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  • C
    Captain's CompassSep 4 at 07:08 AM

    Heads or Tails for the Fed? Friday's NFP Casts the First Vote

    The Fed's September 15–16 decision is, right now, a coin flip: the market puts the odds of another hike at roughly 50/50. On Friday, September 4, one number gets to nudge that coin — the August non-fa...

    How Will the Market React to the NFP Print?
    Single choice
    4 voted in PollsPoll ended
    The biggest economic release of the month
    GLD SPDR Gold Shares < Overnight 409.460-0.760 (-0.19%) 48k Quotes Overview Intr
    ADP ·the preview NFP ·the verdict Bureau of Labor Statistics (BL Who publishes i
    Global Equities Position with Estimated 1-Week Change $600bn wnos亏xnEt cowoa $50+4
  • C
    Captain's WatchAug 31 at 12:57 PM

    FeaturedBarclays: Why Hyperscalers Are Defensive Growth

    A report has been widely circulated over the weekend: a significant portion of the revenue cloud providers earn from AI is unrelated to GPUs.You can think of AI model companies as stores located withi...

    Which hyperscaler do you prefer?
    Single choice
    14 voted in PollsPoll ended
    FIGURE 3. For Every $100 of AI Lab Revenue, $35-$40 Flows to the Hyperscalers in
    Exhibit 1: US hyperscalers'rising capex is weighing on free cash flow Hyperscale
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy
  • N
    NuttypotAug 29 at 03:22 AM

    Beat around the bush, scare the market, with no action taken. I'm guessing the prediction market will be happy for this .

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Jackson Hole: 10 AM ET – Warsh's Words Could Move Markets.

    PCE at 3.7% beat expectations unexpectedly, pushing the probability of no rate hike in September from 35% to 66%. Since Walsh took office, forward guidance has been scrapped and the dot plot abolished...

    169月26 28 10月26 912月26 271月27 173月27 284月27 96月27 287月27 159月27 27 10月27 MEETING
    Jackson Hole Fed Speech Vs SPX Returns S 12006-2025 3.0% 1- Tier1 1 Alph ha 2.0%
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy
  • J
    JujinhoS63 Return RateAug 29 at 03:18 AM

    The US market is so volatile. It is anyone's guess where it is headed. The year ahead is so unpredictable with so many things going on in the world.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Jackson Hole: 10 AM ET – Warsh's Words Could Move Markets.

    PCE at 3.7% beat expectations unexpectedly, pushing the probability of no rate hike in September from 35% to 66%. Since Walsh took office, forward guidance has been scrapped and the dot plot abolished...

    169月26 28 10月26 912月26 271月27 173月27 284月27 96月27 287月27 159月27 27 10月27 MEETING
    Jackson Hole Fed Speech Vs SPX Returns S 12006-2025 3.0% 1- Tier1 1 Alph ha 2.0%
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy
  • N
    NewUser_FXQURSAug 29 at 03:17 AM

    The numbers go up and down, up and down, and will do so for the foreseeable future. Such is life.

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Jackson Hole: 10 AM ET – Warsh's Words Could Move Markets.

    PCE at 3.7% beat expectations unexpectedly, pushing the probability of no rate hike in September from 35% to 66%. Since Walsh took office, forward guidance has been scrapped and the dot plot abolished...

    169月26 28 10月26 912月26 271月27 173月27 284月27 96月27 287月27 159月27 27 10月27 MEETING
    Jackson Hole Fed Speech Vs SPX Returns S 12006-2025 3.0% 1- Tier1 1 Alph ha 2.0%
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy
  • P
    PandorousAug 29 at 03:15 AM

    Warsh issued a hawkish policy signal, warning that despite recent cooling inflation reports, underlying trends have not “meaningfully improved”. He indicated that the central bank might need to raise interest rates in the coming months if inflation persists stubbornly, emphasising the need for confidence that underlying inflation is moving towards the objective. Otherwise, he stated, “We have work to do.”

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Jackson Hole: 10 AM ET – Warsh's Words Could Move Markets.

    PCE at 3.7% beat expectations unexpectedly, pushing the probability of no rate hike in September from 35% to 66%. Since Walsh took office, forward guidance has been scrapped and the dot plot abolished...

    169月26 28 10月26 912月26 271月27 173月27 284月27 96月27 287月27 159月27 27 10月27 MEETING
    Jackson Hole Fed Speech Vs SPX Returns S 12006-2025 3.0% 1- Tier1 1 Alph ha 2.0%
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy
  • P
    PxxstxnAug 29 at 03:11 AM

    Very detailed and comprehensive article. Well

    worth a read. Agree with the author’s viewpoints and perspectives. Looking forward to the next report!

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Jackson Hole: 10 AM ET – Warsh's Words Could Move Markets.

    PCE at 3.7% beat expectations unexpectedly, pushing the probability of no rate hike in September from 35% to 66%. Since Walsh took office, forward guidance has been scrapped and the dot plot abolished...

    169月26 28 10月26 912月26 271月27 173月27 284月27 96月27 287月27 159月27 27 10月27 MEETING
    Jackson Hole Fed Speech Vs SPX Returns S 12006-2025 3.0% 1- Tier1 1 Alph ha 2.0%
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy
  • V
    VesperTotal AssetsAug 29 at 03:08 AM

    Warsh ushers in a new era of interest rate governance. Yielding to the Trump administration appears plausible at this point of the game. Lets watch the market reaction this Friday

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Jackson Hole: 10 AM ET – Warsh's Words Could Move Markets.

    PCE at 3.7% beat expectations unexpectedly, pushing the probability of no rate hike in September from 35% to 66%. Since Walsh took office, forward guidance has been scrapped and the dot plot abolished...

    169月26 28 10月26 912月26 271月27 173月27 284月27 96月27 287月27 159月27 27 10月27 MEETING
    Jackson Hole Fed Speech Vs SPX Returns S 12006-2025 3.0% 1- Tier1 1 Alph ha 2.0%
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy
  • K
    Kevin_ChinRate Of ReturnAug 29 at 03:04 AM

    Good story

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Jackson Hole: 10 AM ET – Warsh's Words Could Move Markets.

    PCE at 3.7% beat expectations unexpectedly, pushing the probability of no rate hike in September from 35% to 66%. Since Walsh took office, forward guidance has been scrapped and the dot plot abolished...

    169月26 28 10月26 912月26 271月27 173月27 284月27 96月27 287月27 159月27 27 10月27 MEETING
    Jackson Hole Fed Speech Vs SPX Returns S 12006-2025 3.0% 1- Tier1 1 Alph ha 2.0%
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy
  • J
    JstarRate Of ReturnAug 29 at 02:48 AM

    Good thought

    C
    Captain's Watch
    Jackson Hole: 10 AM ET – Warsh's Words Could Move Markets.

    PCE at 3.7% beat expectations unexpectedly, pushing the probability of no rate hike in September from 35% to 66%. Since Walsh took office, forward guidance has been scrapped and the dot plot abolished...

    169月26 28 10月26 912月26 271月27 173月27 284月27 96月27 287月27 159月27 27 10月27 MEETING
    Jackson Hole Fed Speech Vs SPX Returns S 12006-2025 3.0% 1- Tier1 1 Alph ha 2.0%
    Trade US stocks with just $1 Fractional shares make it easy