$Tesla(TSLA.US) is already getting restless before September 3rd 🤣
$Alphabet(GOOGL.US) I've accumulated quite a few long calls; need to manage position size carefully 🤔
Not investment advice!
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$Tesla(TSLA.US) is already getting restless before September 3rd 🤣
$Alphabet(GOOGL.US) I've accumulated quite a few long calls; need to manage position size carefully 🤔
Not investment advice!
US stocks mixed pre-market after Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech lifted September rate hike odds to 62%. I am skeptical the Fed will move in September given slowing jobs and stable inflation. Brent rose 2% on renewed US-Iran strikes. 2- and 10-yr treasury yields eased, #BTC dipped but is +21% in August. Chip stocks were mixed (NVDA +0.5%). 2026 S&P EPS are now up +31% y/y to $346 on AI and energy sector gains, putting the S&P 500 2026 P/E at 21.2x, matching the 10-year yield. I remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) amid falling long-term estimates, the ongoing commoditization of unsupervised autonomy, and a 210x 2026 P/E versus +35% long-term earnings growth implying a 6x PEG, by far the highest among the Mag 8.
Analysts are split on this one which is kind of interesting, some calling it a real catalyst and others saying the event itself is underwhelming since the hardware was already shown. I think the disagreement is actually the tell, if it was obviously good or obviously bad everyone would agree already. Watching the FSD demo specifically, not the car design.