<p>在四月份发布的疲弱就业数据之后，澳大利亚储备银行进一步加息的预期减弱。根据 Jin10 的报道，IG Markets 分析师 Tony Sycamore 指出，市场之前预计 RBA 在六月的下一次会议上将加息 4 个基点，但这一预期现在已降至 1 个基点。展望长期，他补充道，市场预计 2026 年全年将累计收紧 33 个基点，但现在已降至 25 个基点。目前，终端官方现金利率预计为 4.60%，显著低于上月底预测的 4.82%。</p>

<p>澳大利亚储备银行加息的预期在 4 月份就业数据疲软后有所下降。IG Markets 的分析师 Tony Sycamore 指出，6 月份会议上预期的加息幅度从 4 个基点降至 1 个基点。市场对 2026 年累计收紧的预测也从 33 个基点降至 25 个基点，预计的终端现金利率现在为 4.60%，低于上个月的 4.82%</p>

<p>Following the release of weak employment data in April, expectations for further rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia have diminished. According to Jin10, IG Markets analyst Tony Sycamore noted that the rate market had previously priced in a 4 basis point increase for the RBA's next meeting in June, but this expectation has now dropped to 1 basis point. Looking at the longer-term outlook, he added that the market had priced in a cumulative tightening of 33 basis points for the entire year of 2026, which has now decreased to 25 basis points. The terminal official cash rate is currently expected to be 4.60%, significantly lower than the forecast of 4.82% at the end of last month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在四月份发布的疲弱就业数据之后，澳大利亚储备银行进一步加息的预期减弱。根据 Jin10 的报道，IG Markets 分析师 Tony Sycamore 指出，市场之前预计 RBA 在六月的下一次会议上将加息 4 个基点，但这一预期现在已降至 1 个基点。展望长期，他补充道，市场预计 2026 年全年将累计收紧 33 个基点，但现在已降至 25 个基点。目前，终端官方现金利率预计为 4.60%，显著低于上月底预测的 4.82%。</p>
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市场对澳大利亚加息的预期有所下降