Kurv Yield Premium Strategy Netflix NFLX ETF

$Intel(INTC.US)

context: There are rumor that Sk Hynix going to setup a manufacturing facility in US. Though this will definitely please Trump who is expecting Seoul to fulfill it US$350 billion pledge to invest in US but this does not sit well with the Koreans who view this as selling their country secret in producing High Bandwidth Memory to US. Currently Sk Hynix controls 50% of HBM global production and the US is not a cheap place to set up a manufacturing plant. A good example is TSMC who set up a plant in Arizona just to encounter not just cost overrun from US$12 billion to US$20 billion but also a clashing work culture where the US is more laid back compared to Asians. TSMC estimated that the cost of manufacturing in the US is 2x more expensive than in Taiwan.

My trade: I am still keeping my finger crossed that this deal can go through and Intel is still a good buy

Takeaway: Seoul will need to keep a balance between following the people wish or pleasing Trump in hope of lower US trade tariff.$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

$Intel(INTC.US)

Context: Intel was once the most dominant CPU maker. On Aug 2020, right before dot-com bubble, Intel market valuation stand at US$509 billion and it share was at US$74.88, the highest at that time. Andy Grove was the CEO from 1987 - 1998 and popularized the phrase "Only The Paranoid Survive". But a series of missteps like ignoring Apple request to build a mobile CPU for them citing that the mobile CPU margin is only US$12-15 versus PC CPU margin at US$225, did not have the foresight that GPU will be more usable than CPU and investing too little into it's fab and relying too much on contracted foundry and making them more successful than them, TSMC should thank Intel on this.

My trade: I am still buying on Intel because the above and Intel has woken and is now tirelessly addressing all the shortcomings.

Takeaway: If only Intel listens and follows Andy Grove's advice of being paranoid at all times then they won't have to lick their wound right now. $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

$Netflix(NFLX.US) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) and $Illinois Tool Works(ITW.US) took my paydays off for good payday %. I now settle into the full swing with cushion.

Source: Sunrise Trader

$Wilmar(F34.SG)

Context: During the last El Nino event in 2023-24, Wilmar oil palm production reduced only 1% but the stock fell from SG$3.66 to SG$3.10. The drop was mainly due to an investigation in China in which a palm oil trader cheated a Chinese state own enterprise for US$725 million; Wilmar subsidiary Yihai Kerry Arowana was implicated because they provided the storage where the oil palm was stored. There was another accusation that YKA did not clean up the cargo tankers that transported poisonous industrial chemical but use it to carry edible palm oil. YKA refuted both allegation. Wilmar has also claimed that for the coming El Nino season 2026-27, it will be impacted in palm oil production since up to 80% of their estate is in Kalimantan where long dry spell is expected.

My trade: bearish on Wilmar in 2027

My trade: The prediction of the coming super El Nino usually will drive up plantation stock since the dry spell will limit palm oil production but not all palm oil related stock are the same.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Intel(INTC.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

$Netflix(NFLX.US) daily reversal off 50ma confirming with today's gap up stick. updated chart.

Source: Sunrise Trader

$Netflix(NFLX.US) with gap up follow thru. Watching 78ish. Still own full and paydays.

Source: Sunrise Trader

$Wilmar(F34.SG)

Context: Wilmar has been accused of causing the haze that is coming from Indonesia. Wilmar has stated that as far back as 2015, it has established a "No Deforestation, No Peat, and No Exploitation" (NDPE) policy. Yet, the haze has never gone away and it has gone bad recently. At that time, Wilmar had also pressured Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK), a listed company in Malaysia by deploying suspend first policy. KLK does not have a zero-deforestation policy at that time and they are one of the sellers of palm oil to Wilmar and together with Wilmar both have large plantation estate in Indonesia. Wilmar has around 154,660 hectares of oil palm in Indonesia and Indonesia is more than half of all their global palm oil land bank.

My trade: bullish on Wilmar

Takeaway: Currently there is no evidence that Wilmar is responsible for the haze in Indonesia.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)

$Netflix(NFLX.US) on watch as price is pulling back to 50ma and a small gap. See what tomorrow brings.

Source: Sunrise Trader

$PUBLIC FIN HOLD(00626.HK)

Context: After a almost 3 weeks of trading halt (I am shocked of the long trading halt as though this stock is no longer needed to be traded), finally the announcement by it's parent company to privatize at HK$2.50, this is a premium of 61.29% from last trading price. However if we take the book value of HK$7+ this offer price is way too cheap. Public bank Malaysia, the parent company, even declared that this offer is final and won't be revised.

My trade: buy for now then sell if the privatization fail

Takeaway: My prediction that Public Bank M'sia is not generous in giving concession to it's shareholder is accurate, they have ample liquidity but will be very careful when spending money, typical of old Chinese way of doing business$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Netflix(NFLX.US)