Market momentum is still on our side. That does not mean we buy everything at the open.
My filter for a strong trend day:1. Index is holding its short-term averages2. The stock is already in its own uptrend3. It is near an entry, not 15-20% extended from the breakout or 9ema4. Volume confirms. No weak breakoutsIf it fails that list, I leave it. Most of my money comes from sitting out the junk and pressing the few names that are actually working.I’ll post the ones that clear this during the session. $SPY $QQQ $IWM
First Fellow
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Loved:
$Atlassian(TEAM.US) ✅$ServiceNow(NOW.US) ✅$Shopify (SHOP.US) ✅$Twilio(TWLO.US) ✅$Snowflake(SNOW.US) ✅$Microsoft(MSFT.US) ✅$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) ✅$Sea(SE.US) ✅$Digital Turbine(APPS.US) ✅$Five9(FIVN.US) ✅Yet to be loved: $Workday(WDAY.US)⏳ $Salesforce(CRM.US) ⏳$Adobe(ADBE.US) ⏳$Intuit(INTU.US)⏳$Oracle(ORCL.US) 👀Dusted: $HubSpot(HUBS.US) ❌$Duolingo(DUOL.US) ❌$Trade Desk(TTD.US) ❌$Chegg(CHGG.US) ❌$Upwork(UPWK.US) ❌I must have missed a few names, add if you can think of.
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$NetApp(NTAP.US) met my 200 PT. This has been my Profit taking zone, removing over 75% into strength.
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This $Liquidia Tech(LQDA.US) has the look of $Dell Tech(DELL.US) or $Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE.US) but sadly this is $XBI name and reports in two days.
A great look on the chart, but I will wait for ER.
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$SpaceX(SPCX.US) Space data centers are theoretically possible but the timeline that's being given is impossible. Since we all have Internet and GPTs we should first read and understand before blindly believing what they say in earnings and on news.
The math simply does not make sense. There are roughly 14,500 active satellites in orbit today and only about 7,000 total launches in all of human history. Deploying a one million satellite constellation would require 16,666 Starship launches. Even if SpaceX scales its record 165 missions from 2025 by ten times, deployment alone takes a decade. Starlink builds 4,000 satellites a year. A tenfold increase still means 25 years of manufacturing.Then you hit the thermal wall. Startup Starcloud sent one Nvidia H100 to space and their radiator was too weak to run it at full power. A single H100 pulls 700 watts and needs 1.4 square meters of radiator just to stay at 60 degrees Celsius.To scale that up, a 40 kilowatt server rack requires an 80 square meter radiator. A 100 megawatt facility would need 2,500 of those giant cooling wings. Always read the actual engineering fundamentals before pumping stocks on the next big tech dream. This is more than a decade or two of work, not happening in 2028 or 2030.
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$Sea(SE.US) Look at this weekly base. If I dont see ER, I would have slapped some really big leaps on it. This stock deserves to breakout but I should also warn that they have a history of dropping 20-30% post ERs.
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$CloudFlare(NET.US) was wonderful! They raised the year and got paid.
$Atlassian(TEAM.US) proved cloud still works when the numbers are real. People spent half of 2026 arguing AI kills software. The market just answered with something simpler. Show the growth or get sold.I am long the names that print. I am done buying the category because it has “software” in the description. $ServiceNow(NOW.US) is my high conviction, followed by $Microsoft(MSFT.US), $Intuit(INTU.US) and some other names.
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Same earnings week. $Atlassian(TEAM.US) ripped over 30% on a cloud beat. $Trade Desk(TTD.US) got cut nearly 30% and analysts lined up to downgrade it.
This is still an execution market. Growth that converts gets capital. Growth that stalls gets crushed. AI narratives do not save a soft guide.Saas is not one stock, every stock is being treated differently based on their execution.F
• Software stocks are struggling amid mixed earnings and challenges in the AI sector.
• Some companies like Atlassian and Cloudflare reported strong earnings, while others like HubSpot did not. $Atlassian(TEAM.US) $CloudFlare(NET.US)• The Fed may consider a rate cut, influenced by job growth and inflation concerns. • The Clarity Act, a key crypto bill, faces uncertainty and may not be voted on soon. $Coinbase(COIN.US) $Circle(CRCL.US) • Sweetgreen's sales outlook worsened due to a lettuce-related illness, despite previous signs of recovery. $Sweetgreen(SG.US)
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• The Dow Jones index and Nasdaq composite ended lower, while chip firms saw gains.
• Sandisk and Western Digital stocks declined significantly. $Western Digital(WDC.US) $Sandisk(SNDK.US) • A weak July jobs report affected expectations for a September Fed rate hike. • S&P 500 futures showed an upward trend. • SpaceX received a stock upgrade due to its AI investments. $SpaceX(SPCX.US) • First Solar shows strength following positive news on polysilicon. • Several stocks, including $Apple(AAPL.US) and $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US), are favored by mutual funds.
