ASTS261120C150000.US

$AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) | B.Riley 𝐮𝐩𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐬 AST Spacemobile to 𝐁𝐮𝐲, maintains 𝐏𝐓 𝐚𝐭 $𝟖𝟓

Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile, and Intuitive Machines have all moved lower on a YTD performance basis.

$AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) SPCX is directly competing with ASTS. Directly.

But RKLB $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US) still managed to carve out its own path. This is Peter's wisdom.

⚡ 𝐔𝐏𝐃𝐀𝐓𝐄: Rakuten-led group set for subsidies to build Japan's answer to Starlink - Nikkei - $SpaceX(SPCX.US) $AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US)

🚨 Space Stocks Are Getting Crushed

Feels like the only thing that hasn’t crashed…

$Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)has been under pressure this week. Here are the key drivers based on recent market action and reporting.

SpaceX went public around June 12, 2026, in one of the largest IPOs ever raising ~$75 billion at a massive valuation. This created intense focus and capital inflows into SpaceX itself, leading to profit-taking and rotation out of other public space stocks like $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US), ASTS, LUNR, and SPCE. Many space names dropped 10–40% in the days following as investors reassessed valuations and shifted attention. $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)was caught in this sell the hype dynamic: pre-IPO excitement had lifted the whole sector, but post-IPO reality triggered selling in peers. Analysts and traders noted SpaceX sucking the oxygen out of the broader space trade.

Besides, $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)was added to the Nasdaq-100 Index effective on June 22. The announcement triggered a strong pre-market rally (up 7–8%+ at times), but this reversed into profit-taking once regular trading began. One session saw a sharp drop (around 10%+ intraday in reports) as traders who bought the rumor sold the news. Passive index fund buying is expected starting next week, which could provide support, but the immediate reaction was negative.

@Bridge Buzz SG

⚡ 𝐔𝐏𝐃𝐀𝐓𝐄: $AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) AST SpaceMobile Successfully Launches BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 Satellites

$AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) down 15% as the whole space group got drained to fund the SpaceX listing. brutal day but the BlueBird launch is next week, watching closely 🎪

$AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) Since the Blue Origin rocket explosion, stocks in the space industry have been acting strangely. $AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) stock price has been highly volatile, and in the short term, it's also been affected by the SpaceX (SPCX) IPO, showing a clear phenomenon of "fund rotation + sell the news." Last Friday, the stock price fell 15.53%, and the current price is $82.41.

The most clear positive catalyst recently is that AST SpaceMobile has confirmed that BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 will be launched on a SpaceX Falcon 9 from Cape Canaveral on June 17.

But whether a company can operate well isn't solely about technological strength.

The top-left chart shows the implied volatility over the past two years. In this chart, we can clearly see the significantly declined stock price while volatility remains high. This is a relatively positive aspect I see in today's data, but how positive this is must be judged with the help of the Put/Call volatility spread.

The top-right chart shows the recent trend of the volatility spread. This chart looks quite unfavorable because, despite such a large drop in stock price, the main trading pattern is still chasing to buy call options. The volatility spread has been in a deeply negative state most of the time. Very few market participants are buying Puts to hedge against the price drop; everyone is still in the fervent speculative atmosphere of buying on every dip.

For the stock price to rise sharply, it naturally needs speculative frenzy to boost it. However, during the process of price correction and consolidation, if it doesn't trigger panic and spur a frenzy of chasing to buy put options, it's very unfavorable for the price correction and consolidation. In plain terms: the deleveraging of the long positions hasn't been completed yet.

Looking at the bottom-right chart, the correlation coefficient analysis between stock return and volatility, as expected, the current correlation coefficient still maintains a significantly positive correlation. The stock price has fallen so much, but compared to February and April this year, we cannot determine that the price correction is complete based on the existing data.

The bottom-left chart is the option position change chart from last Friday's trading. There is still a more noticeable increase in call option positions, but put option positions have also started to increase, which is a good sign. I think the stock price shouldn't rush to rebound subsequently. It would be a better state if it could consolidate weakly and let the bullish trading sentiment cool down.

Summary: The stock price has already fallen so much, but the analysis data surprisingly suggests "it hasn't fallen enough yet."

Space stocks are getting SMOKED today as the market awaits the SpaceX IPO listing $SpaceX(SPCX.US) 🔴 $AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) -11%🔴 $Intuitive Machines(LUNR.US) -10%🔴 $Echostar(SATS.US) -9%🔴 $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US) -8%🔴 $Planet Labs(PL.US) -8%

Got back into $AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) ahead of teh $SpaceX(SPCX.US) IPO

📊 𝐈𝐍𝐕𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐎𝐑 𝐍𝐎𝐓𝐄: William Blair Sees Blue Origin Recovery as Positive for AST SpaceMobile, Karman - $AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) $Karman(KRMN.US) $SpaceX(SPCX.US)

📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: Goldman Sachs expects $SpaceX(SPCX.US) SpaceX's AI-related revenue to grow 100-fold by 2030. - FT

Easy to get blinded by the SpaceX IPO halo effect, but the multiples on $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US) $Intuitive Machines(LUNR.US) $AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) $York Space(YSS.US) $Firefly Aerospace(FLY.US) etc. are far from reality.

$AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) | William Blair 𝐫𝐞𝐢𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐏𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦 on 𝐀𝐒𝐓 𝐒𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐞𝐌𝐨𝐛𝐢le, flags 𝐍𝐞𝐰 𝐆𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐧 rocket explosion as a '𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤'

📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: Space Economy Market Could Exceed $1 Trillion By 2030