<p>投资者们等待 SpaceX 公开上市已经很久了。现在，它终于看起来要实现了。</p>
<p>报道称，埃隆·马斯克的太空公司可能在 6 月 12 日推出首次公开募股（IPO），估值在 1.75 万亿美元到 2 万亿美元之间。如果这发生，SpaceX 可能成为历史上最大的 IPO。</p>
<p>这就是为什么这么多人感到兴奋的原因。</p>
<p>但虽然许多投资者将其视为一个巨大的机会，其他人则认为这可能成为华尔街有史以来最具风险的股票发行之一。</p>
<h2><strong>SpaceX 热潮的原因是什么？</strong></h2>
<p>像 SpaceX 这样的公司并不多。</p>
<p>该公司已经凭借其可重复使用的火箭和卫星业务在太空行业中处于领先地位。它与 NASA 密切合作，完成了多次宇航员太空任务。</p>
<p>SpaceX 还是 Starlink 的背后公司，Starlink 是一种在全球快速发展的卫星互联网服务。</p>
<p>报道称，Starlink 已经在轨道上拥有近 10,300 颗卫星，全球用户约 900 万。该业务去年报告的收入约为 114 亿美元，利润率非常高。</p>
<p>仅此一点就足以让投资者感到兴奋。但还有更多。</p>
<p>今年早些时候，马斯克将他的人工智能公司 xAI 并入 SpaceX 业务。报道称，SpaceX 希望在太空中建立数据中心，以支持未来的人工智能公司。</p>
<p>因此，许多投资者不再将 SpaceX 视为仅仅是一家火箭公司。他们现在将其视为一个同时涉及太空、人工智能、互联网和技术的巨头。</p>
<p>这也是华尔街认为该公司可能价值近 2 万亿美元的主要原因。</p>
<h2><strong>华尔街对 SpaceX 的乐观态度</strong></h2>
<p>大型投资者已经在 IPO 之前排队。</p>
<p>报道称，黑石集团可能会在 IPO 中投资 50 亿到 100 亿美元。几家几年前投资于 SpaceX 的对冲基金也预计如果公司以预期估值上市，将赚取数十亿美元。</p>
<p>一家对冲基金 D1 Capital Partners 报道在 2020 年投资了 SpaceX，当时公司的估值约为 360 亿美元。如今，该投资的价值可能接近 200 亿美元。</p>
<p>华尔街的银行也预计将从 IPO 中赚取巨额利润。摩根士丹利、高盛、摩根大通、美国银行和花旗集团等银行据报道正在处理这笔交易。</p>
<p>SpaceX 希望筹集约 750 亿美元。即使是这笔金额的小百分比费用，也可能让银行总共赚取近 10 亿美元。</p>
<p>这显示了这次 IPO 可能有多重要。</p>
<h2><strong>但历史告诉投资者要小心</strong></h2>
<p>即使在所有的兴奋中，一些分析师警告投资者不要过于激动。</p>
<p>历史表明，许多大型 IPO 在上市后表现不佳。</p>
<p>IPO 专家杰伊·里特的研究发现，大型公司在股票市场首次亮相后往往表现不及市场。分析显示，公司通常以非常高的估值开始，然后股票保持快速上涨变得更加困难。</p>
<p>例如，一家价值 200 亿美元的公司比一家已经接近 2 万亿美元的公司更容易实现价值翻倍。</p>
<p>这并不意味着 SpaceX 会失败。但这确实意味着投资者可能需要降低对 IPO 后巨大收益的期望。</p>
<p>一些专家也担心他们所称的 “马斯克效应”。</p>
