U.S. stocks fell Thursday pre-mkt (SPX -1.1%, NDX -1.9%) on worries that heavy data-center and AI spending will take longer to pay off, raising valuation and concerns about an AI bubble. Brent crude rose to $112/bbl; the 10-year yield dropped 5.4 bp to 5.06% on safe-haven demand. Bitcoin, gold, and silver also declined. Tech shares dropped despite solid $Meta Platforms(META.US) and $Meta Platforms(META.US) results, with Tesla -5.3% after a hype-heavy call and a routine year-end Capex guidance cut; stocks of tech peers followed suit. S&P 2026 EPS estimates of $367 imply a 20.9x P/E and 4.8% yield, inverted versus Treasuries—echoing late-1990s dot-com conditions. 10yr treasury yields are expected to ease by year-end as the Iran conflict ends, restoring a normal equity risk premium. We remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) given its extended 2026 P/E of 230x vs +45% long-term EPS growth, negative earnings revisions, and continuing commoditization of autonomy.
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Featured📉 22 October 2026 Market Recap: Gold Falls, Stocks Retreat and AI Supply Risks Take Centre Stage
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The Nasdaq 100 just posted its best day since September 21, one week after it lost 5.5%
The tech heavy index closed up 1.17% Monday. The Nasdaq rose 1.1% to 26,430.89 and the S&P 500 gained 0.4% to 7,690.73, while the Dow slipped 0.1% to 51,966.03$Amazon(AMZN.US) led the Magnificent 7 with a 5% jump, its best day since July 31, adding roughly $130 billion in market value. Morgan Stanley said AWS growth could hit 47% in 2027, and $Amazon(AMZN.US) is funding a 960 MW nuclear project in Indiana$Tesla(TSLA.US) rose 3.8%, $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) 1.4%, $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) 1.1% and $Microsoft(MSFT.US) 0.8%. $Apple(AAPL.US) and $Meta Platforms(META.US) were the only Mag 7 names in the redChips bounced after last week's rout, with $SOXX up 1.7% and $Broadcom(AVGO.US) up 1.8%Not everything held. $Coreweave(CRWV.US) was up as much as 7.3% early and closed down 0.4%The 10 year Treasury yield rose about 4 bps to 5.14%, WTI crude fell 3% to about $98 and the VIX dropped 8% to 18.4A relief rally led by a few megacaps isn't an all clear. The Dow finished red, $Coreweave(CRWV.US) gave back its whole bounce and the 10 year is still above 5%, so the real test is the first big AI earnings reports and whether all that spending is finally paying offSource: StockMarket.News
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I warned everyone that the Roadster unveil would be met with indifference by TSLA investors ($Tesla(TSLA.US) -3.1% vs NDX -2.3%). One, while the engineering and tech were dazzling, the expected financial impact (we estimate +$.06/share incremental eps in 2029) is only +1.1% of consensus 2029 adj eps of $5.40. Second, the halo effect on the $Tesla(TSLA.US) franchise is likely to be limited since only a tiny subset of U.S. drivers care about going from 0-60 in 1 second, or that the vehicle can fly short distances while doing flips mid-air. Third, TSLA always sells on the news after its events and the same principle applies today. We remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) due to its extended valuation, continued expected negative revisions, and our view that unsupervised autonomy becomes commoditized.
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Repost morning bump
Featured📊🐶 OPTIONSPUPPY DAILY STOCK SUMMARY — 16 OCTOBER 2026 🇸🇬📊🐶 OPTIONSPUPPY DAILY STOCK SUMMARY — 16 OCTOBER 2026 🇸🇬🌎 1. Wall Street: The Market Is RotatingThe market is becoming more cautious about expensive technology and AI stocks as hotter inflation raises...
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$Coreweave(CRWV.US) is down about 17% today near $65 after its unsecured bonds due 2032 fell below 80 cents on the dollar, pushing yields above 15%, per Bloomberg
That is the level credit markets usually treat as distressedThe selloff is spreading across the AI cloud trade. $IREN(IREN.US) is down 12%, $Nebius(NBIS.US) 11% and $Oracle(ORCL.US) 9%, while $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) is off 3.5% and the Nasdaq 100 is down more than 2%Options traders piled in too. $Coreweave(CRWV.US) saw nearly 200,000 puts trade vs 106,000 calls, and one buyer paid $1.9M for 26,000 December $37.50 puts, per CNBCCEO Mike Intrator told Bloomberg the market is acting "irrationally" and that he remains confident in the companyThe stock is now down about 29% since Oct 6 and sits roughly 57% below its 52 week high near $150Demand has not cracked here. Backlog was $104B last quarter and Q3 revenue is expected to grow about 159%. What changed is the price of money. When GPUs are funded with debt and the bonds yield 15% on the same morning CPI runs hot, the equity gets repriced first. The thing to watch is whether $Coreweave(CRWV.US) can keep raising capital at a cost below what its GPUs earnSource: StockMarket.News
