Morgan Stanley: WFE
A lot of growth coming in memory and foundry/logic WFE in 2026 and 2027. $Lam Research(LRCX.US) $Onto Innovation(ONTO.US) $ASML(ASML.US) $MKS(MKSI.US) $Sunnova Energy(NOVA.US) $Applied Materials(AMAT.US)What's on your mind?
Taiwan’s ‘Big 5’ chip packaging and testing firms (OSATs) will spend over NT$460 billion (US$14.4B) this year on capex in a bid to catch up with AI-related demand, media report. Industry giant ASE said its biggest problem now is how to accelerate construction, equipment installation, and capacity rollout at 13 new projects and 8 renovations:
ASE: NT$335 billion (US$10.5B)Powertech: NT$50 billionKYEC: NT$50 billionSigurd Group: NT$20 billionChipMOS: NT$7.2 billion in the 1st half. More coming $ASML(ASML.US) $Applied Materials(AMAT.US) $Teradyne(TER.US) $Camtek(CAMT.US) $Nova(NVMI.US) #BESI #AdvantestSource: Dan Nystedt
Semiconductor test and metrology have become the key factor in AI chip yield, cost, performance and mass production speed, moving this formerly behind-the-scenes work to the fore, media report, citing SEMI Taiwan President Terry Tsao. Instead of just catching defects, modern test and metrology equipment now feeds real-time insights back to the design, fabrication and packaging stages for faster troubleshooting. System-Level Testing (SLT), burn-in testing, and reliability verification have all moved up in importance. #Advantest $Teradyne(TER.US) $Applied Materials(AMAT.US) $KLA(KLAC.US) $Onto Innovation(ONTO.US) $Nova(NVMI.US)
Source: Dan Nystedt
📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: $Intuitive Machines(LUNR.US) Intuitive Machines Wins NASA Lunar Lander Contract Worth Up to $148.3 Million
👉 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬:➤ 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐌𝐚𝐜𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐬 won a NASA contract worth up to 𝐔𝐒$𝟏𝟒𝟖.𝟑 𝐦𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧.➤ Contract includes a 𝐔𝐒$𝟔𝟖.𝟔 𝐦𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧 base award and 𝐔𝐒$𝟕𝟗.𝟕 𝐦𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧 performance incentive.➤ The company will deliver a 𝐍𝐨𝐯𝐚-𝐂 lunar lander to the Moon by 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟖.➤ This marks Intuitive Machines' 𝐬𝐢𝐱𝐭𝐡 𝐂𝐋𝐏𝐒 task order awarded by NASA.➤ Mission payloads include 𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐨 𝐜𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐬, 𝐥𝐚𝐬𝐞𝐫 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐬, and a 𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐨𝐫.➤ Nova-C features a 𝐟𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭-𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐧 lunar lander platform with parallel production capabilities.➤ Mission supports NASA's 𝐀𝐫𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐬 program and long-term Moon Base objectives.👉 𝐖𝐡𝐲 𝐈𝐭 𝐌𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬:➤ The award strengthens Intuitive Machines' 𝐍𝐀𝐒𝐀 𝐫𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐮𝐞 backlog and lunar mission pipeline.➤ Repeat CLPS awards reinforce confidence in the company's 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐥𝐮𝐧𝐚𝐫 capabilities.➤ The mission advances NASA's strategy to build 𝐬𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 lunar infrastructure.👉 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭:➤ "We are shifting the paradigm from custom aerospace engineering to commercial mass production of lunar infrastructure. Our flight-proven Nova-C platform allows us to build, test, and deploy multiple landers in parallel using Industry 4.0-powered manufacturing." — 𝐒𝐭𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐀𝐥𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐮𝐬, CEO of Intuitive Machines.
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Rate Of ReturnThe market narrative is increasingly shifting toward a coordinated pro-growth, pro-AI policy backdrop, with US-China détente, clearer crypto regulation, and sustained hyperscaler spending reinforcing confidence across the AI supply chain. However, parabolic price action across semis and adjacent infrastructure also raises near-term positioning risk, especially after rapid multi-name re-ratings. A balanced approach may favour selective exposure to structural beneficiaries — AI infrastructure, data-centre enablers, and commodity-linked cashflow names — over indiscriminate momentum chasing. In Singapore, dispersion is widening sharply, suggesting active sector rotation and earnings selectivity may outperform broad indexing in this phase.
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Rate Of ReturnBe careful my friends. The market looks like it is going up but only a few names are propping the market up. Looks like a concerted effort by smart money to keep distributing under the hood. Stay safe!
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