<p>埃隆·马斯克是全球最受关注的商业领袖之一，但与他相关的公司往往经历巨大的价格波动。</p>
<p>特斯拉就是一个很好的例子。多年来，该股票经历了大幅上涨和急剧下跌，通常基于与马斯克相关的新闻。</p>
<p>分析师认为，SpaceX 可能会变得更加波动，因为投资者对该公司的情绪已经很高。</p>
<h2><strong>星舰可能决定投资者情绪</strong></h2>
<p>投资者密切关注的一个主要事项是 SpaceX 的星舰火箭项目。</p>
<p>星舰是马斯克希望用于月球任务、火星旅行和未来太空项目的巨大下一代火箭。</p>
<p>SpaceX 正在为 IPO 之前的另一次重大星舰测试飞行做准备。升级版包括针对远程任务和太空加油的改进。</p>
<p>成功的测试飞行可能会进一步增强投资者信心。但也存在风险。</p>
<p>SpaceX 以激进测试火箭而闻名，开发过程中失败是常见的。爆炸和延误往往被视为公司内部学习过程的一部分。</p>
<p>公众市场的投资者可能不会总是对这些失败冷静反应。如果星舰在 IPO 后面临重大问题，股票可能会变得非常波动。</p>
<h2><strong>特斯拉投资者开始担忧</strong></h2>
<p>可能的 SpaceX IPO 已经影响了特斯拉的股票。</p>
<p>在最近的交易中，特斯拉股价下跌了 3%，投资者担心资金和关注可能会从特斯拉转向 SpaceX。</p>
<p>一些分析师认为，马斯克可能会因为 SpaceX 的增长机会而在未来更加专注于该公司。</p>
<p>其他人则认为，投资者现在对太空业务的兴奋感明显高于电动车市场，而后者正变得越来越竞争。</p>
<p>特斯拉在电动车、机器人和人工智能领域仍有强大的业务。但对许多投资者来说，SpaceX 目前似乎是一个更新、更令人兴奋的故事。</p>
<p>这可能在短期内给特斯拉的股票带来更多压力。</p>
<h2><strong>这次 IPO 可能如何改变市场</strong></h2>
<p>这就是为什么这次 IPO 看起来如此关键的原因，因为它不仅仅是华尔街的另一次 IPO。</p>
<p>SpaceX 正在成为 “马斯克经济” 的中心。这是一个通过人工智能、航空航天、卫星、机器人、社交媒体和计算基础设施相互关联的公司生态系统。</p>
<p>该生态系统包括 Starlink、xAI、Grok、特斯拉、人工智能数据中心，甚至可能还有基于太空的计算系统。</p>
<p>一些投资者认为，通过购买 SpaceX 股票，他们在公司的增长中拥有了一部分股份。</p>
<p>但随之而来的是巨大的期望。在如此高的估值下，SpaceX 需要在未来几年内保持快速增长，以证明其价格的合理性。</p>
<p>这并不容易，尤其是在涉及巨大风险、昂贵技术和持续创新的行业中。</p>
<p>别误解我的意思。毫无疑问，SpaceX 的首次公开募股可能成为股市历史上最重要的时刻之一。</p>
<p>该公司拥有强大的业务、强劲的增长，以及投资者所见过的最具雄心的未来之一。</p>
<p>但风险也非常真实。估值巨大，预期高涨，而埃隆·马斯克的公司以波动性著称。</p>
<p>对于投资者来说，这意味着此次首次公开募股可能同时带来巨大的机会和风险。</p>
<p><strong><em>Benzinga 免责声明：本文来自一位未付费的外部贡献者。它不代表 Benzinga 的报道，并且未经过内容或准确性编辑。</em></strong></p>

