<p>日经 225 指数在周一飙升至创纪录高位，投资者预计接下来一周市场将会非常活跃。该指数上涨至 60,787 日元，远高于年初至今的低点 50,430 日元。本文将探讨本周将推动日本股票的一些主要催化因素。</p>
<p><strong>日经 225 指数将对美伊战争问题作出反应</strong></p>
<p>本周日经 225 指数的主要催化因素是美伊战争的进展，目前已进入无期限停火安排。</p>
<p>周六，特朗普总统在一份声明中表示，他已取消了代表团前往巴基斯坦的行程，因为显然伊朗方面不会出席。</p>
<p>由于美国政府持续封锁，伊朗方面抵制与美国会面。因此，原油价格持续上涨，布伦特原油周一达到 107 美元的高位。日本企业对这些价格高度敏感，因为该国大部分能源依赖中东进口。</p>
<p><strong>日本银行利率决策</strong></p>
<p>日经 225 指数的另一个主要催化因素是本周二即将公布的日本银行利率决策。</p>
<p>路透社调查的经济学家预计，日本银行将维持利率在 30 年来的高点 0.75% 不变。官员们将此利率决策解释为观察战争对通胀影响的方式。</p>
<p>尽管如此，分析师预计日本银行最终将在今年晚些时候加息 0.25%，这是国际货币基金组织（IMF）所要求的。这也解释了为什么近期短期日本国债价格飙升。</p>
<p>除了日本银行的决策，接下来美联储的利率决策也将对该指数产生影响。鸽派倾向可能会推动指数上涨。</p>
<p><strong>日本企业财报</strong></p>
<p>与此同时，一些重要的日本公司将在本周公布财务业绩。其中最引人注目的是沃伦·巴菲特投资的综合商社，包括三菱、三井、丸红、住友和伊藤忠等公司将于周五发布财报。</p>
<p>更多大型公司如东京电子、丰田通商、豪雅、村田制作所、三菱电机、富士通和小松将在本周公布最新业绩。强劲的企业盈利将对指数产生非常积极的影响。</p>
<p>此外，该指数还将对美国财报季作出反应，本周微软、谷歌、苹果和 Meta Platforms 等公司将加速发布财报。</p>
<p><strong>日经 225 指数技术分析</strong></p>
<p><em>NI225 指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
<p>日线图显示，日经 225 指数近期出现强劲的看涨突破，目前徘徊在历史最高点。它已经突破关键阻力位 59,297 日元，确认了杯柄形态。</p>
<p>该指数仍高于所有移动平均线和 Murrey Math Lines 工具的强力反转支点。因此，下一个需要关注的关键阻力位将是 62,500 日元的最终阻力位。</p>

南方日经225

1346

华安日经225ETF

<p>日经 225 指数达到创纪录的 60,787 日元，主要受到本周关键因素的推动。持续的美伊战争及其对原油价格的影响（原油价格达到 107 美元）是一个主要因素，因为日本在能源进口方面依赖严重。此外，日本银行的利率决定预计将维持在 0.75%，这可能会导致未来加息。包括沃伦·巴菲特支持的主要日本公司的重要财报也将影响该指数的表现</p>

