<p>标准普尔 500 指数在周一连续第二个交易日下跌，受人工智能相关科技股疲软影响，市场情绪受到压制，Polymarket 交易者押注该基准指数在周二开盘时可能会延续其下跌趋势。</p>
<p>标准普尔 500 指数周一收盘下跌 0.07%，报 7403.05 点，而 5 月 19 日的 Polymarket 合约暗示标准普尔 500 指数在周二开盘时有 40% 的概率上涨。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/19044855/Screenshot-2026-05-19-at-14.18.22-1024x546.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/19044855/Screenshot-2026-05-19-at-14.18.22-1024x546.png"/></p>
<h2>为什么这个数字很重要</h2>
<p>最新的回调发生在上周创纪录的反弹之后，推动标准普尔 500 指数和纳斯达克综合指数达到历史新高。</p>
<p>科技股，特别是与人工智能交易相关的股票，周一承压，因为 <strong>希捷</strong> (NASDAQ: STX) 首席执行官 <strong>Dave Mosley</strong> 在摩根大通会议上警告称，扩大制造能力以满足蓬勃发展的人工智能驱动需求 “将需要太长时间”。</p>
<p>这些评论引发了对半导体和存储芯片生态系统供应限制的担忧，导致希捷股价下跌近 7%，并拖累同行股价下滑。</p>
<p>投资者还在关注地缘政治动态，此前 <strong>唐纳德·特朗普</strong> 周一表示，他在地区领导人的要求下决定取消对伊朗的计划攻击，以 “暂缓行动”。</p>
<h2>牛市反驳</h2>
<p>尽管近期疲软，华尔街仍接近历史高位，受到强劲财报驱动的反弹支持。</p>
<p>在特朗普决定不对伊朗采取军事行动后，市场也受到对中东局势即刻升级担忧减轻的支持。</p>
<p>在周二开盘前，投资者将关注 <strong>家得宝</strong> (NYSE: HD) 的财报以及 4 月份待售房屋数据。</p>
<p>标准普尔 500 期货在早盘交易中下跌 0.23%。</p>
<p><strong>之前的赌注结果如何：</strong> 标准普尔 500 指数周一以 7415.07 点开盘，高于周五的收盘点 7408.50 点，这意味着 5 月 18 日的 Polymarket 赌注结果为 “上涨”。</p>
<p><em>图片来源于 Shutterstock</em></p>

希捷科技

标普半导体 ETF - SPDR

半导体 ETF - VanEck Vectors

标普 500 ETF - Vanguard

标普 500 ETF - iShares

纳斯达克半导体 ETF - First Trust

高科技指数 ETF - SPDR

标普 500 ETF - SPDR

费城交易所 半导体 ETF - iShares

SOXQ

<p>Polymarket 交易者对标普 500 指数持悲观态度，预计周二开盘上涨的概率为 40%。该指数在周一下跌 0.07%，收于 7,403.05，受到与人工智能相关股票的压力，因为希捷科技首席执行官警告供应受限。尽管如此，华尔街仍接近历史高点，得益于强劲的财报和特朗普取消对伊朗的计划攻击后地缘政治紧张局势的缓解。标普 500 期货在早盘交易中下跌 0.23%</p>

