<p>日本股市在周三反弹，跟随其他全球股市。日经 225 指数上涨了 2.6%，较本周最低点上涨了 5.5%。那么，这些涨幅会持续吗？</p>
<p><strong>日经 225 指数反弹面临重大风险</strong></p>
<p>日经指数上涨，反映了美国期货的表现，与道琼斯和纳斯达克 100 相关的期货分别上涨了 340 点和 130 点以上。</p>
<p>其他全球指数也上涨，DAX 上涨了 210 点，KOSPI 上涨超过 2%。CAX 40、恒生指数和中国 A50 等主要指数也出现上涨。</p>
<p>此次反弹发生在特朗普总统宣布美伊之间的谈判仍在继续之后。他补充说，伊朗向美国发送了一份与石油相关的重要礼物。</p>
<p>美国与伊朗之间的协议将极具利好，因为日本主要依赖从中东进口的原油和天然气。</p>
<p>然而，人们担心这种上升的乐观情绪可能是短暂的，因为伊朗否认了有关美伊谈判的报道。伊朗官员认为，特朗普周一的初始帖子旨在提振股市并降低能源价格。</p>
<p>伊朗认为，在当前冲突中它占据上风，因为它控制霍尔木兹海峡。通过封锁海峡，该国推动了能源价格的上涨。在周三的一份声明中，雪佛龙的负责人警告称，加利福尼亚面临重大能源危机，因为 20% 的燃料来自亚洲市场。</p>
<p>此外，伊朗可能不会接受美国提出的条件。根据《纽约时报》的报道，特朗普政府提出了一项 15 点计划，伊朗不会接受。例如，该计划要求伊朗停止资助代理人，结束其弹道导弹计划，并交出其浓缩铀。</p>
<p>伊朗还认为，美国可能利用谈判来推迟对该国的陆地入侵，因为数千名军队正前往该地区。因此，战争可能会持续一段时间，导致油价逐渐上涨。</p>
<p>周三，大多数日本股票上涨。由于沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔·哈撒韦购买了该公司的股票，东京海上股价上涨了 12%。</p>
<p>古河电工、荏原制作所、软银、藤仓、住友电气工业和 SUMCO 是涨幅最大的公司，均上涨超过 6%。</p>
<p>另一方面，日经 225 指数中表现最差的公司包括野村综合研究所、Recruit Holdings、BayCurrent、Inpex 和 Konami Group，均下跌超过 1.1%。</p>
<p><strong>日经指数技术分析</strong></p>
<p><em>日经指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
<p>日线图显示，日经 225 指数在过去几天反弹。从最低点¥50,557 上涨至当前的¥53,600。</p>
<p>然而，该指数仍低于 50 日指数移动平均线（EMA）。超级趋势指标仍处于红色，而相对强弱指数（RSI）和百分比价格振荡器（PPO）持续下跌。</p>
<p>因此，该指数在短期内可能会保持紧张。如果发生这种情况，该指数可能会回落并重新测试¥50,557 的支撑位。</p>

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2 倍做空日圓 ETF - ProShares

<p>日经 225 指数在周三上涨了 2.6%，反映了全球股市的普遍反弹。这一上涨是在关于美伊谈判的积极消息之后出现的，这可能会影响对日本至关重要的油价。然而，关于这些涨幅的可持续性仍然存在担忧，因为伊朗否认了谈判，并可能不接受美国的条件。尽管许多日本股票表现良好，但技术指标显示日经指数可能面临挑战，可能会回落至支撑位</p>

