<p>日经 225 指数在周五下跌超过 3%，与美国股市的表现相呼应，道琼斯指数和纳斯达克 100 分别下跌 200 点和 60 点。该日本指数跌至¥53,370，较今年最高点下跌 10.10%。</p>
<p><strong>日本股市在通胀担忧中</strong></p>
<p>由于全球股市因伊朗战争持续紧张而承压，日经 225 指数受到影响，能源价格上涨。布伦特原油在周四飙升至 115 美元，随后回落。</p>
<p>日本银行在周四的利率决策中指出，能源风险上升是一个主要关注点。它维持利率不变，并暗示可能在未来几个月被迫通过加息进行干预。</p>
<p>积极的一面是，油价在周五回落，布伦特和西德克萨斯中质油（WTI）分别跌至 107 美元和 93 美元。这两个基准在美国战机和直升机开始重启霍尔木兹海峡的重大战斗后下跌。</p>
<p>交易员认为，这些行动可能会导致重要海峡的货物运输恢复，从而在未来几周内降低价格。日本将从这一狭窄海峡的重新开放中受益匪浅，因为它大部分能源资源来自该地区。</p>
<p>在周四特朗普与高市早苗在华盛顿的最新会晤后，日本股市也下跌。特朗普向日本总统施压，要求其在伊朗问题上提供帮助，甚至提到了珍珠港袭击事件。</p>
<p>周五大多数日本公司股价下跌。住友金属矿业的股票下跌超过 8.7%，成为指数中的最大拖累。这一回落发生在大多数商品如黄金、铜和白银暴跌之际。</p>
<p>东京电力公司的股票下跌 8.4%，而 DOWA、TOPPAN、三菱材料、丰田通商和清水建设的股票均下跌超过 6.70%。其他在指数中表现不佳的公司包括三井、横滨、丸红、三菱、软银和伊藤忠，均下跌超过 5%。</p>
<p>只有少数公司股价上涨，包括 BayCurrent、古河电工、Inpex 和 NTT 等公司。</p>
<p><strong>日经 225 指数技术分析</strong></p>
<p><em>日经指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
<p>日线图显示，日经 225 指数在过去几周回落，从 2 月 26 日的高点¥59,332 下跌至当前的¥53,372。</p>
<p>它已跌破上升趋势线，这与去年 8 月 6 日以来的最低波动相吻合。在将趋势线下移后，它再次测试了该线，确认了看跌前景。</p>
<p>该指数现在已跌破 50 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而百分比价格振荡器（PPO）和相对强弱指数（RSI）均向下移动。</p>
<p>因此，该指数可能会继续下跌，下一个主要目标为¥51,388，即 5 月 9 日的最低水平。若跌破该水平，将指向更大的下行空间，可能会跌至关键支撑位¥50,000。</p>

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<p>日经 225 指数下跌超过 3%，至 53,370 日元，较年度高点下跌 10.10%，受到全球通胀担忧和伊朗战争中能源价格上涨的影响。日本银行在最近的利率决策中提到能源风险，维持利率不变，但暗示未来可能加息。大多数日本股票下跌，住友金属矿业和东京电力等公司的股价大幅下滑。技术分析显示进一步下跌的可能性，潜在目标为 51,388 日元，关键支撑位在 50,000 日元</p>