<p>The S&amp;P 500 slipped for a second consecutive session on Monday as weakness in artificial intelligence-linked technology stocks weighed on sentiment, and Polymarket traders are betting the benchmark index could extend its losing streak at Tuesday’s open.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>标准普尔 500 指数在周一连续第二个交易日下跌，受人工智能相关科技股疲软影响，市场情绪受到压制，Polymarket 交易者押注该基准指数在周二开盘时可能会延续其下跌趋势。</p>
</div><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed down 0.07% at 7,403.05 on Monday and the May 19 Polymarket contract implied a 40% probability that the S&amp;P 500 would open higher on Tuesday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>标准普尔 500 指数周一收盘下跌 0.07%，报 7403.05 点，而 5 月 19 日的 Polymarket 合约暗示标准普尔 500 指数在周二开盘时有 40% 的概率上涨。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/19044855/Screenshot-2026-05-19-at-14.18.22-1024x546.png" alt="" original-src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/19044855/Screenshot-2026-05-19-at-14.18.22-1024x546.png"/></p>
<h2>Why That Number Matters</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>为什么这个数字很重要</h2>
</div><p>The latest pullback comes after a record-setting rally that pushed both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite to all-time highs last week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最新的回调发生在上周创纪录的反弹之后，推动标准普尔 500 指数和纳斯达克综合指数达到历史新高。</p>
</div><p>Technology stocks, particularly those tied to the artificial intelligence trade, came under pressure Monday after <strong>Seagate</strong> (NASDAQ: STX) CEO <strong>Dave Mosley</strong> warned at a JPMorgan conference that expanding manufacturing capacity to meet booming AI-driven demand “would just take too long.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>科技股，特别是与人工智能交易相关的股票，周一承压，因为 <strong>希捷</strong> (NASDAQ: STX) 首席执行官 <strong>Dave Mosley</strong> 在摩根大通会议上警告称，扩大制造能力以满足蓬勃发展的人工智能驱动需求 “将需要太长时间”。</p>
</div><p>The comments sparked concerns about supply constraints across the semiconductor and memory-chip ecosystem, sending Seagate shares down nearly 7% and dragging peers lower.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这些评论引发了对半导体和存储芯片生态系统供应限制的担忧，导致希捷股价下跌近 7%，并拖累同行股价下滑。</p>
</div><p>Investors are also monitoring geopolitical developments after President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> said Monday he was calling off a planned attack on Iran following requests from regional leaders to “hold off.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>投资者还在关注地缘政治动态，此前 <strong>唐纳德·特朗普</strong> 周一表示，他在地区领导人的要求下决定取消对伊朗的计划攻击，以 “暂缓行动”。</p>
</div><h2>The Bull Countercase</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>牛市反驳</h2>
</div><p>Despite recent weakness, Wall Street remains near record levels after a powerful earnings-driven rally.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管近期疲软，华尔街仍接近历史高位，受到强劲财报驱动的反弹支持。</p>
</div><p>Markets have also been supported by easing concerns around an immediate escalation in the Middle East after Trump’s decision not to proceed with military action against Iran.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在特朗普决定不对伊朗采取军事行动后，市场也受到对中东局势即刻升级担忧减轻的支持。</p>
</div><p>Before Tuesday’s opening bell, investors will be watching earnings from <strong>Home Depot</strong> (NYSE: HD) along with April pending home sales data.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在周二开盘前，投资者将关注 <strong>家得宝</strong> (NYSE: HD) 的财报以及 4 月份待售房屋数据。</p>
</div><p>S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.23% in early trading.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>标准普尔 500 期货在早盘交易中下跌 0.23%。</p>
</div><p><strong>How The Previous Bet Played Out:</strong> The S&amp;P 500 opened Monday at 7,415.07, above Friday’s close of 7,408.50, meaning the May 18 Polymarket bet resolved “Up.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>之前的赌注结果如何：</strong> 标准普尔 500 指数周一以 7415.07 点开盘，高于周五的收盘点 7408.50 点，这意味着 5 月 18 日的 Polymarket 赌注结果为 “上涨”。</p>
</div><p><em>Image via Shutterstock</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源于 Shutterstock</em></p>
</div>

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down Today?

- 标普 500 指数周一连续第二个交易日下跌，收盘下跌 0.07% 至 7,403.05。  
- 投资者对人工智能相关科技股的疲软情绪产生担忧，且德克萨斯州总监表示扩张制造能力需时较长。  
- Polymarket 合约显示标普 500 指数在周二开盘上涨的概率为 40%。

股市：标普 500 今天会开盘上涨还是下跌呢？