iShares 0-5 YR Tips Bd

OPTIMI HEALTH CORP

HCW Biologics

FLAG SHIP ACQUISITION CORPORATION COM USD0.001 (SUB/RIGHT 31/03/2026)

Micware

GCL Global

MetaVia

Silexion Therapeutics

EMMIS ACQUISITION CORP. ORD USD0.0001 (S/R 12/09/2030)

HORIZON SPACE ACQUISITION II CORP COM USD0.0001 30/03/2026(SUB/RIGHTS)

VTIP

STIP

GOVT

VGSH

The bond market is signaling the Federal Reserve to take inflation seriously and consider rate hikes before the June meeting. Treasury yields have surged, with the 2-year yield exceeding 4%, indicating concerns over inflation and geopolitical tensions. Analysts suggest that if the Fed does not adopt a hawkish tone soon, it may lead to increased inflation risk premiums and a steeper yield curve. Upcoming Treasury auctions and inflation readings are critical as Wall Street anticipates Fed communications in the lead-up to the meeting.

Dow Jones

iShares Barclays Short Treasury

iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd

iShares TIPS Bd

iShares Barclays 1-3 Yr Treasury

SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF

Vanguard Short Terms Inflation Protected Securities

ISHRS Us Trsry Bd

Vanguard Short Term Gov

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

Macquarie Group Limited

Dow Jones Industrial Average

S&P 500

NASDAQ Composite Index

The bond market has a warning for the Fed: Get serious about inflation and potential rate hikes ASAP

STPZ

The April 2032 inflation-protected U.S. TIPS bond is projected to yield 5.1% this year, combining interest payments and principal adjustments. Despite concerns over U.S. government finances, the bond is considered low-risk, with a real yield of 1.63%. Even with inflation predictions, the bond offers guaranteed returns if held until maturity. Investors may also consider index funds focused on TIPS for added security amid market volatility.

Pmco 1-5 Yrs Tips

This 'safe haven' bond is projected to pay 5.1% this year - with almost no risk

603353

Inflation has outpaced wage growth for the first time since 2023, with real wages falling 0.2% year-over-year as of April. The disruption of oil exports due to the Iran war has led to increased fuel costs, contributing to higher prices for food, housing, and transportation. This rising inflation, coupled with a stable labor market, presents a dilemma for the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate decisions, with some analysts predicting a higher likelihood of rate hikes in 2026.

- April data indicates that real wages decreased by 0.2% year-over-year as inflation exceeded pay growth for the first time since 2023.  
- The disruption of oil exports due to the Iran war has increased fuel costs, contributing to rising prices in food, housing, and transportation.  
- The persistent inflation alongside a stable labor market presents challenges for the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate decisions, with an increased likelihood of rate hikes in 2026 suggested by some analysts.

Occidental Petroleum

HSPC

BP p.l.c.

United States Oil Fund LP

Bosera CSI Oil & Gas Resources Index ETF

Us Brent Oil

VanEck Oil Services ETF

Us Natural Gas

VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

ISHRS S&P Glb Engy

Pro Ultr Natural Gas

SPDR Energy Select

SPDR O&G Ex & Prd

SPDR O&G Equip

iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod

ChinaAMC CSI Petrochemical Industry ETF

iShares US Oil Equip & Svcs

Pro Ultr Bloomberg Crude Oil

Guotai CSI Oil & Gas Industry ETF

VG Energy

Invesco Great Wall CNI Oil&Gas ETF

Vanguard Total Inflation Protd Secs ETF

First Trust Natural Gas ETF

Us 12 Mth Natural Gas

Inflation surge erases wage gains for first time since 2023

The attacks by the United States and Israel on Iran have led the Iranian Revolutionary Guard to threaten to block the Strait of Hormuz, driving up oil prices and raising investors' concerns about stagflation. The gains in the U.S. Treasury market have been erased, with the Bloomberg index falling 1.7% since the end of February. Morgan Stanley strategist Bradley Tian pointed out that the inflation triggered by rising energy prices and policy uncertainty is putting pressure on long-term U.S. Treasuries

