Yields r/g. Bonds and all rate sensitive instruments reversing. I booked my small gains in $XLU and $IWM calls. $IWM is back at this rejection spot.
Pro Ultrshrt 20+Yrs Trsy
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- C
FeaturedTreasury Yields Hit Their Highest Level in Over Two Decades: Why Didn’t the Fed’s Hike Stop Long Bonds from Falling?
The Fed can set what banks pay overnight, but it cannot decide what investors demand to lend for thirty years. With the 10-year at 5.24% and the 30-year at 5.56%, that repricing is already reaching mortgages, corporate borrowing and the valuations of companies whose profits are still years away.
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Triple Witching Tonight: The Fed Just Hiked, Trillions in Options Expire at Once. Is Your Portfolio Ready?
Rate hike on Wednesday, rebound on Thursday. Think the week is over? One more hurdle tonight. 3.28 million SPY options settle on a single closing price, and whether your contracts get assigned or expire worthless comes down to the final minutes before the bell.
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Agent Unboxed 04 | From pricing rate cuts to pricing a hike — has the market flipped? Get an AI weather report before Friday's CPI
Unboxing Macro Analysis Assistant: CPI, the Fed decision, China data — one question a day, by the calendar, each answered with a one-line forecast and one chart. Post a chat screenshot for 288 Task Coins and a shot at an AI Pro card!
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Agent 开箱 - K
🌟🌟🌟This week is jammed packed with lots of important events for the markets:
1. Big Tech Earnings: $Microsoft(MSFT.US)reports on Tuesday, $Meta Platforms(META.US)on Wednesday, $Apple(AAPL.US)and $Amazon(AMZN.US)on Thursday. $SK Hynix(SKHY.US)drops its results on Wednesday July 29.
What to watch: Investors are no longer focusing on generic AI hype. They are looking at hard data. I would be watching capital expenditure numbers to see whether Big Tech is successfully monetising their AI investments. A failure to prove high margins will spark an aggressive tech rotation.
2. The FOMC meeting on Wednesday followed by new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference.
What to watch: While Fed is widely expected to maintain a steady pace, pay close attention to the forward guidance. If Fed signals that interest rate will stay higher for longer due to recent trade tariffs, bond ETFs like $iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd(TLT.US)and tech indices like Nasdaq 100 will face immediate downward pressure.
3. The US Q2 GDP Report Card on Thursday.
Consensus points to a stable print between 1.5% to 2.4%. If underlying consumer and business spending remains high, the market will jump.
4. Geopolitical & Energy Pivot
What to watch: Lower oil prices take the inflationary pressure off the consumer. If Iran war escalates, oil will surge past USD 100 a barrel.
Let's hope the market will have lots of good news. If not, then it is a great time for bargain hunting.
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Nvidia Bets $250B on OpenAI as Oil Tumbles Toward $90A blockbuster weekend for the AI trade. Nvidia (NVDA) is in talks to backstop about $250B of financing for an OpenAI mega data-centre and took a roughly 4.5% stake in Korea's NAVER, which jumped aroun...
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Bond prices drop when yields go up and Vice-versa. It confuses many, but the logic is pretty simple.
Imagine you own a bond paying 3%. If the government starts issuing new bonds paying 5%, nobody wants your lower paying bond anymore. You cant really sell them anymore. The market value of your asset drops because better options exist.This is exactly why increasing yields crush long duration bond funds like $TLT. When new yields go up, old bond prices must go down to attract a buyer. Vice versa when yields fall.What does this mean for the stock market? High yields act like pure gravitational pull on equities, especially growth and tech names in indices like $QQQ and $SPY. When institutional capital can get a guaranteed, high return from safe government bonds, they pull money out of risky stocks. Don't overcomplicate the macro. It's just a see-saw. - W
Diesel-driving bondholders are NOT having a good time rn $XLE $TLT
- B
Stable dividend from TLT , wish increase more units in future.
And hold more other stocks position and grow my portfolio . 🫡
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - B
TLT is the best and stable monthly dividend and hedging products in my opinion, will try to add more in future.
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