<p>The Nikkei 225 Index retreated by over 3% on Friday, mirroring the performance of American equities, with the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 falling by 200 and 60 points, respectively. The Japanese index dropped to ¥53,370, down by 10.10% from its highest point this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日经 225 指数在周五下跌超过 3%，与美国股市的表现相呼应，道琼斯指数和纳斯达克 100 分别下跌 200 点和 60 点。该日本指数跌至¥53,370，较今年最高点下跌 10.10%。</p>
</div><p><strong>Japanese stocks amid inflation concerns</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日本股市在通胀担忧中</strong></p>
</div><p>The Nikkei 225 Index has come under pressure as global stocks remained on edge amid the ongoing Iran war that has pushed energy prices higher. Brent, the global benchmark, jumped to $115 on Thursday, before pulling back.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由于全球股市因伊朗战争持续紧张而承压，日经 225 指数受到影响，能源价格上涨。布伦特原油在周四飙升至 115 美元，随后回落。</p>
</div><p>The Bank of Japan flagged the rising energy risks as a major concern on Thursday when it delivered its interest rate decision. It left interest rates unchanged and hinted that it may be forced to intervene by hiking interest rates in the coming months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日本银行在周四的利率决策中指出，能源风险上升是一个主要关注点。它维持利率不变，并暗示可能在未来几个月被迫通过加息进行干预。</p>
</div><p>On the positive side, oil prices have pulled back on Friday, with Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) falling to $107 and $93, respectively. The two benchmarks dropped after US warplanes and helicopters started a major battle to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>积极的一面是，油价在周五回落，布伦特和西德克萨斯中质油（WTI）分别跌至 107 美元和 93 美元。这两个基准在美国战机和直升机开始重启霍尔木兹海峡的重大战斗后下跌。</p>
</div><p>Traders believe that these actions may lead to the resumption of shipments in the important strait, leading to lower prices in the coming weeks. Japan would benefit substantially from the reopening of this narrow strait as it imports most of its energy resources from the region.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>交易员认为，这些行动可能会导致重要海峡的货物运输恢复，从而在未来几周内降低价格。日本将从这一狭窄海峡的重新开放中受益匪浅，因为它大部分能源资源来自该地区。</p>
</div><p>Japan stocks also dropped after the latest meeting between Donald Trump and Sanae Takaichi in Washington on Thursday. Trump pressed Japan’s president for help on Iran, even as he referenced the Pearl Harbour attack.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在周四特朗普与高市早苗在华盛顿的最新会晤后，日本股市也下跌。特朗普向日本总统施压，要求其在伊朗问题上提供帮助，甚至提到了珍珠港袭击事件。</p>
</div><p>Most Japanese companies were in the red on Friday. Sumitomo Metal Mining stock dropped by over 8.7%, making it the top laggard in the index. This retreat happened as most commodities like gold, copper, and silver tumbled.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周五大多数日本公司股价下跌。住友金属矿业的股票下跌超过 8.7%，成为指数中的最大拖累。这一回落发生在大多数商品如黄金、铜和白银暴跌之际。</p>
</div><p>Tokyo Electric Power Company stock dropped by 8.4%, while DOWA, TOPPAN, Mitsubishi Materials, Toyota Tshusho, and Shimizu Corporation dropped by over 6.70%. Other top laggards in the index, were companies like Mitsui, Yokohama, Marubeni, Mitsubishi, Softbank, and Itochu, fell by over 5%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>东京电力公司的股票下跌 8.4%，而 DOWA、TOPPAN、三菱材料、丰田通商和清水建设的股票均下跌超过 6.70%。其他在指数中表现不佳的公司包括三井、横滨、丸红、三菱、软银和伊藤忠，均下跌超过 5%。</p>
</div><p>Only a handful of companies were in the green, including firms like BayCurrent, Furukawa Electric, Inpex, and NTT were in the green.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>只有少数公司股价上涨，包括 BayCurrent、古河电工、Inpex 和 NTT 等公司。</p>
</div><p><strong>Nikkei 225 Index technical analysis</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日经 225 指数技术分析</strong></p>
</div><p><em>Nikkei Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>日经指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The daily chart shows that the Nikkei 225 Index has retreated in the past few weeks, moving from a high of ¥59,332 on February 26 to the current ¥53,372.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，日经 225 指数在过去几周回落，从 2 月 26 日的高点¥59,332 下跌至当前的¥53,372。</p>
</div><p>It has dropped below the ascending trendline, which coincides with the lowest swings since August 6 last year. After moving that trendline below, it then retested it, confirming the bearish outlook.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>它已跌破上升趋势线，这与去年 8 月 6 日以来的最低波动相吻合。在将趋势线下移后，它再次测试了该线，确认了看跌前景。</p>
</div><p>The stock has now dropped below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), while the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) have moved downwards.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该指数现在已跌破 50 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而百分比价格振荡器（PPO）和相对强弱指数（RSI）均向下移动。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the index will likely continue falling, with the next major target being at ¥51,388, its lowest level on May 9. A move below that level will point to more downside, potentially to the key support ¥50,000.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，该指数可能会继续下跌，下一个主要目标为¥51,388，即 5 月 9 日的最低水平。若跌破该水平，将指向更大的下行空间，可能会跌至关键支撑位¥50,000。</p>
</div>

以下是日经 225 指数进入调整区间的原因