<h2><strong>欧元技术展望：EUR/USD 短期交易水平</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>EUR/USD 在连续五天下跌后突破了五月开盘区间。</li>
<li>随着价格接近 1.16 附近的主要支撑位，向下动能正在加速。</li>
<li>随着欧元接近关键技术拐点，短期疲惫风险上升。</li>
<li>破位支撑将威胁到下行趋势的进一步延续，而稳定则可能在更广泛的下行趋势中推动反弹。</li>
<li>阻力位 1.1667/82，1.1731/46（关键），1.1814/26 - 支撑位 1.1598-1.1603，1.1578（关键），1.1483/97</li>
</ul>
<p>在突破五月开盘区间后，EUR/USD 仍然承受着巨大的压力，汇率向接近 1.16 的主要技术支撑位延续了五天的抛售。此次下跌反映了在上个月关键阻力位被拒绝后加速的下行动能，焦点转向一个关键区域，这可能决定价格是稳定还是延续更广泛的下跌。尽管短期趋势仍然看跌，但关键支撑的接近增加了短期疲惫的风险，因为抛售加深。欧元短期技术图表上的战斗线已划定。</p>
<p>查看我最新的 <strong>每周策略网络研讨会</strong>，深入分析此 EUR/USD 技术设置及更多内容。<strong>周一上午 8:30 EST 直播加入。</strong></p>
<h3><strong>欧元价格图 – EUR/USD 日线</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121216-4.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="999" height="610" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121216-4.png"/></p>
<p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，资深技术策略师；</em> <em>EUR/USD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>技术展望：</strong> 在上个月的 <strong>欧元短期技术展望</strong> 中，我们指出 EUR/USD 已经 “从上周的重叠阻力位反转，回调现在接近上升趋势支撑。从交易的角度来看，考虑在向下平行线的延伸中减少空头敞口，反弹需要限制在 1.1826，如果价格在 <em>此</em> 延伸中向下，则需要收盘低于 1.1667 才能推动下跌的下一个阶段。” 欧元在月底收盘时从关键支撑位反弹，价格在五月开盘价之上。今天的下破标志着连续第五天下跌，损失现在已从四月高点延续超过 1.9%。短期支撑目标现在已在视野中，随着接近 1.16，可能的疲惫/价格拐点的风险上升。</p>
<h3><strong>欧元价格图 – EUR/USD 240 分钟</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121227-6.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="999" height="611" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121227-6.png"/></p>
<p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，资深技术策略师；</em> <em>EUR/USD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>备注：</strong> 更仔细地观察欧元价格走势显示，EUR/USD 在一个从四月/五月高点延伸的下降叉形内交易。初始支撑现在在一月低点收盘和四月下跌的 100% 延伸位 <strong>1.1598-1.1603</strong>，并且紧随其后的是三月上涨的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.1578</strong>。请注意，接下来的几天，较低的平行线将在此水平上汇聚，跌破这一关键区域将威胁到下行趋势的加速。下一个主要技术考虑在于 <strong>1.1483/97</strong> - 这是由 1.618% 延伸、2020 年和 2022 年的高点以及 11 月低点收盘（LDC）定义的区域。如果达到该区域，请关注更大的反应。</p>
<p>初始阻力现在关注前支撑位附近的 <strong>1.1671/82</strong> - 这是由三月 10 日的波动高点、200 日移动平均线和从年度低点反弹的 38.2% 回撤位定义的区域。请注意，中线在下周收盘时与此阈值汇聚。更广泛的 <em>看跌</em> 无效化现在降低到目标月度和年度开盘价 <strong>1.1731/46</strong> - 需要在该区域上方突破/日收盘以暗示更显著的低点已形成，且更大的反转正在进行中。关键阻力仍在 <strong>1.1813/26</strong> 的斐波那契聚集区。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ"/></p>
<p><strong>底线：</strong> 欧元已突破五月开盘区间低点，五天的下跌现在接近多周下行趋势的初始支撑。从交易的角度来看，考虑在向 1.16 的延伸中减少部分空头敞口/降低保护性止损 - 如果价格在 <em>此</em> 延伸中向下，反弹应限制在 1.1681，收盘低于 1.1587 将推动下跌的下一个主要阶段。</p>
<p>请记住，下周经济日历相对较轻，欧元区 PMI 数据将成为焦点。在这些低点保持灵活，并关注每周收盘以获取指导。查看我最新的 <strong>欧元技术预测</strong>，以更仔细地观察长期 EUR/USD 交易水平。</p>
<h3><strong>关键 EUR/USD 经济数据发布</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121252-7.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="726" height="646" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121252-7.png"/></p>
<p><strong>经济日历</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新经济动态和即将到来的事件风险。</p>
<h3><strong>活跃的短期技术图表</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>黄金价格短期展望：XAU/USD 在阻力位处反弹停滞——关注区间突破</li>
<li>澳元展望：AUD/USD 回调测试上升趋势支撑——下一步至关重要</li>
<li>美元短期展望：USD 压力支撑——下破风险加大</li>
<li>英镑短期展望：GBP/USD 测试突破——虚假突破风险</li>
<li>加元短期展望：USD/CAD 反弹测试下行趋势阻力</li>
<li>瑞士法郎短期展望：USD/CHF 从阻力位大幅反转——下破风险加大</li>
<li>日元短期展望：USD/JPY 多头瞄准年度高点——美联储即将召开</li>
</ul>
<p>--- 由 Michael Boutros 撰写，资深技术策略师</p>
<p>在 Twitter 上关注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>

