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JPCRGAS@EC2602A
19070.HK
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Morning Trend | CHINA RES GAS waits for policy changes, where are the signals for sector rebound hidden?

On January 27th, CHINA RES GAS (1193.HK) maintained a weak pattern throughout the day, with occasional capital movements at the opening, but quickly returning to silence during the day. The main trading volume was inactive, with low-level fluctuations and a gradual downward shift in focus, with 20.80 yuan becoming a key defensive point for both bulls and bears during the session. The utility sector has seen extremely light news recently, with stable gas consumption across various regions and no explosive growth, while related policies are still in negotiation, leading to significant market expectation discrepancies. Expectations for industry upgrades and reforms have yet to materialize, and the sector lacks new hotspots or capital catalysts. Mainstream capital positions are gradually decreasing, and the motivation to chase higher prices has significantly weakened, with an operational style primarily focused on cautious defense. From a technical perspective, after the MACD turned green in this round, the bearish pressure has continued to increase, with all short-term moving averages in a bearish arrangement, indicating a weak trading structure. Occasionally, there are attempts by capital to fill positions, but without accompanying volume, it is difficult to form effective signals to stop the decline. In the future, it is necessary to closely monitor marginal policy changes and trading anomalies to capture potential rebound windows. Overall assessment suggests that CHINA RES GAS is currently in a phase of disorderly fluctuations and defense, with the main force not significantly present. It is recommended that right-side traders continue to observe, focusing on policy event-driven changes and the relationship between volume and price before making dynamic adjustments to positions, in order to guard against the risk of a downward inertia in the market before rebound opportunities arise

Technical Forecast·
Technical Forecast·

Morning Trend | CHINA RES GAS consolidates at a high level, with increasing divergence among main forces affecting market direction

China Resources Gas (1193.HK) experienced wide fluctuations in the high range of 22-23 HKD yesterday. Although the surface consolidation has intensified, it actually reflects a divergence in capital. Benefiting from urban consumption recovery and favorable related policies, the gas sector remains an important allocation direction for defensive funds, but the pressure at high levels is evident. The buying and selling forces are in a tug-of-war, and the market trend momentum is relatively weakened, with trading volume hovering around recent averages. Long-term mergers and acquisitions and new projects are frequently reported within and outside the industry, but they have yet to ignite a second wave of upward momentum. Large funds continue to tentatively flow back, with cautious operational willingness, and the competition among major players in the sector is heating up. Technically, bullish momentum still exists, but the pressure from the 20-day moving average is significant. If it is breached, it could easily trigger profit-taking and sector adjustments. As short-term speculative funds quickly switch, the subsequent performance of individual stocks is extremely sensitive to the flow of major funds. If there is a sudden large outflow of funds, China Resources Gas will face pressure adjustments, and the probability of a downward wave will increase accordingly. Investors should closely monitor the catalytic factors for the industry in the future and the attention level of the sector, and manage short-term risk control effectively

Technical Forecast·
Technical Forecast·