1.25 倍做多特斯拉 ETF - GraniteShares

特斯拉

TESL

2 倍做多特斯拉 ETF - Leverage Shares

2 倍做多特斯拉 ETF - Direxion

2 倍做多 TSLA ETF - GraniteShares

2 倍做多 TSLA ETF - T-Rex

<p>SpaceX 计划于 6 月 12 日进行首次公开募股（IPO），预计公司估值将在 1.75 万亿到 2 万亿美元之间，这将使其成为历史上最大的 IPO。尽管投资者的兴奋情绪在上升，分析师们却对潜在风险表示谨慎，指出大型 IPO 在上市后表现不佳的历史趋势。人们还对与埃隆·马斯克的企业相关的波动性表示担忧。即将进行的星舰火箭测试飞行可能会显著影响投资者情绪，但开发过程中的失败可能导致股票波动。特斯拉的股价在这些发展中已经出现下滑</p>

<p>Investors have waited for SpaceX to go public for the longest time. Now, it finally looks like it's happening.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>投资者们等待 SpaceX 公开上市已经很久了。现在，它终于看起来要实现了。</p>
</div><p>Reports say Elon Musk's space company could launch its IPO on June 12 with a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion. If that happens, SpaceX could become the biggest IPO in history.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>报道称，埃隆·马斯克的太空公司可能在 6 月 12 日推出首次公开募股（IPO），估值在 1.75 万亿美元到 2 万亿美元之间。如果这发生，SpaceX 可能成为历史上最大的 IPO。</p>
</div><p>That is why so many people are excited.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这就是为什么这么多人感到兴奋的原因。</p>
</div><p>But while many investors see this as a huge opportunity, others believe it could also become one of the riskiest stock launches Wall Street has ever seen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但虽然许多投资者将其视为一个巨大的机会，其他人则认为这可能成为华尔街有史以来最具风险的股票发行之一。</p>
</div><h2><strong>What's Causing the Hype Around SpaceX?</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>SpaceX 热潮的原因是什么？</strong></h2>
</div><p>There are not many companies like SpaceX.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>像 SpaceX 这样的公司并不多。</p>
</div><p>The company already leads the space industry with its reusable rockets and satellite business. It has worked closely with NASA and completed several astronaut missions into space.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该公司已经凭借其可重复使用的火箭和卫星业务在太空行业中处于领先地位。它与 NASA 密切合作，完成了多次宇航员太空任务。</p>
</div><p>SpaceX is also the company behind Starlink, the satellite internet service that is growing very quickly around the world.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>SpaceX 还是 Starlink 的背后公司，Starlink 是一种在全球快速发展的卫星互联网服务。</p>
</div><p>Reports say Starlink already has close to 10,300 satellites in orbit and about 9 million users globally. The business reportedly made around $11.4 billion in revenue last year and has very high profit margins.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>报道称，Starlink 已经在轨道上拥有近 10,300 颗卫星，全球用户约 900 万。该业务去年报告的收入约为 114 亿美元，利润率非常高。</p>
</div><p>That alone is enough to get investors excited. But there's more.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>仅此一点就足以让投资者感到兴奋。但还有更多。</p>
</div><p>Earlier this year, Musk merged his AI company xAI into the SpaceX business. Reports also suggest SpaceX wants to build data centers in space to support artificial intelligence companies in the future.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>今年早些时候，马斯克将他的人工智能公司 xAI 并入 SpaceX 业务。报道称，SpaceX 希望在太空中建立数据中心，以支持未来的人工智能公司。</p>
</div><p>Because of this, many investors no longer see SpaceX as just a rocket company. They now see it as a space, AI, the internet, and a technology giant all at once.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，许多投资者不再将 SpaceX 视为仅仅是一家火箭公司。他们现在将其视为一个同时涉及太空、人工智能、互联网和技术的巨头。</p>
</div><p>That's a major reason why Wall Street believes the company could be worth nearly $2 trillion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这也是华尔街认为该公司可能价值近 2 万亿美元的主要原因。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Wall Street Is So Bullish on SpaceX</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>华尔街对 SpaceX 的乐观态度</strong></h2>
</div><p>Big investors are already lining up ahead of the IPO.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>大型投资者已经在 IPO 之前排队。</p>
</div><p>Reports say BlackRock could invest between $5 billion and $10 billion into the IPO. Several hedge funds that invested in SpaceX years ago are also expected to make billions if the company goes public at its expected valuation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>报道称，黑石集团可能会在 IPO 中投资 50 亿到 100 亿美元。几家几年前投资于 SpaceX 的对冲基金也预计如果公司以预期估值上市，将赚取数十亿美元。</p>
</div><p>One hedge fund, D1 Capital Partners, reportedly invested in SpaceX back in 2020 when the company was worth around $36 billion. Today, that investment could be worth close to $20 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一家对冲基金 D1 Capital Partners 报道在 2020 年投资了 SpaceX，当时公司的估值约为 360 亿美元。如今，该投资的价值可能接近 200 亿美元。</p>