<p>Japan stocks rebounded on Wednesday, joining other global equities. The Nikkei 225 Index jumped by 2.6%, up by 5.5% from its lowest level this week. So, will these gains continue?</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日本股市在周三反弹，跟随其他全球股市。日经 225 指数上涨了 2.6%，较本周最低点上涨了 5.5%。那么，这些涨幅会持续吗？</p>
</div><p><strong>Nikkei 225 Index rally faces major risk</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日经 225 指数反弹面临重大风险</strong></p>
</div><p>The Nikkei Index jumped, mirroring the performance of American futures, with those tied to the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 rising by over 340 and 130 points, respectively.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日经指数上涨，反映了美国期货的表现，与道琼斯和纳斯达克 100 相关的期货分别上涨了 340 点和 130 点以上。</p>
</div><p>Other global indices also jumped, with the DAX rising by 210 points and KOSPI jumping by over 2%. Top indices like CAX 40, Hang Seng, and China A50 also jumped.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>其他全球指数也上涨，DAX 上涨了 210 点，KOSPI 上涨超过 2%。CAX 40、恒生指数和中国 A50 等主要指数也出现上涨。</p>
</div><p>The rally is happening after President Donald Trump announced that talks between the US and Iran were continuing. He added that Iran had sent the US a major oil-related gift.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此次反弹发生在特朗普总统宣布美伊之间的谈判仍在继续之后。他补充说，伊朗向美国发送了一份与石油相关的重要礼物。</p>
</div><p>A deal between the United States and Iran would be highly bullish as Japan depends mostly on imported crude oil and gas from the Middle East.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国与伊朗之间的协议将极具利好，因为日本主要依赖从中东进口的原油和天然气。</p>
</div><p>However, there are concerns that the rising optimism will be short-lived as Iran has denied reports of talks between the US and the country. Iranian officials argued that Trump’s initial post on Monday was aimed at boosting the stock market and lowering energy prices.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，人们担心这种上升的乐观情绪可能是短暂的，因为伊朗否认了有关美伊谈判的报道。伊朗官员认为，特朗普周一的初始帖子旨在提振股市并降低能源价格。</p>
</div><p>Iran believes that it has an upper edge in the ongoing conflict because of its control on the Strait of Hormuz. By shutting the Strait, the country has pushed energy prices higher. In a statement on Wednesday, the head of Chevron warned that California risked a major energy crisis because 20% of its fuel comes from the Asian markets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>伊朗认为，在当前冲突中它占据上风，因为它控制霍尔木兹海峡。通过封锁海峡，该国推动了能源价格的上涨。在周三的一份声明中，雪佛龙的负责人警告称，加利福尼亚面临重大能源危机，因为 20% 的燃料来自亚洲市场。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, Iran will likely not accept the conditions that the United States has put in place. According to the New York Times, the Trump administration has put in place a 15-point plan that Iran will not accept. For example, the plan calls Iran to stop funding proxies, end its ballistic missile program, and hand over its enriched uranium.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，伊朗可能不会接受美国提出的条件。根据《纽约时报》的报道，特朗普政府提出了一项 15 点计划，伊朗不会接受。例如，该计划要求伊朗停止资助代理人，结束其弹道导弹计划，并交出其浓缩铀。</p>
</div><p>Iran also believes that the US may be using the talks to delay a land invasion in the country as thousands of troops are heading to the region. As such, there is a likelihood that the war will continue for a while, leading to higher oil prices over time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>伊朗还认为，美国可能利用谈判来推迟对该国的陆地入侵，因为数千名军队正前往该地区。因此，战争可能会持续一段时间，导致油价逐渐上涨。</p>
</div><p>Most Japanese stocks were in the green on Wednesday. Tokio Marine stock price jumped by 12% after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway bought shares in the company.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周三，大多数日本股票上涨。由于沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔·哈撒韦购买了该公司的股票，东京海上股价上涨了 12%。</p>
</div><p>Furukawa Electric, Ebara Corporation, Softbank, Fujikura, Sumitomo Electric Industries, and SUMCO were the top gainers, rising by over 6%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>古河电工、荏原制作所、软银、藤仓、住友电气工业和 SUMCO 是涨幅最大的公司，均上涨超过 6%。</p>
</div><p>On the other hand, the top laggards in the Nikkei 225 Index were companies like Nomura Research Institute, Recruit Holdings, BayCurrent, Inpex, and Konami Group, which dropped by over 1.1%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，日经 225 指数中表现最差的公司包括野村综合研究所、Recruit Holdings、BayCurrent、Inpex 和 Konami Group，均下跌超过 1.1%。</p>
</div><p><strong>Nikkei Index technical analysis</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日经指数技术分析</strong></p>
</div><p><em>Nikkei Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>日经指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The daily chart shows that the Nikkei 225 Index has rebounded in the past few days. It jumped from a low of ¥50,557 to the current ¥53,600.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，日经 225 指数在过去几天反弹。从最低点¥50,557 上涨至当前的¥53,600。</p>
</div><p>However, the index remains below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The Supertrend indicator has remained in the red, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) have continued falling.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，该指数仍低于 50 日指数移动平均线（EMA）。超级趋势指标仍处于红色，而相对强弱指数（RSI）和百分比价格振荡器（PPO）持续下跌。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the index will likely remain on edge in the near term. If this happens, the index will likely retreat and retest the support level at ¥50,557.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，该指数在短期内可能会保持紧张。如果发生这种情况，该指数可能会回落并重新测试¥50,557 的支撑位。</p>
</div>

Nikkei 225 Index is pumping today: Here's why gains may be short-lived

Invezz

BlackRock, Inc.

Simplex Financial Holdings Co., Ltd.

Welcia Holdings Co., Ltd.

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.

Nomura Holdings, Inc.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.

Asset Management One Co., Ltd.

GENERATION PASS CO. LTD.

日经 225 指数今天正在上涨：以下是涨幅可能不会持久的原因