<p>市场谨慎行事，大多数货币波动不大，投资者的注意力集中在美国与伊朗之间可能具有关键意义的谈判上，涉及海湾航运通道。本周停火协议即将到期，投资者密切关注谈判中是否会出现突破或挫折的迹象，德黑兰在地区紧张局势加剧的情况下仍未决定下一步的外交措施。</p>
<p>乐观情绪依然存在，特朗普总统指出讨论进展 “相对迅速”，并预计条款将比之前的协议有所改善。尽管如此，欧元和英镑等货币小幅下跌约 0.1%，这表明市场参与者采取观望态度。</p>
<p>风险厌恶的举动显而易见，澳元小幅回落至约 0.7171 美元，而美元指数在前一天下滑后稳定在 98.15 附近。日元徘徊在每美元 160 的关键水平附近，这是一个心理阈值，干预担忧常常在此时浮现，报道称日本银行倾向于暂停加息，考虑到全球经济形势的不确定性。</p>
<p>通胀数据为新西兰元提供了支撑，后者上涨 0.4% 至约 0.5914 美元。该国第一季度年通胀率保持在 3.1%，高于新西兰储备银行的目标区间，进一步引发了货币紧缩可能继续的猜测。</p>
<p>与此同时，布伦特原油价格跌破每桶 95 美元，因供应前景在潜在外交进展的背景下有所改善，以重新开放霍尔木兹海峡航运通道。油价下跌反映了市场对外交解决方案可能缓解供应担忧的预期。</p>
<p>在美国方面，目光集中在参议院听证会上，特朗普总统提名的美联储主席凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）将出席。沃什预计将重申他对货币政策独立性的承诺，这在不断变化的经济数据和政治动态背景下引起了关注。</p>
<p>今天晚些时候，3 月份的零售销售数据将受到关注，预测显示将大幅增长 1.4%。这些数据对于评估消费者的强劲程度至关重要，因为更广泛的经济形势正在展开。</p>
<p>随着地缘政治发展主导当前货币市场，市场情绪依然是谨慎的期待。外交会占据主导地位，还是紧张局势会再添变数？</p>

和顺石油

西方石油

英国石油

<p>市场保持谨慎，因为在美国与伊朗就海湾航运通道进行谈判期间，货币波动不大。停火协议的到期使投资者对任何外交突破保持警惕。由于强劲的通胀数据，新西兰元上涨了 0.4%，而澳大利亚元则有所回落。由于供应前景改善，布伦特原油价格跌破每桶 95 美元。市场还关注特朗普提名的美联储候选人凯文·沃什的参议院听证会，以及即将公布的零售销售数据，预计将增长 1.4%。市场情绪依然是对地缘政治发展的谨慎期待</p>

<p>Markets tread cautiously with most currencies showing little movement as attention centers on potentially pivotal negotiations between the U.S. and Iran regarding Gulf shipping lanes. The looming expiration of a ceasefire agreement this week has investors watching for any signs of breakthrough or setback in talks, with Tehran still undecided on its next diplomatic steps amid rising regional tensions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市场谨慎行事，大多数货币波动不大，投资者的注意力集中在美国与伊朗之间可能具有关键意义的谈判上，涉及海湾航运通道。本周停火协议即将到期，投资者密切关注谈判中是否会出现突破或挫折的迹象，德黑兰在地区紧张局势加剧的情况下仍未决定下一步的外交措施。</p>
</div><p>Optimism lingers as President Donald Trump noted the discussions are progressing &#34;relatively quickly&#34; and expects improved terms compared to prior agreements. Despite this, currencies like the euro and the sterling saw minor dips of around 0.1%, suggesting a wait-and-see stance among market participants.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>乐观情绪依然存在，特朗普总统指出讨论进展 “相对迅速”，并预计条款将比之前的协议有所改善。尽管如此，欧元和英镑等货币小幅下跌约 0.1%，这表明市场参与者采取观望态度。</p>
</div><p>Risk-averse moves were evident as the Australian dollar eased slightly to about $0.7171, while the U.S. dollar index held steady near 98.15 after slipping the day before. The yen hovered close to the critical 160 per dollar level, a psychological threshold where intervention fears often surface, with the Bank of Japan reportedly leaning towards a pause on interest rate hikes given the uncertain global backdrop.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>风险厌恶的举动显而易见，澳元小幅回落至约 0.7171 美元，而美元指数在前一天下滑后稳定在 98.15 附近。日元徘徊在每美元 160 的关键水平附近，这是一个心理阈值，干预担忧常常在此时浮现，报道称日本银行倾向于暂停加息，考虑到全球经济形势的不确定性。</p>
</div><p>Inflation data provided a boost for the New Zealand dollar, which rose by 0.4% to around $0.5914. The country's annual inflation held firm at 3.1% in Q1, above the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's target range, feeding speculation that monetary tightening might continue this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>通胀数据为新西兰元提供了支撑，后者上涨 0.4% 至约 0.5914 美元。该国第一季度年通胀率保持在 3.1%，高于新西兰储备银行的目标区间，进一步引发了货币紧缩可能继续的猜测。</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, Brent crude oil prices slipped below $95 a barrel as supply outlooks improve in light of prospective diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz shipping route. The falling oil prices reflect market expectations that a diplomatic resolution could ease supply concerns.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，布伦特原油价格跌破每桶 95 美元，因供应前景在潜在外交进展的背景下有所改善，以重新开放霍尔木兹海峡航运通道。油价下跌反映了市场对外交解决方案可能缓解供应担忧的预期。</p>
</div><p>On the U.S. front, eyes are set on a Senate hearing for Kevin Warsh, President Trump's pick to steer the Federal Reserve. Warsh is expected to reaffirm his commitment to monetary policy independence, a point of interest against the backdrop of evolving economic data and political dynamics.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在美国方面，目光集中在参议院听证会上，特朗普总统提名的美联储主席凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）将出席。沃什预计将重申他对货币政策独立性的承诺，这在不断变化的经济数据和政治动态背景下引起了关注。</p>
</div><p>Later today, retail sales figures for March will come under scrutiny, with forecasts pointing to a significant 1.4% jump. These numbers will be critical for gauging consumer strength as the broader economic picture unfolds.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>今天晚些时候，3 月份的零售销售数据将受到关注，预测显示将大幅增长 1.4%。这些数据对于评估消费者的强劲程度至关重要，因为更广泛的经济形势正在展开。</p>
</div><p>With geopolitical developments dictating much of the current currency scene, the market mood remains one of cautious anticipation. Will diplomacy take the lead, or will tensions throw another wrench in the works?</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>随着地缘政治发展主导当前货币市场，市场情绪依然是谨慎的期待。外交会占据主导地位，还是紧张局势会再添变数？</p>
</div>

Currencies Hold Steady Amid US-Iran Negotiations; Kiwi Rises on Inflation Data

Stock Invest

美国 WTI 原油 ETF

能源业 ETF - Vanguard

2 倍做多彭博原油 ETF - ProShares

美国石油设备与服务 ETF - iShares

油气服务 ETF - Market Vectors

新兴市场货币 做多 - WisdomTree

炼油公司指数 ETF - VanEck Vectors

能源业 ETF - SPDR

澳元 做多 - CurrencyShares

美国油气勘探与生产 ETF - iShares

标普油气设备与服务 ETF - SPDR

在美国与伊朗的谈判中，各国货币保持稳定；纽元因通胀数据上涨