欧元 做多 - CurrencyShares

2 倍做空欧元 ETF - ProShares

2 倍做多欧元 ETF - ProShares

<p>EUR/USD 经历了五天的抛售，跌破了五月的开盘区间，接近 1.16 附近的主要支撑位。此次下跌反映出下行动能的增强，关键支撑位在 1.1598-1.1603 和 1.1578。如果跌破这些水平，可能会导致进一步的下行加速，而稳定则可能允许反弹。阻力位在 1.1667/82 和 1.1731/46。建议交易者密切关注这些水平，因为下周经济日历较为清淡</p>

<h2><strong>Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Short-term Trade Levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>欧元技术展望：EUR/USD 短期交易水平</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li>EUR/USD has broken below the May opening range after five consecutive daily declines.</li>
<li>Downside momentum is accelerating as price approaches major support near 1.16.</li>
<li>Short-term exhaustion risk is rising as Euro nears a key technical inflection zone.</li>
<li>A break below support would threaten a broader extension of the downtrend- while stabilization could fuel recovery within broader downtrend.</li>
<li>Resistance 1.1667/82, 1.1731/46 (key), 1.1814/26- Support 1.1598-1.1603, 1.1578 (key), 1.1483/97</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>EUR/USD 在连续五天下跌后突破了五月开盘区间。</li>
<li>随着价格接近 1.16 附近的主要支撑位，向下动能正在加速。</li>
<li>随着欧元接近关键技术拐点，短期疲惫风险上升。</li>
<li>破位支撑将威胁到下行趋势的进一步延续，而稳定则可能在更广泛的下行趋势中推动反弹。</li>
<li>阻力位 1.1667/82，1.1731/46（关键），1.1814/26 - 支撑位 1.1598-1.1603，1.1578（关键），1.1483/97</li>
</ul>
</div><p>EUR/USD remains under heavy pressure after breaking below the May opening range, with the pair extending a five-day selloff towards major technical support near the 1.16-handle. The decline reflects accelerating downside momentum following last month’s rejection at key resistance, bringing the focus to a critical zone that could determine whether the move stabilizes or extends into a broader breakdown. While the immediate trend remains bearish, the proximity of key support raises the risk of near-term exhaustion as the selloff deepens. Battle lines drawn on the Euro short-term technical charts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在突破五月开盘区间后，EUR/USD 仍然承受着巨大的压力，汇率向接近 1.16 的主要技术支撑位延续了五天的抛售。此次下跌反映了在上个月关键阻力位被拒绝后加速的下行动能，焦点转向一个关键区域，这可能决定价格是稳定还是延续更广泛的下跌。尽管短期趋势仍然看跌，但关键支撑的接近增加了短期疲惫的风险，因为抛售加深。欧元短期技术图表上的战斗线已划定。</p>
</div><p>Review my latest <strong>Weekly Strategy Webinar</strong> for an in-depth breakdown of this EUR/USD technical setup and more. <strong>Join live</strong> Monday’s at 8:30am EST.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>查看我最新的 <strong>每周策略网络研讨会</strong>，深入分析此 EUR/USD 技术设置及更多内容。<strong>周一上午 8:30 EST 直播加入。</strong></p>
</div><h3><strong>Euro Price Chart – EUR/USD Daily</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>欧元价格图 – EUR/USD 日线</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121216-4.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121216-4.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>EUR/USD on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，资深技术策略师；</em> <em>EUR/USD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Technical Outlook:</strong> In last month’s <strong>Euro Short-term Technical Outlook</strong> we noted that EUR/USD had, “turned from confluent resistance last week with the pullback now approaching uptrend support. From a trading standpoint, look to reduce short-exposure lower protective stops on a stretch towards the lower parallel- rallies would need to be limited to 1.1826 IF price is heading lower on <em>this</em> stretch with a close below 