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$Dave(DAVE.US) with exceptional growth, but some growing pains along the way. Lets wait for 50ma basing before we touch it again.
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$First Solar(FSLR.US) had to take some beating to give us what we want. Monthly breakout look is still intact.
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$Fluence Energy(FLNC.US) ugly! Massive miss and lowered guidance.
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$Shopify (SHOP.US) with a monster report.
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$Forum Energy Tech(FET.US) just showed what a real earnings gap looks like. I had such a high conviction but only added 1% into it.
- Adjusted EPS $1.16 vs ~$0.51 expected.- About a 128% beat.- Revenue beat too.- Raised every full year guide metric.- Stock ripped ~22%.Oilfield equipment. Not an AI ticker, so might br boring to some. Small float + monster beat = violent move. This is the kind of print that wakes up the scanners.F![图片 1，共 1 张]()
$AMD(AMD.US) crushed the quarter in my books.
Stock still fell ~7% after hours.- Revenue $11.54B, up 50%.- Data center more than doubled to $6.72B.- Q3 guide ~$13B, above estimates.Why did it dump? Below are my reasons and I have no complaints on the crash. - Stock was already up ~140% YTD.- Priced for a perfection, not a clean beat.When a name runs that far, confirmation is not enough. The market wants shock upside like we saw with $Microsoft(MSFT.US) or $Amazon(AMZN.US).
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$Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE.US) That 50ma consolidation for as long as it did and now breaking out with the sector/theme.
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This is super interesting. $USO is right at the launch pad(pink line) that's built from March 2nd when it all started. Market is front running on possible deal. Can we expect its over or does this enter at pink line means something?
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How the yen carry trade hits $SPY and $QQQ.
1. Borrow cheap yen in Japan(Due to low interest rates)2. Convert to dollars3. Buy US stocks ( $SPY, $QQQ, etc.)4. Profit from the rate gapThat borrowed cash helped lift US stocks.If the yen strengthens, step 3 reverses. They sell $SPY/$QQQ to repay the yen loan. Stock prices can fall from that selling.This week: US and Japan jointly bought yen after a 40 year low. Yen rose. Carry trades got stressed.Weak yen = fuel for $SPY/$QQQStrong yen = selling pressure on $SPY/$QQQWatch USD/JPY with the indices.F![图片 1，共 1 张]()
$GameStop(GME.US) This is the first time RC broke the pattern. He always rug pulls when it tests the pink line but now he did another offering at the lows. Sub $10 is possible, they can have all the cash they want, if there is no business and FCF its as good as buying weekly options.
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$Vertiv(VRT.US) A good company. Ugly reaction. Classic high multiple trap.
- Adj EPS $1.52 beat. - Margins strong. - FCF strong (~$925M). - Raised the year to ~$14B sales and ~$6.70 adj EPS at the midpoint. But revenue ~$3.27B missed, organic growth lagged what the Street wanted. Management called it timing, supply chain congestion and multi-phase project rollout.Why I think it dropped? Perfection was priced in. A revenue miss, even with a raise, sounds like slippage before it sounds like “temporary.” Multiple compressed first, story second.What to expect? Fundamentals aren’t broken if H2 converts those delayed projects. CEO is loud that demand is fine. Don’t catch the falling knife. Let the price settle, then decide if you’re buying the AI infra reset or fading a name that needs a clean print to earn the multiple back. There are other good DC plays thats showing strength.F![图片 1，共 1 张]()
$Bloom Energy(BE.US) Record quarter. Also a chaotic tape.
- Crossed $1B in quarterly revenue for the first time (~$1.07B, +166%).- Product rev +215%.- Margins up big.- Raised FY26 rev to $3.9–4.2B- Hyperscalers and AI power demand are clearly showing up in the P&L.Why I think it moved the way it did? The print was a rocket. The stock still whips because this name carries short seller noise, customer concentration questions, and a huge YTD run. Good numbers get celebrated, then faded, then celebrated again. That’s BE. I have seen this circus many times in the last one year. What to expect? Treat it as a high beta power trade, not a sleepy compounder. As long as backlog and AI onsite power orders keep expanding, dips will get bought. If concentration or China supply headlines flare again, volatility will come right back.F![图片 1，共 2 张]()
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A tip: Always pay attention to the weekly close after it.
- $Microsoft(MSFT.US) ripped, closed above 50 on the week. - $Meta Platforms(META.US) got wrecked, heading to 470 at 200. If the week closes strong after a gap up, the move usually sticks. If it closes weak after a gap down, the damage is there.AH reaction is useless most of the times, Weekly close is the real move.