香港 01

Invesco Oil & Gas Services ETF

iShares Core US Aggregate Bd

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

Iran Situation | Surge in Oil Prices Triggers Investor Concerns Over Stagflation, Year-to-Date Gains in US Bond Market Completely Erased

GS-C

Goldman Sachs anticipates a gradual easing of core inflation in February, forecasting a 0.17% month-on-month rise in core CPI, below the 0.2% consensus, leading to a year-on-year core inflation of 2.42%. Headline CPI is expected to increase by 0.18%. Factors contributing to this moderation include declining used car prices and stable airfare costs, while tariffs may introduce upward pressure on certain goods. The upcoming CPI report is crucial for assessing U.S. inflation trends and potential Federal Reserve policy adjustments.

Investinglive

GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC DEP SHS REPSTG 1/1000TH PRF SER C

Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund

ISHRS Us Brokers & Sec Exchg

Fidelity MSCI Financials Index

ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF

VG Financial

Goldman Sachs

GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC DEP REP 1/1000TH PRF D

Goldman Sachs February CPI preview signals gradual inflation slowdown, not everyone agrees

SCHP

511520

Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist,Increased short positioning in Treasury ETFs and rising TIPS point to markets expecting greater inflation, despite falling forecasts.There’s agrowing consensusthat inflation need no longer be feared.

ZeroHedge

Direxion 7-10 Yr Trsry Bear 3X

Pengyang Chinabond 30-year Treasury Bond ETF

Schw Us Tips

SPDR Portfolio Treasury ETF

Direxion 20+Yr Trsry Bear 3X

Vanguard Intermediate Term Gov

Pro Ultrshrt 20+Yrs Trsy

Fullgoal Chinabond 7-10 Year Policy Bank Bond ETF

Pro Shrt 20+ Yrs Trsy

Pingan Chinabond-0-3 Year CDB Bond ETF

Penghua CSI 0-4 Year Local Government Bond ETF

ProShares UltraShort 7-10 Year Treasury ETF

Bond Flows Are At Odds With Falling Inflation Forecasts

On Monday (February 23), U.S. Treasury yields generally fell, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping by 5.36 basis points to 4.0290%. The 2-year and 30-year Treasury yields fell by 4 basis points and 2.24 basis points, respectively. The yield spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury also decreased, and the yield on 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) also declined. The market expressed concern over the trade uncertainty risks brought about by Trump's tariffs

Wallstreetcn

Short- to medium-term U.S. Treasury yields fell by at least 4 basis points, as Trump's tariffs bring trade uncertainty risks

SPIP

The U.S. Treasury auctioned $9 billion in 30-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), with a winning yield of 2.473% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.75

SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF

Some of the world's largest asset managers are adjusting their portfolios to prepare for a potential resurgence of inflation, despite market confidence in contained price pressures. BlackRock is increasing short positions in long-dated U.S. Treasuries, while Bridgewater Associates favors equities over bonds. Concerns about a resilient U.S. economy and rising commodity prices are fueling fears of renewed inflation. In contrast, euro area investors expect inflation to remain stable, while opinions in the U.S. are divided. Inflation-protected bonds are gaining interest as a hedge against potential price increases.

businessinsider

BlackRock

Big investors brace for inflation comeback as rate-cut bets look risky

The article discusses investment strategies in the context of elevated inflation. It emphasizes building a resilient portfolio rather than merely beating inflation. Key strategies include prioritizing assets with pricing power, reconfiguring fixed income allocations towards TIPS, treating cash as tactical, and avoiding speculative investments. The focus is on equities with structural pricing power and dividend-growing stocks to ensure consistent cash flow. The article highlights the importance of adapting investment approaches to manage the challenges posed by persistent inflation and elevated interest rates.

iShares 0-5 YR Tips Bd(STIP.US)