</div><p>Wall Street banks are also expected to make huge amounts of money from the IPO. Banks like Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Citigroup are reportedly working on the deal.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>华尔街的银行也预计将从 IPO 中赚取巨额利润。摩根士丹利、高盛、摩根大通、美国银行和花旗集团等银行据报道正在处理这笔交易。</p>
</div><p>SpaceX hopes to raise around $75 billion. Even a small percentage fee from that amount could earn banks nearly $1 billion combined.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>SpaceX 希望筹集约 750 亿美元。即使是这笔金额的小百分比费用，也可能让银行总共赚取近 10 亿美元。</p>
</div><p>That shows just how major this IPO could be.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这显示了这次 IPO 可能有多重要。</p>
</div><h2><strong>But History Says Investors Should Be Careful</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>但历史告诉投资者要小心</strong></h2>
</div><p>Even with all the excitement, some analysts are warning investors not to get carried away.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>即使在所有的兴奋中，一些分析师警告投资者不要过于激动。</p>
</div><p>History shows that many huge IPOs struggle after going public.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>历史表明，许多大型 IPO 在上市后表现不佳。</p>
</div><p>Research from IPO expert Jay Ritter found that large companies often underperform the market after their stock market debut. The analysis said that companies start with very high valuations, and then it becomes much harder for the stock to keep rising quickly.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>IPO 专家杰伊·里特的研究发现，大型公司在股票市场首次亮相后往往表现不及市场。分析显示，公司通常以非常高的估值开始，然后股票保持快速上涨变得更加困难。</p>
</div><p>For example, it's easier for a company worth $20 billion to double in value than for a company already worth nearly $2 trillion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>例如，一家价值 200 亿美元的公司比一家已经接近 2 万亿美元的公司更容易实现价值翻倍。</p>
</div><p>That doesn't mean SpaceX will fail. But it does mean investors may need to lower expectations for ridiculous gains after the IPO.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这并不意味着 SpaceX 会失败。但这确实意味着投资者可能需要降低对 IPO 后巨大收益的期望。</p>
</div><p>Some experts are also worried about what they call the &#34;Musk Effect.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一些专家也担心他们所称的 “马斯克效应”。</p>
</div><p>Elon Musk is one of the most followed business leaders in the world, but companies connected to him often experience huge price swings.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>埃隆·马斯克是全球最受关注的商业领袖之一，但与他相关的公司往往经历巨大的价格波动。</p>
</div><p>Tesla is a good example. The stock has had massive rallies and sharp drops over the years, often based on Musk-related news.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特斯拉就是一个很好的例子。多年来，该股票经历了大幅上涨和急剧下跌，通常基于与马斯克相关的新闻。</p>
</div><p>Analysts believe SpaceX could become even more volatile because investor sentiment around the company is already high.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析师认为，SpaceX 可能会变得更加波动，因为投资者对该公司的情绪已经很高。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Starship Could Decide Investor Sentiment</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>星舰可能决定投资者情绪</strong></h2>
</div><p>One major thing investors are watching closely is SpaceX's Starship rocket program.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>投资者密切关注的一个主要事项是 SpaceX 的星舰火箭项目。</p>
</div><p>Starship is the giant next-generation rocket Musk wants to use for moon missions, Mars travel, and future space projects.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>星舰是马斯克希望用于月球任务、火星旅行和未来太空项目的巨大下一代火箭。</p>
</div><p>SpaceX is preparing for another major Starship test flight ahead of the IPO. The upgraded version includes improvements for long-distance missions and space refueling.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>SpaceX 正在为 IPO 之前的另一次重大星舰测试飞行做准备。升级版包括针对远程任务和太空加油的改进。</p>
</div><p>A successful test flight could increase investor confidence even more. But there's also risk involved.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>成功的测试飞行可能会进一步增强投资者信心。但也存在风险。</p>
</div><p>SpaceX is known for testing rockets aggressively, and failures are common during development. Explosions and delays are many times treated as part of the learning process inside the company.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>SpaceX 以激进测试火箭而闻名，开发过程中失败是常见的。爆炸和延误往往被视为公司内部学习过程的一部分。</p>
</div><p>Public market investors may not always react calmly to those failures. If Starship faces major problems after the IPO, the stock could become very volatile.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>公众市场的投资者可能不会总是对这些失败冷静反应。如果星舰在 IPO 后面临重大问题，股票可能会变得非常波动。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Tesla Investors Are Starting to Worry</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>特斯拉投资者开始担忧</strong></h2>
