Recently analyzed the historical data of MSTR. If we purely look at the mNAV corresponding to Market Cap, during non-crypto bull market periods, MSTR's premium has maintained an mNAV between 0.8 and 1.2 for an extended time (Figure 1). Here, the mNAV corresponding to Market Cap refers purely to the market capitalization of DAT, excluding the valuation of financing instruments like convertible bonds and STRC. Currently, the 1.2 mNAV on MSTR's official website dashboard includes the mNAV corresponding to the EV of all the above. In other words, if we only look at DAT's core business, the non-bull market average of market-cap mNAV is 0.8-1.2. A higher premium requires additional value-added EV to drive it. For MSTR, that means financing toolkits like STRC.

Similarly, for BMNR, due to its single financing instrument and its derivative businesses (staking, moonshot) not yet generating substantial scaled revenue, Market Cap is approximately equal to EV. The mNAV corresponding to Market Cap fell below 1 in December '25 and has fluctuated between 0.9 and 1 for a period of 5 months (Figure 2), which is also a kind of normal average. I believe this is not an undervaluation, but rather the market's valuation level for DAT during a non-crypto bull market cycle. For BMNR to achieve a higher premium, assets like MAVAN, staking infrastructure, and moonshot investments must transition from narratives into trackable EV, which would then drive the premium above 1.2.

Of course, the above analysis is based on non-crypto bull market sentiment. If BTC/ETH both break new highs, FOMO sentiment could drive DAT's premium even higher (e.g., MSTR's peak could reach 3+), but this is unpredictable in the short term and thus not within the analytical framework.

$Strategy(MSTR.US)

$BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US)