<div id="readability-page-1">  <p><time datetime="2026-03-09T22:30:00+00:00">    Monday 09 March 2026 10:30 pm  </time>      <span> | </span><span> Updated: </span>   <time datetime="2026-03-09T14:57:10+00:00">    Monday 09 March 2026 2:57 pm  </time></p>         <div>    <div>             <div>             <p>            <span>        Politics and Economics Reporter      </span>                </p>          </div>  </div>                                                                                                             Add as a preferred        source on Google                        </div>    <figure>    <div>       </div> <img width="742" height="495" src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.cityam.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/small-buisness-high-street.jpeg/query-dz03NDI?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.cityam.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/small-buisness-high-street.jpeg/query-dz03NDI"/>  <figcaption>Businesses are expected to suffer from lower growth and higher inflation.</figcaption> </figure> <p>The UK economy will suffer from sluggish growth this year, a leading industry body has warned, with further tax rises on the horizon remaining as a “risk”. </p><p>Business chiefs have warned that the services sector is set to keep the UK economy afloat this year, with contractions expected to come across construction and manufacturing. </p><p>The British Chambers of Commerce revised its growth forecast for this year down to one per cent from a previous prediction of 1.2 per cent. </p><p>Economists predicted the UK economy to inch back up to 1.3 per cent in 2027 and 1.1 per cent in 2028, far lower than the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)’s optimistic projections of 1.6 per cent for either year. </p><p>The outlook on inflation also worsened, with CPI inflation set to be 2.7 per cent at the end of 2026 despite previous hopes the Bank of England’s two per cent target rate would have been hit. </p><p>David Bharier, head of research at the BCC said the risks around the war in Iran were “interrupting progress” on inflation. </p><p>“Higher energy prices linked to it could keep inflation firmly above the two per cent target and lead the Bank of England to hold the interest rate longer than expected,” Bharier said. </p><p>“Much depends on the duration of the conflict. Covid supply shutdowns showed how sudden stops put long term damage into the trading system.”</p><h2 id="h-uk-growth-to-stagger-amid-low-household-spending">UK growth to stagger amid low household spending</h2><p>Firms are scrambling to measure hits to their revenue as the war in the Middle East drags on. </p><p>The BCC, which recently opened an ‘advisory hub’ body in partnership with the government on affairs relating to foreign economies, said export growth would slow to 0.7 per cent his year.</p><p>The downgrade was more than half that previously predicted as the new figure reflected “deepening global uncertainty”. Import growth is also set to slow down due to weakened consumer demand and a depreciation in the pound sterling. </p><p>Vicky Pryce, the chair of the BCC’s economic advisory council, warned that a rise in unemployment to 5.5 per cent this year would be a “worrying drumbeat” throughout 2026. </p><p>“That will have a widespread economic impact, hitting consumer and household spending and potentially also the housing market,” Pryce added. </p><p>Business chiefs warned that pessimistic forecasts mean there was a “risk of further consolidation” before the next general election, suggesting that Rachel Reeves may have to announce fresh tax hikes and spending cuts to meet her fiscal rules. </p><p>The Chancellor is scrambling to contain the effects of the energy supply crisis in the Middle East, with the government hoping a fall in energy bills from April can be maintained in June. </p><p>Reeves met with G7 finance ministers and executives at the International Energy Agency on Monday to co-ordinate a response to the crisis. </p><p>Traders bet that borrowing costs would remain higher for longer, leaving public finances in a more precarious position.</p> </div>

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<p>英國經濟面臨下調的增長預測，英國商會將其預測從 1.2% 下調至 1%。服務業預計將支持經濟，而建築和製造業可能會收縮。預計到 2026 年底，通貨膨脹將上升至 2.7%，受到伊朗持續衝突的影響。失業率可能達到 5.5%，對消費者支出和房地產市場產生影響。政府面臨管理經濟後果的壓力，可能會出現增税和削減開支的情況</p>

UK growth downgraded as firms measure hit from Iran turmoil

- 英國經濟面臨低增長和高通脹的壓力。  
- 商業機構下調增長預期至 1% ，展望低迷。  
- 失業率或達 5.5% ，將影響消費和住房市場。

由於企業評估伊朗動盪帶來的影響，英國的經濟增長預期被下調