Rambus

RMBS
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  • D
    Dolphin Research

    HBM is pricey and supply-constrained. The memory 'dies' themselves are not fundamentally different from standard DDR; the real divergence is in architecture and packaging, distilled into two ideas:

    First, 'stacking.' There are two ways to expand capacity: increase bit density per die, or pack more dies into the same footprint. The first path has hit a wall—DRAM scaling is hard, as shrinking cells too far lets electrons leak across boundaries, corrupting data; the most advanced nodes are only 11–12nm, and even by 2030 may reach just ~10nm, far from logic at 2–3nm.

    More importantly, logic follows Moore's Law, roughly doubling density every ~2 years, while memory does not enjoy that tailwind. Since density gains from process shrinks are limited, the industry chose the second route—stacking dies vertically to increase capacity.

    HBM4 already stacks 12 layers, triple the first generation. Market chatter suggests it could reach 16 layers around 2026–27.

    Second, 'attaching.' To deliver bandwidth, HBM must sit next to the GPU and be co-packaged on the same silicon interposer. Consumer GPUs place DRAM chips around the core on the PCB, but server GPUs must cram HBM into the same small area as the core, and that area cannot simply be enlarged.

    Space is even tighter because the four edges around the core are reserved first for I/O and external interfaces. What is left for memory is mainly the top and bottom edges, with the left and right already taken, so when you run out of horizontal room, the only way is to build upwards.

    In short, 'stacking' brings capacity, and 'attaching' brings bandwidth. The technical barriers and high cost of HBM are the price paid for these two choices.

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  • M
    MRIDHA

    $Semiconductor(CP00062.US). Jack

  • F
    First Fellow

    $Rambus(RMBS.US) started giving up before ER and then ER reaction happened. The chart looks worse than "Pineapple on Pizza".

    PT1: 100

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  • H
    Hardik Shah

    $Rambus(RMBS.US) | 𝐑𝐚𝐦𝐛𝐮𝐬: Evercore ISI raises 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦 𝐏𝐓 𝐭𝐨 $𝟏𝟕𝟐

    Analyst sees AI-driven memory and CPU tailwinds accelerating revenue growth, with higher chip content and demand recovery driving upside into 2026+.

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  • H
    Hardik Shah

    🌙 After-Market Earnings Recap:

    $Nucor(NUE.US) $Universal Health Service-B(UHS.US) $Lendingclub(LC.US) $Rambus(RMBS.US) $Amkor Tech(AMKR.US) $Public Storage(PSA.US) $Cadence Design(CDNS.US) $Celestica(CLS.US)

    Source: Hardik Shah

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  • H
    Hardik Shah

    $Rambus(RMBS.US) | Rambus Inc., Q1-2026 Earning Report

    Source: Hardik Shah

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  • A
    AI Gossip

    Arm's pivot to become a competitor to its customers may come at the expense of margins (from current 99% to 73% by FY31) but offers higher incremental revenue and gross profit. The ramp is stunning. FY28 $1B, FY29 $2B, FY30 $4B and FY31 $15B. ASP increases a factor too. Arm sees >55% margins on CPUs and implied upside on revenue. Rambus is probably close example of IP/product company and Rambus has >60% margins on product.

    Source: Sravan Kundojjala

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  • A
    AI Gossip

    Marvell may have the most interesting 3rd quarter report of the season on Tuesday (12/2). A global memory chip shortage has sent prices rocketing, and Marvell is king of memory/storage controller chips. 1/10 $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) $Sandisk(SNDK.US) $Silicon Motion Tech(SIMO.US) $Rambus(RMBS.US) $Western Digital(WDC.US) $Seagate Tech(STX.US) $Micron Tech(MU.US)

    Source: Dan Nystedt

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