indicator in Asian foreign exchange markets. The PBOC operates a managed floating exchange rate system, allowing the yuan to trade within a 2% band around a daily midpoint. This midpoint is influenced by various factors, including previous closing prices and economic conditions. The fixing serves as a policy signal, with a stronger midpoint indicating resistance to depreciation, while a weaker rate may suggest tolerance for a softer currency. The fixing's significance increases during global volatility, providing insights into China's currency priorities.

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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8112 – Reuters estimate

The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate.more to come

PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 6.8582 (vs. estimate at 6.8096)

Portugal has become the first euro-area nation to issue bonds in the offshore renminbi market, securing around €250 million. This strategic move aims to diversify funding sources and marks a significant step in exploring financial alternatives beyond euro-denominated bonds. The decision highlights the increasing importance of the Chinese currency in global finance and may encourage other European countries to adopt similar strategies.

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Portugal Enters Offshore Renminbi Bond Market to Diversify Funding

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8173, a key indicator in Asian foreign exchange markets. The PBOC operates a managed floating exchange rate system, allowing the yuan to trade within a 2% band around a daily midpoint. This midpoint is influenced by various factors, including previous closing prices and economic conditions. The fixing serves as a policy signal, indicating the PBOC's stance on currency strength or weakness, especially during periods of global volatility.

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8173 – Reuters estimate

The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate.Earlier:ING turns bullish on Chinese yuan, shifts USD/CNY forecast lower to 6.70–7.05more to come

PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 6.8649 (vs. estimate at 6.8315)

Yuan is expected to strengthen to around 6.8 per USD in Q2, defying typical seasonal weakness due to strong trade performance and a widening surplus. Analysts from TD Securities and Credit Agricole CIB highlight China's large FX reserves and limited exposure to energy shocks as key supports. The yuan has already gained approximately 3% in Q1 against peers, and is increasingly viewed as a regional safe-haven despite geopolitical volatility, particularly from the Iran conflict. This outlook suggests a shift in the yuan's behavior, benefiting from strong fundamentals and external balances.

Yuan seen strengthening to 6.8 as China resilience offsets seasonal weakness

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