<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="960" height="640" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>图片来源：Pixabay</em></p>
<p>在周二的早盘欧洲交易时段，欧元/英镑货币对在 0.8620 附近脆弱交易，接近五个月低点。该交叉货币对在欧洲央行（ECB）和英格兰银行（BoE）周四的货币政策公告之前承压。</p>
<p>投资者预计两家央行将维持当前利率不变。由于欧元区的通胀率仍接近央行 2% 的目标，预计 ECB 将把存款便利利率维持在 2%。</p>
<p>在 ECB 的货币政策公告之前，投资者将关注周三发布的 1 月份欧元区和谐消费者价格指数（HICP）初步数据。预计 HICP 年化增速将上升至 1.7%，低于 12 月份的 1.9%。在同一时期，核心 HICP（不包括食品、能源、酒精和烟草等波动性成分）预计将稳步增长 2.3%。</p>
<p>与此同时，预计 BoE 将把借贷利率维持在 3.75% 不变，因为之前的降息影响尚未传导至经济。此外，英国央行在 12 月的政策会议上将利率下调了 25 个基点，并重申货币政策正处于 “逐步下行路径”。</p>
<p>预计英国 12 月消费者价格指数（CPI）数据的增幅高于预期，这也可能会使 BoE 官员不愿意连续降息。12 月份，整体通胀率从 11 月份的 3.2% 加速至 3.4%，在经历了两个月的放缓后。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
<p>英镑在美国 ISM 制造业 PMI 发布前小幅上涨</p>
<p>英镑在英格兰银行政策周初期上涨</p>
<p>英镑在数据稀少的一周开始时谨慎交易</p>

LEUR

LGBP

SGBP

SEU3

SUP5

PUS5

<p>EUR/GBP 货币对的交易接近五个月低点 0.8620，投资者在等待欧洲央行（ECB）和英国央行（BoE）的货币政策公告。预计两家央行将维持当前利率，欧洲央行可能会将存款便利利率保持在 2%，因为通胀保持稳定。预计一月份的初步欧元区 HICP 数据将显示年化增幅放缓至 1.7%。与此同时，英国央行预计将利率维持在 3.75%，受到近期通胀数据和之前降息的影响</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>Image Source: Pixabay</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源：Pixabay</em></p>
</div><p>The EUR/GBP pair trades vulnerably near the five-month low of 0.8620 during the early European trading session on Tuesday. The cross has come under pressure ahead of monetary policy announcements by both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) on Thursday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在周二的早盘欧洲交易时段，欧元/英镑货币对在 0.8620 附近脆弱交易，接近五个月低点。该交叉货币对在欧洲央行（ECB）和英格兰银行（BoE）周四的货币政策公告之前承压。</p>
</div><p>Investors expect both central banks to leave interest rates at their current levels. The ECB is seen holding its Deposit Facility Rate steady at 2% as inflation in the Eurozone region has remained close to the central bank’s 2% target.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>投资者预计两家央行将维持当前利率不变。由于欧元区的通胀率仍接近央行 2% 的目标，预计 ECB 将把存款便利利率维持在 2%。</p>
</div><p>Ahead of the ECB’s monetary policy announcement, investors will focus on the preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for January, which will be released on Wednesday. The headline HICP is expected to have risen at an annualized pace of 1.7%, slower than 1.9% in December. In the same period, the core HICP – which excludes volatile components like food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco – is estimated to have grown steadily by 2.3%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 ECB 的货币政策公告之前，投资者将关注周三发布的 1 月份欧元区和谐消费者价格指数（HICP）初步数据。预计 HICP 年化增速将上升至 1.7%，低于 12 月份的 1.9%。在同一时期，核心 HICP（不包括食品、能源、酒精和烟草等波动性成分）预计将稳步增长 2.3%。</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, the BoE is seen leaving borrowing rates unchanged at 3.75% as the impact of previous interest rate cuts is yet to flow into the economy. Also, the United Kingdom (UK) central bank reduced interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) in the December policy meeting and reiterated that the monetary policy is on a “gradual downward path”.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，预计 BoE 将把借贷利率维持在 3.75% 不变，因为之前的降息影响尚未传导至经济。此外，英国央行在 12 月的政策会议上将利率下调了 25 个基点，并重申货币政策正处于 “逐步下行路径”。</p>
</div><p>A higher-than-projected increase in the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December is also expected to discourage BoE officials from delivering back-to-back interest rate cuts. In December, the headline inflation accelerated to 3.4% from 3.2% in November after slowing down for two months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>预计英国 12 月消费者价格指数（CPI）数据的增幅高于预期，这也可能会使 BoE 官员不愿意连续降息。12 月份，整体通胀率从 11 月份的 3.2% 加速至 3.4%，在经历了两个月的放缓后。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
</div><p>Pound Sterling Ticks Up Against US Dollar Ahead Of US ISM Manufacturing PMI</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英镑在美国 ISM 制造业 PMI 发布前小幅上涨</p>
</div><p>Pound Sterling Gains At The Start Of BoE Policy Week</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英镑在英格兰银行政策周初期上涨</p>
</div><p>Pound Sterling Trades Cautiously To Start A Data-Light Week</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英镑在数据稀少的一周开始时谨慎交易</p>
</div>

EUR/GBP Trades With Caution Near Five-Month Low Of 0.8620, ECB-BoE Policy In Focus

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欧元兑英镑在接近五个月低点 0.8620 时谨慎交易，欧洲央行和英国央行的政策成为关注焦点