</div><p>The possible SpaceX IPO is already affecting Tesla stock.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>可能的 SpaceX IPO 已经影响了特斯拉的股票。</p>
</div><p>Tesla shares dropped 3% during its last trading session as investors worried that money and attention could move away from Tesla and into SpaceX.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在最近的交易中，特斯拉股价下跌了 3%，投资者担心资金和关注可能会从特斯拉转向 SpaceX。</p>
</div><p>Some analysts believe Musk may focus more heavily on SpaceX in the future because of its growth opportunities.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一些分析师认为，马斯克可能会因为 SpaceX 的增长机会而在未来更加专注于该公司。</p>
</div><p>Others think investors simply see more excitement in the space business right now compared to the electric vehicle market, which is becoming more competitive.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>其他人则认为，投资者现在对太空业务的兴奋感明显高于电动车市场，而后者正变得越来越竞争。</p>
</div><p>Tesla still has strong businesses in EVs, robotics, and AI. But SpaceX currently feels like the newer and more exciting story to many investors.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特斯拉在电动车、机器人和人工智能领域仍有强大的业务。但对许多投资者来说，SpaceX 目前似乎是一个更新、更令人兴奋的故事。</p>
</div><p>That could create more pressure on Tesla shares in the short term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这可能在短期内给特斯拉的股票带来更多压力。</p>
</div><h2><strong>How This IPO Could Change the Market</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>这次 IPO 可能如何改变市场</strong></h2>
</div><p>This is one reason why this IPO seems to be so crucial, because it goes beyond simply another IPO on Wall Street.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这就是为什么这次 IPO 看起来如此关键的原因，因为它不仅仅是华尔街的另一次 IPO。</p>
</div><p>SpaceX is emerging as the hub of the “Muskonomy.” This is an ecosystem of interconnected companies linked through AI, aerospace, satellites, robotics, social media, and computing infrastructure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>SpaceX 正在成为 “马斯克经济” 的中心。这是一个通过人工智能、航空航天、卫星、机器人、社交媒体和计算基础设施相互关联的公司生态系统。</p>
</div><p>The ecosystem includes Starlink, xAI, Grok, Tesla, AI data centers, and perhaps even space-based computing systems.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该生态系统包括 Starlink、xAI、Grok、特斯拉、人工智能数据中心，甚至可能还有基于太空的计算系统。</p>
</div><p>Some investors are of the view that by buying the SpaceX stock, they sort of have a stake in the company's growth.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一些投资者认为，通过购买 SpaceX 股票，他们在公司的增长中拥有了一部分股份。</p>
</div><p>But with that come great expectations. At such a massive valuation, SpaceX will need to keep growing very quickly for years to justify its price.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但随之而来的是巨大的期望。在如此高的估值下，SpaceX 需要在未来几年内保持快速增长，以证明其价格的合理性。</p>
</div><p>That won't be easy, especially in industries that involve huge risks, expensive technology, and constant innovation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这并不容易，尤其是在涉及巨大风险、昂贵技术和持续创新的行业中。</p>
</div><p>Don't get me wrong. There's no doubt SpaceX's IPO could become one of the biggest moments in stock market history.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>别误解我的意思。毫无疑问，SpaceX 的首次公开募股可能成为股市历史上最重要的时刻之一。</p>
</div><p>The company has powerful businesses, strong growth, and one of the most ambitious futures investors has ever seen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该公司拥有强大的业务、强劲的增长，以及投资者所见过的最具雄心的未来之一。</p>
</div><p>But the risks are also very real. The valuation is huge, expectations are high, and Elon Musk's companies are known for volatility.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但风险也非常真实。估值巨大，预期高涨，而埃隆·马斯克的公司以波动性著称。</p>
</div><p>For investors, that means this IPO could bring both massive opportunity and risk at the same time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>对于投资者来说，这意味着此次首次公开募股可能同时带来巨大的机会和风险。</p>
</div><p><strong><em>Benzinga Disclaimer: This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga’s reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.</em></strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong><em>Benzinga 免责声明：本文来自一位未付费的外部贡献者。它不代表 Benzinga 的报道，并且未经过内容或准确性编辑。</em></strong></p>
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SpaceX IPO May Break Records, But Analysts Warn Of Potential Losses

- SpaceX 计划于 6 月 12 日上市，估值在 1.75 万亿至 2 万亿美元之间。  
- 大型投资者如 BlackRock 预计将投资 50 亿至 100 亿美元。  
- 尽管前景光明，分析师警告投资者需谨慎，历史数据显示大规模 IPO 后业绩往往不佳。

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SpaceX 的首次公开募股可能会打破记录，但分析师警告可能会出现损失