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TeslaSep 12 at 03:13 PM

Featured[Mou's Weekly] Earning less is a cost, losing more is an accident (Week 37 of 2026 | Issue No. 287)

Setting aside grand theories, let's look at a past event. The week of December 17, 2018, saw the Fed raise rates on Wednesday and Quadruple Witching Day on Thursday—a schedule identical to next week's. That hike was also fully priced in, with pre-meeting market odds exceeding 70%. Yet, the S&P 500 fell 7.05% for the week and Nasdaq dropped 8.36%, marking the worst week since 2011. Three details warrant closer inspection. First, the rate hike itself came as no surprise. The selloff was triggered by Powell's remark at the press conference: 'QT is on autopilot and won't be changed'...

2018年12月：加息早已定价，那一周标普500还是跌了7% 6- 12/14至12/21全周-7.05%，纳指-8.36% ； 12/19 FOMC 10比0

把下周的仓位放回2018年12月： Sell Call 压的是回撤，不是赚钱 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -9.6% -10 差的不是这几个点 -12 是12

FIN+ 美股市场前瞻美股下周展望 2026年9月14日-9月20日美东时间·北京时间 2 本周5个美股交易日本周重点美债拍卖美联储 20年期政策与

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TheInvestingIguana

AJBU

Rate Of ReturnSep 11 at 12:42 AM

Featured

Iggy's Journal: Oil Didn't Stop At $100, It Kept Going

11 September 2026, AM

Second straight day of the same story, just louder. Brent crude closed at US$108.23 overnight, up nearly 7%, and Business Times is now reporting more tanker attacks driving both Brent and US crude above US$100 together. Wall Street took its fourth consecutive down day, S&P 500 down 0.58%, Nasdaq down 0.65%, Dow down 0.60%. VIX jumped over 8% to 17.84. This isn't a one day spike anymore, it's a trend, and the market is starting to treat it like one.

STI closed Thursday at 5,689.75, down 0.70%, slipping below the 5,700 level. USD/SGD sits at 1.2681, up slightly overnight. With oil still climbing and US yields still pushing higher, I'm reading this morning's tone as cautious again, same as yesterday, just with the dial turned up.

One story from the Business Times worth flagging for anyone following Keppel DC REIT with me, Singapore data centre REITs are reportedly chasing deals in Japan as the power crunch here raises the stakes for where new capacity actually gets built. Nothing that changes my read on Keppel DC REIT today, but it's the kind of structural detail I'll be watching for in the next quarterly update, not the kind of thing that shows up in a single day's price move.

My Personal Take

Two days of oil climbing past $100 and not looking back tells me this has stopped being a headline event and started being a data point I need to actually track properly, rather than something to shrug off as noise that fades by Friday. I said that yesterday, and I was wrong to assume it would settle this quickly. Doesn't mean I'm changing anything in my own tracking off two days of price action, but I'm paying closer attention to the Strait of Hormuz reporting than I was 48 hours ago.

No SGX movers list to work with this morning, so no individual counters flagged today beyond Keppel DC. Send it over if you want three names covered for the next one.

Cheers, Iggy 🦖

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TheInvestingIguana

AJBU

Rate Of ReturnSep 9 at 12:45 AM

Featured

Iggy's Journal: The Oil Story Wasn't Just Noise

9 September 2026, AM

Market Data

Remember the Gulf story I said I was watching rather than reacting to, on Monday? It's not noise anymore. Houthi attacks on Saudi energy facilities halted operations at several sites, Brent pushed past $99 a barrel, and Wall Street felt it directly, the Dow dropped 628 points, 1.18%, its worst session in a while. S&P 500 and Nasdaq both fell too, though more modestly, down 0.58% and 0.32%. The 10 year Treasury yield's sitting elevated at 4.80% as investors price in both the inflation risk from pricier oil and general uncertainty. VIX ticked up to 15.26, still low by historical standards, but moving in the direction you'd expect.

STI followed the mood lower, down 0.43% to 5,767.45, a broad pullback rather than one sector, DBS, OCBC, Singtel and SGX all closed slightly weaker. Separately, and unrelated to the oil story, Circle's stablecoin business announced a US$400 million deal to acquire Singapore payments platform Tazapay, still subject to MAS approval, a reminder that the local fintech and payments space keeps drawing serious international capital even on a red day for equities.

