Poll: RBA expected hold at 3.60% this month as outlook shifts to long pause through 2026
The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to maintain the cash rate at 3.60% on December 9, according to a Reuters poll of 38 economists. The outlook has shifted, with most economists now anticipating rates to remain unchanged through 2026, influenced by stronger inflation, GDP growth, and a solid labor market. Interest-rate futures suggest a 70% chance of a hike by late 2026. Among major banks, Westpac expects cuts in 2026, while ANZ, CBA, and NAB foresee an extended hold.
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