1.1667 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline.” Euro rebounded off key support into the close of the month with price carving the May opening just above. A break lower today marks the fifth consecutive daily decline with the losses now extending more than 1.9% off the April high. Near-term support objectives are now in view and the focus and the risk for possible exhaustion / price inflection rises heading into the 1.16-handle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>技术展望：</strong> 在上个月的 <strong>欧元短期技术展望</strong> 中，我们指出 EUR/USD 已经 “从上周的重叠阻力位反转，回调现在接近上升趋势支撑。从交易的角度来看，考虑在向下平行线的延伸中减少空头敞口，反弹需要限制在 1.1826，如果价格在 <em>此</em> 延伸中向下，则需要收盘低于 1.1667 才能推动下跌的下一个阶段。” 欧元在月底收盘时从关键支撑位反弹，价格在五月开盘价之上。今天的下破标志着连续第五天下跌，损失现在已从四月高点延续超过 1.9%。短期支撑目标现在已在视野中，随着接近 1.16，可能的疲惫/价格拐点的风险上升。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Euro Price Chart – EUR/USD 240min</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>欧元价格图 – EUR/USD 240 分钟</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121227-6.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121227-6.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>EUR/USD on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，资深技术策略师；</em> <em>EUR/USD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Notes:</strong> A closer look at Euro price action shows EUR/USD trading within the confines of a descending pitchfork extending off the April / May highs. Initial support is now in view at the January low close and the 100% extension of the April decline at <strong>1.1598-1.1603</strong> and is backed closely by the 61.8% retracement of the March advance at <strong>1.1578</strong>. Note that the lower parallel converges on this level over the next few days and losses below this critical zone would threaten downtrend acceleration. The next major technical consideration rests at <strong>1.1483/97</strong>- a region defined by the 1.618% extension, the March 2020 &amp; 2022 highs, and the November low-day close (LDC). Look for a larger reaction there IF reached.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>备注：</strong> 更仔细地观察欧元价格走势显示，EUR/USD 在一个从四月/五月高点延伸的下降叉形内交易。初始支撑现在在一月低点收盘和四月下跌的 100% 延伸位 <strong>1.1598-1.1603</strong>，并且紧随其后的是三月上涨的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.1578</strong>。请注意，接下来的几天，较低的平行线将在此水平上汇聚，跌破这一关键区域将威胁到下行趋势的加速。下一个主要技术考虑在于 <strong>1.1483/97</strong> - 这是由 1.618% 延伸、2020 年和 2022 年的高点以及 11 月低点收盘（LDC）定义的区域。如果达到该区域，请关注更大的反应。</p>
</div><p>Initial resistance is now eyed at former support near <strong>1.1671/82</strong>- a region defined by the March 10 swing high, the 200-day moving average, and the 38.2% retracement of the advance off the yearly low. Note that the median-line converges on this threshold into the close of next week. Broader <em>bearish</em> invalidation is now lowered to the objective monthly &amp; yearly opens at <strong>1.1731/46</strong>- a topside breach / daily close above this zone would be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place and a larger reversal is underway. Key resistance remains at the <strong>1.1813/26</strong> Fibonacci cluster.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>初始阻力现在关注前支撑位附近的 <strong>1.1671/82</strong> - 这是由三月 10 日的波动高点、200 日移动平均线和从年度低点反弹的 38.2% 回撤位定义的区域。请注意，中线在下周收盘时与此阈值汇聚。更广泛的 <em>看跌</em> 无效化现在降低到目标月度和年度开盘价 <strong>1.1731/46</strong> - 需要在该区域上方突破/日收盘以暗示更显著的低点已形成，且更大的反转正在进行中。关键阻力仍在 <strong>1.1813/26</strong> 的斐波那契聚集区。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ" alt="" original-src="https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg?extension=webp&amp;hash=02BA65E65BB9F508C5A91DBB3AFB588E"/></p>