My Personal Take

Kind of validating, in an uncomfortable way, to watch something you flagged as "maybe nothing" turn into an actual market mover within 48 hours. Doesn't feel good to be right about that one. Nothing panicky here though, a 1.18% Dow day and a 0.43% STI day are well within normal range, this isn't 2020 or 2022 territory. Just a genuine reminder that geopolitical noise doesn't stay noise forever, sometimes it's actually the thing. Watching oil and the 10 year yield closely from here rather than the index headlines themselves.

Not financial advice. Iggy's Forensic Compliance Standards apply.

Cheers, Iggy 🦖

Iggy's Journal： The Oil Story Wasn't Just Noise 9 September 2026，AM Market Data

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TheInvestingIguana

AJBU

Rate Of ReturnSep 4 at 12:33 AM

Featured

Iggy's Journal: Wall Street Had a Really Good Thursday. Singapore's Own Numbers Told a Quieter Story.

4 September 2026, AM

Market Data

Wall Street closed Thursday, 3 September, sharply higher. Dow 53,629.48, up 1.07%. S&P 500 7,747.71, up 1.06%. Nasdaq 26,531.21, up 1.20%, Snowflake up 17.4% on earnings leading tech. VIX eased to 14.92. Brent settled at $95.44, flat. USD/SGD slipped to 1.2660.

24/7 Wall St credited broad AI hardware and enterprise software strength. TheStreet and Upstox both pointed to falling US Treasury yields, with Fed Governor Waller noting the old safety premium on Treasuries has faded. Traders were said to be pausing ahead of Friday's payrolls print.

On the Singapore side: S&P Global's August PMI rose to 59.4, the fastest private sector expansion since May 2022, on accelerating new orders and the strongest hiring since February. Total bank lending hit a record S$939.1 billion in July, up from S$931.4 billion, led by manufacturing, construction, and general commerce. Separately, CapitaLand Investment confirmed cutting around 90 Singapore staff, about 4% of its local headcount, as part of a restructuring toward "strategic growth sectors."

My Personal Take

TGIF, and I need it, there's a stack of content still to clear before the weekend properly starts. But here's what actually stopped me today, and it wasn't Wall Street.

PMI at 59.4, record bank lending, that's one story, credit flowing, businesses growing. Right next to it, CapitaLand cutting 90 jobs in the name of growth. Same week, same economy, two very different signals depending on which desk you're sitting at.

Not reading too much into one announcement. Just a fair reminder that macro strength and job security aren't always the same conversation.

Weekend's close, kopi's getting cold, back to the pile. Have a good one.

Not financial advice. Iggy's Forensic Compliance Standards apply.

Cheers, Iggy 🦖

Iggy's Journal： Wall Street Had a Really Good Thursday. Singapore's Own Numbers

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TheInvestingIguana

AJBU

Rate Of ReturnSep 3 at 12:46 AM

Iggy’s Journal: Singapore Green, Asia Split

3 September 2026, AM

Market Data

Wall Street rebounded on Wednesday (2 Sept), snapping a three-day slide. The Dow rose 0.6% to 53,061.95, the S&P 500 gained 0.5% to 7,666.60, and the Nasdaq added 0.5% to 26,217.83. The VIX eased to 15.28 (-6.5%). The bounce was driven mainly by cooling US Treasury yields after the post–Jackson Hole selloff. Brent crude still sits elevated at $95.51 (+0.9%).

Singapore followed with a positive close. The STI rose 0.6% to 5,744.11. DBS (+0.9%), OCBC (+1.6%), and UOB (+0.8%) all advanced. City Developments led gainers (+2.1%), while Seatrium lagged (-2.3%). Breadth was weaker: 323 losers vs 231 gainers, with S$1.9B traded.

Across Asia, it was a different story. Nikkei fell 2.9%, Kospi dropped 4%, Hang Seng slipped 0.1%. Only Malaysia’s KLCI (+0.5%) joined Singapore in the green.

Keppel DC REIT upsized its placement to S$625M (3.4x covered) at S$2.10. New units list 10 Sept.

My Take

This is not one market—it’s two tapes. Singapore held up, supported by banks. The rest of Asia largely sold off. A +0.6% STI doesn’t cancel a -4% Seoul.

The US bounce came from yields cooling, not a shift in oil. Brent above $95 still matters.

Keppel DC REIT’s fundraise is a funding move, not a thesis change. Its Cardiff occupancy issue remains, and a heavier Japan exposure (now ~23% of income, from 9%) doesn’t fix that alone—especially if the easy yen tailwind fades.

Keep Singapore’s strength and Asia’s weakness separate. The kopi isn’t sweeter just because Wall Street bounced.

Not financial advice. Iggy’s Forensic Compliance Standards apply.

