SPDR Port Lg Term Trsy

US Treasury plans to borrow $574 billion in Q1

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The Treasury Department's auction of $16 billion in twenty-year bonds attracted below average demand, with a high yield of 5.122% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.55. This compares to last month's auction of $13 billion, which had a yield of 4.883% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.68, below the ten-auction average of 2.65.

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Twenty-Year Bond Auction Attracts Below Average Demand

VGLT

The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has surpassed 5.17%, the highest since 2007, while the 10-year yield reached 4.67% due to ongoing inflation concerns. This trend has led to increased bond yields in Europe, the UK, and Japan. Markets are now anticipating a potential Fed rate hike by late 2026 as inflation expectations remain elevated.

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US long-term yields hit highest levels since 2007

SCHQ

Seasonal trends indicate a potential summer rally in long-term Treasuries, with historical data suggesting rising prices and falling yields from now until early August. Factors such as lower liquidity, reinvestment flows, equity rotation, and softer economic data contribute to a favorable bond market. Additionally, easing U.S.-Iran tensions and possible declines in oil prices may alleviate inflation concerns, further boosting demand for long-term bonds.

Schwab Long-Term US Treasury ETF

Seasonal trends point to summer rally in long-term treasuries

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UK long-term yields reach their highest levels since 1998, with US 30-year Treasury yields exceeding 5%. This surge is driven by inflation and fiscal concerns, leading to increased borrowing costs for governments, businesses, and households, which may slow economic growth and heighten financial risks. Additionally, rising oil prices due to Middle East conflicts are intensifying inflation pressures, causing central banks to be more cautious about reducing interest rates.

- UK long-dated borrowing costs reached their highest levels since 1998, and US 30-year Treasury yields exceeded 5% due to inflation and fiscal concerns.  
- The increase in yields raises borrowing costs for governments, businesses, and households, which could slow economic growth and heighten financial risks.  
- Oil price surges from the Middle East conflict are exacerbating inflation, leading central banks to approach rate cuts with increased caution.

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UK and US long-term yields hit multi-decade highs amid inflation fears

UTHY

Seasonal Tailwinds Are Aligning for 30 & 10-Year Treasuries – Here's the Setup

Barchart Option

US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF

Seasonal Tailwinds Are Aligning for 30 & 10-Year Treasuries – Here's the Setup

The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond has approached 5%, raising questions about the reliability of this trade strategy. While past trends suggest that yields decline after breaching this level, current inflation expectations and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes create uncertainty. Analysts are divided; some believe the 5% level may not hold, while others see value in long positions. Concerns about U.S. fiscal sustainability persist, with former Treasury officials warning of potential borrowing cost increases. Treasury yields have recently retreated, reflecting ongoing market volatility.

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Betting on long Treasury bonds when yields near 5% has been a slam-dunk trade over the past few years. Is this time different?

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Rising Treasury yields could suck out capital from bitcoin and other risk assets, analysts said.Several factors, including the hawkish dissent within the Federal Reserve are pushing bond yields higher.

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Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price

SCHO

Former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has warned that the U.S. needs an emergency 'break-the-glass' plan to address a potential collapse in demand for Treasurys. He emphasized that such a crisis would differ from the 2008 financial meltdown, as the government may lack the fiscal capacity to respond effectively. Paulson noted that a significant drop in Treasury demand could lead to higher yields, increasing borrowing costs and exacerbating the deficit. While he believes the U.S. economy remains resilient, he stressed the importance of preparing for this eventuality.

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Former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson warns U.S. needs an emergency 'break-the-glass' plan if Treasury demand collapses

The 30-year Treasury yield fell to 4.884% this week, down 0.030 percentage points. The price rose 15/32 to 97 29/32. This marks a decline in yield for two of the past three weeks, with a notable one-day drop of 0.045 percentage points. The yield is 0.205 percentage points below its 52-week high of 5.089% and 0.345 percentage points above its 52-week low of 4.539%. Year-to-date, the yield is up 0.055 percentage points.

MorningStar

Tradeweb Markets Inc-Class

30-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 4.884% This Week — Data Talk

The 30-year Treasury yield fell to 4.869%, marking a decline of 0.031 percentage points. This is the largest one-day yield drop since April 8, 2026, and the yield has decreased for two consecutive trading days. It is down 0.045 percentage points over the last two days and is currently 0.220 percentage points below its 52-week high of 5.089%. Year-to-date, the yield has increased by 0.039 percentage points.

30-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 4.869% — Data Talk

SPDR Port Lg Term Trsy(SPTL.US)

Twenty-Year Bond Auction Attracts Below Average Demand

US long-term yields hit highest levels since 2007

Seasonal trends point to summer rally in long-term treasuries

UK and US long-term yields hit multi-decade highs amid inflation fears

Seasonal Tailwinds Are Aligning for 30 & 10-Year Treasuries – Here's the Setup

Betting on long Treasury bonds when yields near 5% has been a slam-dunk trade over the past few years. Is this time different?

Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price

Former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson warns U.S. needs an emergency 'break-the-glass' plan if Treasury demand collapses

30-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 4.884% This Week — Data Talk

30-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 4.869% — Data Talk