
China scales back fiscal stimulus in first month of war in Iran

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China reduced fiscal spending by 2.5% in March, marking its largest decline since October, despite an economic rebound. Fiscal revenue increased by 3.4%, resulting in a deficit of over 1.5 trillion yuan. The economy showed unexpected growth in Q1, reducing the need for additional fiscal stimulus. Policymakers are cautious due to rising debt and lower government income, especially after setting a modest growth target of 4.5-5% for the year. The ongoing conflict in Iran may complicate future stimulus plans, particularly with rising oil prices affecting foreign demand for exports.
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