Cheers,Iggy 🦖

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TheInvestingIguana

AJBU

Rate Of ReturnSep 2 at 12:43 AM

Iggy's Journal: US Treasury Yields Just Hit 4.8% – What It Means for Your SGX Portfolio

2 September 2026, AM

Overnight Read:

Wall Street had a rough session: Dow -0.79% (52,766.88), S&P 500 -0.71% (7,631.47), Nasdaq -1.03% (26,099.77). Tech hardware hit hardest – Micron -2.6%, AMD -2.4%, Dell -6.8%. Drivers: renewed Gulf military strikes pushed crude sharply higher, feeding into bond yields. 10-year Treasury climbed to 4.797%. Fed Chair Warsh flagged persistent inflation, signaling policy may stay restrictive or tighten further. VIX +9.52% to 16.34. Brent settled +4.6% at $94.65/barrel (per Business Times; other feeds range $91.50–$95.22 – treat as directional).

Locally, STI dropped 0.78% to 5,710, intraday low 5,697.81, on broad blue-chip weakness (SGX, GuocoLand -0.45% to S$2.20). MAS began consultation on Payment Services Act amendments for single-currency stablecoins; Enterprise Singapore's enhanced 70% SME loan risk-share took effect today.

My Personal Take:

The 10-year Treasury at 4.8% is the key number today, more than daily index moves. Rising yields tend to weigh on S-REITs, as valuations are benchmarked against risk-free rates – a higher rate makes REIT yields less attractive, all else equal. Banks generally benefit from higher rates via net interest margins, but that's a tailwind, not a guarantee. If you hold a REIT-heavy CPF/SRS income portfolio, this macro backdrop matters more than any single STI session, which today looks like broad risk-off following Wall Street.

Not financial advice. Iggy's Forensic Compliance Standards apply.

Cheers, Iggy 🦖

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NewUser_FVb16a

Rate Of Return

TerawulfAug 28 at 04:25 PM

$SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US)Danger:

sustained <7,400 → tactical structure deteriorating substantially.

Major warning:

approximately <7,200–7,250 combined with worsening breadth/credit/volatility → I would stop treating it as an ordinary dip.

I would not automatically buy simply because one of those prices is reached. Your upgraded system should require the Opportunity trajectory to turn before committing.

The setup I’d most like to see

For your system, the ideal sequence would actually be:

SPY falls 2–4%

→ 30m Danger peaks

→ Danger velocity falls

→ 30m Opportunity turns

→ 1H follows

→ breadth stabilizes

→ VIX stops accelerating

→ 4H confirms

→ Daily trend remains intact.

That would be a much better entry than buying SPY at today’s elevated level simply because Weekly remains bullish

T

TheInvestingIguana

AJBU

Rate Of ReturnAug 28 at 12:31 AM

Featured

Iggy's Journal: Banks Dragged the STI Down 0.65 Percent While Wall Street Partied on Nvidia and Salesforce

28 August 2026, AM

Overnight Read:

Wall Street had a genuinely strong session Thursday. Dow up 0.20% to 53,569.44, S&P 500 up 0.72% to 7,730.99, Nasdaq up 1.57% to 26,541.35, the tech-led move driven by Nvidia and Salesforce both blowing past earnings forecasts, Nvidia up 8.74%, Salesforce up 22.58%. VIX eased to 14.51, down from Wednesday's 15.68, so the rally came with falling fear, not despite it. Brent crude edged up to $87.65 a barrel on Gulf Coast refinery demand and lingering Strait of Hormuz risk. USD/SGD sat at 1.2715.

None of that carried over to Singapore. The STI closed Thursday down 0.65% at 5,684, dragged by the banks, DBS off 0.59% to S$75.79, OCBC at S$31.29, UOB at S$40.69. Separately, SingStat's 2Q 2026 print showed services industry business receipts up 25.5% year on year and 6.2% quarter on quarter to S$1.58 trillion, a genuinely strong underlying number that got no credit in the index today.

My Personal Take:

The gap between last night's Wall Street mood and today's STI session is the part I keep coming back to. A 1.6 percent Nasdaq day on the back of AI earnings beats is a US growth story first, and Singapore's banks aren't priced on that story, they're priced on their own yield and capital metrics, which didn't move overnight just because Nvidia had a good quarter. I'd be careful reading today's STI weakness as a signal about local fundamentals when the more boring explanation, a strong global session simply not translating one for one into a bank-heavy index, fits just as well. The SingStat services number deserves more attention than it's getting buried under an index headline.

Not financial advice. Iggy's Forensic Compliance Standards apply.

Cheers, Iggy 🦖