Tesla has recently focused on

Pressure zone: 465 478

Support zone: 424 445

These are two support and pressure points,

Ultra-short term: The stock price has just ended a 7-day consecutive decline, with an intraday rebound of nearly 4%, showing strong recovery momentum after an oversold short-term condition. The current price is holding above the 50-day moving average support at $445, and short-term momentum indicators are expected to rebound from low levels. Aggressive investors can bet on a rebound to $465, the 20-day moving average, with a stop-loss set below $440. For short-term considerations, I think this is a good choice, but this is just my personal suggestion. For reference only.

Although there was an intraday rebound yesterday, the medium-term trend remains unclear. The company's recently announced Q4 delivery data (418,000 units) fell short of expectations (422,000 units), and there is uncertainty around the earnings report on January 28. The stock price is currently in a volatile range, with strong technical resistance at $465-478. It is recommended to wait for earnings guidance or a decisive breakout above the $478 resistance level before adding positions. For now, holding existing positions or staying on the sidelines is advisable. Therefore, I think those planning for the long term can wait a bit. I hope everyone minimizes risks, which is very beneficial for themselves.

Looking at Tesla in the long term: The long-term narrative has shifted from pure EV sales to AI and Robotaxi. Despite the core EV business facing declining sales, a year-on-year drop in 2025 deliveries, and intensified competition—along with the fundamental pressure of being overtaken by BYD—and an extremely high P/E ratio (>300), the market has high expectations for the Cybercab production in April 2026 and the rollout of FSD. Long-term investors need to tolerate high volatility and focus on whether the AI business can deliver results to justify the high valuation.

So we need to wait and see if Tesla's AI technology can support this meme stock. There are many unstable factors now, and I don’t recommend going all-in or heavily invested. You can consider starting with short-term positions and gradually observe, which is the best approach. Alternatively, you can build a small initial position, which is also acceptable. I will continue to monitor this meme stock closely.