<p><strong>Bottom line:</strong> Euro has broken the May opening range lows with a five-day decline now approaching initial support at the multi-week downtrend. From a trading standpoint, look to reduce portions of short-exposure / lower protective stops on a stretch towards 1.16- rallies should be limited to 1.1681 IF price is heading lower on <em>this</em> stretch with a close below 1.1587 needed to fuel the next major leg of the decline.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>底线：</strong> 欧元已突破五月开盘区间低点，五天的下跌现在接近多周下行趋势的初始支撑。从交易的角度来看，考虑在向 1.16 的延伸中减少部分空头敞口/降低保护性止损 - 如果价格在 <em>此</em> 延伸中向下，反弹应限制在 1.1681，收盘低于 1.1587 将推动下跌的下一个主要阶段。</p>
</div><p>Keep in mind the economic calendar is rather light next week with Eurozone PMI data headlining the docket. Stay nimble into these lows and watch the weekly closes here for guidance. Review my latest <strong>Euro Technical Forecast</strong> for a closer look at the longer-term EUR/USD trade levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>请记住，下周经济日历相对较轻，欧元区 PMI 数据将成为焦点。在这些低点保持灵活，并关注每周收盘以获取指导。查看我最新的 <strong>欧元技术预测</strong>，以更仔细地观察长期 EUR/USD 交易水平。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Key EUR/USD Economic Data Releases</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>关键 EUR/USD 经济数据发布</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121252-7.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515121252-7.png"/></p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar</strong> <strong>-</strong> latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>经济日历</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新经济动态和即将到来的事件风险。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Active Short-term Technical Charts</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>活跃的短期技术图表</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Rebound Stalls at Resistance—Range Breakout in Focus</li>
<li>Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Pullback Tests Uptrend Support—Next Move Critical</li>
<li>US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Pressures Support—Breakdown Risk Builds</li>
<li>British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Tests Breakout—False Break Risk</li>
<li>Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Rebound Tests Downtrend Resistance</li>
<li>Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook: USD/CHF Reverses Hard from Resistance- Breakdown Risk Builds</li>
<li>Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Bulls Eye Yearly High- Fed on Tap</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>黄金价格短期展望：XAU/USD 在阻力位处反弹停滞——关注区间突破</li>
<li>澳元展望：AUD/USD 回调测试上升趋势支撑——下一步至关重要</li>
<li>美元短期展望：USD 压力支撑——下破风险加大</li>
<li>英镑短期展望：GBP/USD 测试突破——虚假突破风险</li>
<li>加元短期展望：USD/CAD 反弹测试下行趋势阻力</li>
<li>瑞士法郎短期展望：USD/CHF 从阻力位大幅反转——下破风险加大</li>
<li>日元短期展望：USD/JPY 多头瞄准年度高点——美联储即将召开</li>
</ul>
</div><p>--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>--- 由 Michael Boutros 撰写，资深技术策略师</p>
</div><p>Follow Michael on Twitter <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 Twitter 上关注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
</div>

欧元短期展望：欧元兑美元连续五天的下跌打破了五月的低点——现在关注 1.16