$BABA-W(09988.HK)

I am looking ahead to Alibaba’s earnings announcement on 19 March 2026. On the fundamental side, my focus is on the Qwen AI model. I want to know whether the massive user growth we have heard and seen is translating into actual profit. If it delivers triple-digit growth and the cloud segment continues its 30%+ trajectory, I believe the market will react positively.

For the core commerce business, I am hoping to see stable or improved profit margins. Beyond the operational results, I also like to see Alibaba continue rewarding shareholders through sustained buybacks and attractive dividends.

The 4H chart suggests that the “easy selling” is done. The 4H RSI is at extreme oversold territory. Today might be another sell day. It is currently around 20.5, which is significantly lower than the daily RS. A” relief bounce” may occur. Do note that the stock is currently trapped inside a descending channel. It major resistance is at HKD 140. Let’s cross the fingers and pray for the best🤞