<p>The Nikkei 225 Index soared to a record high on Monday as investors anticipated a busy market week ahead. It jumped to a high of ¥60,787, much higher than the year-to-date low of ¥50,430. This article looks at some of the top catalysts that will move Japan stocks this week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日经 225 指数在周一飙升至创纪录高位，投资者预计接下来一周市场将会非常活跃。该指数上涨至 60,787 日元，远高于年初至今的低点 50,430 日元。本文将探讨本周将推动日本股票的一些主要催化因素。</p>
</div><p><strong>Nikkei 225 Index to react to the US-Iran war issues</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日经 225 指数将对美伊战争问题作出反应</strong></p>
</div><p>The main catalyst for the Nikkei 225 Index this week is the progress of the US-Iran war, which has now moved into an open-ended ceasefire arrangement.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本周日经 225 指数的主要催化因素是美伊战争的进展，目前已进入无期限停火安排。</p>
</div><p>In a statement on Saturday, President Donald Trump said that he had canceled the trip to Pakistan by his representatives as it became clear that the Iranians will not show up.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周六，特朗普总统在一份声明中表示，他已取消了代表团前往巴基斯坦的行程，因为显然伊朗方面不会出席。</p>
</div><p>Iranians have resisted meeting with the US as the US government continues the blockade. As a result, crude oil prices continued rising, with Brent reaching a high of $107 on Monday. Japanese companies are highly exposed to these prices because the country imports most of its energy from the Middle East.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由于美国政府持续封锁，伊朗方面抵制与美国会面。因此，原油价格持续上涨，布伦特原油周一达到 107 美元的高位。日本企业对这些价格高度敏感，因为该国大部分能源依赖中东进口。</p>
</div><p><strong>Bank of Japan interest rate decision</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日本银行利率决策</strong></p>
</div><p>The other main catalyst for the Nikkei 225 Index is the upcoming Bank of Japan interest rate decision that comes on Tuesday this week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日经 225 指数的另一个主要催化因素是本周二即将公布的日本银行利率决策。</p>
</div><p>Economists polled by Reuters expect the bank to leave interest rates uncharted at the 30 year high of 0.75%. Officials will justify the rate decision as a way to observe the impact of the war on inflation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>路透社调查的经济学家预计，日本银行将维持利率在 30 年来的高点 0.75% 不变。官员们将此利率决策解释为观察战争对通胀影响的方式。</p>
</div><p>Still, analysts expect that the bank will ultimately hike interest rates by 0.25% later this year as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has requested. This explains why the short-term Japanese government bonds have soared recently.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管如此，分析师预计日本银行最终将在今年晚些时候加息 0.25%，这是国际货币基金组织（IMF）所要求的。这也解释了为什么近期短期日本国债价格飙升。</p>
</div><p>In addition to the BoJ decision, the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision will have an impact on the index. A dovish tilt will likely push the index higher.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>除了日本银行的决策，接下来美联储的利率决策也将对该指数产生影响。鸽派倾向可能会推动指数上涨。</p>
</div><p><strong>Top Japanese earnings</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日本企业财报</strong></p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, some important Japanese companies will publish their financial results this week. The most notable of them are the sogo-shoshas, which Warren Buffett has invested in. This includes companies like Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Marubeni, Sumitomo, and Itochu that will release their numbers on Friday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，一些重要的日本公司将在本周公布财务业绩。其中最引人注目的是沃伦·巴菲特投资的综合商社，包括三菱、三井、丸红、住友和伊藤忠等公司将于周五发布财报。</p>
</div><p>More large companies like Tokyo Electron, Toyota Tsusho, Hoya, Murata Engineering, Mitsubishi Electric, Fujitsu, and Komatsu will publish their latest results this week. Strong corporate earnings will be highly bullish for the index.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更多大型公司如东京电子、丰田通商、豪雅、村田制作所、三菱电机、富士通和小松将在本周公布最新业绩。强劲的企业盈利将对指数产生非常积极的影响。</p>
</div><p>In addition to this, the index will react to the US earnings season, which will accelerate this week with companies like Microsoft, Google, Apple, and Meta Platforms releasing their results.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，该指数还将对美国财报季作出反应，本周微软、谷歌、苹果和 Meta Platforms 等公司将加速发布财报。</p>
</div><p><strong>Nikkei 225 Index technical analysis</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日经 225 指数技术分析</strong></p>
</div><p><em>NI225 Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>NI225 指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The daily timeframe chart shows that the Nikkei 225 Index has made a strong bullish breakout recently and is now hovering at its highest point on record. It has already moved above the key resistance level at ¥59,297, confirming the cup-and-handle pattern.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，日经 225 指数近期出现强劲的看涨突破，目前徘徊在历史最高点。它已经突破关键阻力位 59,297 日元，确认了杯柄形态。</p>
</div><p>The index remains above all moving averages and the strong pivot reverse of the Murrey Math Lines tool. Therefore, the next key resistance level to watch will be at the ultimate resistance at ¥62,500.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该指数仍高于所有移动平均线和 Murrey Math Lines 工具的强力反转支点。因此，下一个需要关注的关键阻力位将是 62,500 日元的最终阻力位。</p>
</div>

本周推动日经 225 指数的三大因素