<h2><strong>加元技術展望：USD/CAD 短期交易水平</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>USD/CAD 從三月初的低點反彈，目前正在本月第二次測試一個明確的阻力區域。</li>
<li>價格仍然被限制在這個支點之下，除非出現決定性的突破，否則上漲將面臨風險。</li>
<li>明天將有重大事件風險，涉及美聯儲和加拿大央行的利率決策。</li>
<li>阻力位 1.3722/33（關鍵），1.3759，1.38 01/11- 支持位 1.3645，1.3608（關鍵），1.3540/51（關鍵）</li>
</ul>
<p>在從近期低點反彈後，USD/CAD 再次逼近關鍵阻力區域，將價格帶入一個關鍵決策區域。這個水平在過去兩個月已經限制了上漲，而當前的重新測試正值市場準備迎接主要央行更新之際。儘管反彈反映出短期動能的改善，但更廣泛的結構在這個上限之下仍未解決。決定性的突破將標誌着向更持續的復甦轉變，而在此處的再次失敗可能會加強區間並保持下行風險。USD/CAD 短期技術圖表上的戰鬥線已劃定。</p>
<p>查看我最新的 <strong>每週策略網絡研討會</strong>，深入分析這個加元設置及更多內容。<strong>週一上午 8:30（東部時間）</strong> 直播。</p>
<h3><strong>加元價格圖 – USD/CAD 日線</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121136-5.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121136-5.png"/></p>
<p><em>圖表由 Michael Boutros 準備，高級技術策略師；</em> <em>USD/CAD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>技術展望：</strong> 在上個月的 <strong>加元短期展望</strong> 中，我們指出，“USD/CAD 今天正在測試月度區間高點的阻力，重點關注這一支點區域的反應。” 關注的水平是 <strong>1.3722/33</strong> - 這是由九月和八月的波動低點、年度開盤目標、二月開盤區間高點以及十一月下跌的 38.2% 回撤所定義的區域。多頭在三月三日嘗試突破，但未能確保收盤，USD/CAD 在月初暴跌超過 1.6%。</p>
<p>該下跌在上週從一月反彈的 78.6% 回撤和二月收盤低點 <strong>1.3540/51</strong> 處反彈。隨後的反彈（1.6%）使 USD/CAD 本週再次回到關鍵阻力區域，重點再次放在這一關鍵區域的拐點上。當前的上漲在這一閾值下仍然脆弱，需要突破/收盤在此之上，才能表明更顯著的趨勢反轉正在進行中。</p>
<h3><strong>加元價格圖 – USD/CAD 240 分鐘</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121150-6.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121150-6.png"/></p>
<p><em>圖表由 Michael Boutros 準備，高級技術策略師；</em> <em>USD/CAD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>備註：</strong> 更仔細地觀察加元價格走勢顯示，USD/CAD 在關鍵阻力下方形成了每週開盤區間。請關注此處的突破，以提供短期指導。</p>
<p>突破/收盤在 <strong>1.3733</strong> 之上將驗證二月/三月開盤區間高點的突破，表明更顯著的趨勢反轉正在進行中。後續的阻力目標關注在年初至今區間的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.3759</strong> 和 200 日移動平均線/十一月下跌的 50% 回撤位 <strong>1.3801/11</strong>。如果達到，請關注更大的反應。</p>
<p>月度開盤支撐位在 <strong>1.3645</strong>，並受到月度上漲的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.3608</strong> 的支持。最終，突破/收盤在 <strong>1.3540</strong> 之下將標誌着十一月下跌趨勢的恢復。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-Indices-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAWaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-Indices-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAWaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ"/></p>
<p><strong>底線：</strong> USD/CAD 今天正在測試多個月份區間高點的關鍵阻力，明天將有美聯儲和加拿大央行的利率決策。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段上升，回調應限制在 1.36，收盤在 1.3733 之上將需要推動下一輪上漲。</p>
<p>請記住，美聯儲明天將發佈更新的經濟預測摘要，修訂增長、就業和通脹預測。由於伊朗衝突推動的高能源價格可能會使通脹風險處於中心位置，而上個月疲弱的非農就業報告則突顯出勞動力市場日益增長的下行風險，加劇了美聯儲雙重任務之間的緊張關係。</p>
<p>焦點將放在更新的通脹預測上，因為任何對前景的上調都可能進一步推遲美聯儲降息的預期。截至今天，美聯儲基金期貨定價大約有 56% 的概率，下一次降息將在十月進行，這與戰前預期的七月行動形成了明顯的轉變。請在明天的發佈中保持靈活，並關注每週收盤以獲取指導。查看我最新的 <strong>加元每週預測</strong>，以更仔細地觀察長期的 USD/CAD 技術交易水平。</p>
<h3><strong>關鍵 USD/CAD 經濟數據發佈</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121221-8.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121221-8.png"/></p>
<p><strong>經濟日曆</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新經濟動態和即將到來的事件風險。</p>
<h3><strong>活躍的短期技術圖表</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>英鎊短期展望：GBP/USD 空頭第七次衝擊關鍵支撐</li>
<li>歐元短期展望：EUR/USD 空頭攻擊多個月支撐- 下跌風險加大</li>
<li>日元短期展望：USD/JPY 三週上漲停滯- 下跌風險加大</li>
<li>美元短期展望：USD 突破面臨一月高點的重大考驗- NFP 即將發佈</li>
<li>瑞士法郎短期展望：USD/CHF 突破上漲測試重大阻力</li>
<li>黃金價格短期展望：XAU/USD 多頭在 23% 上漲後撤退- 7% 下跌引發感染風險</li>
<li>澳元展望：AUD/USD 六週連勝面臨多年來高點的重大考驗</li>
</ul>
<p>撰寫者：Michael Boutros，高級技術策略師</p>
<p>在 X 上關注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>

德銀美元指數 做空 - PowerShares

加元 做多 - CurrencyShares

德銀美元指數 做多 - PowerShares

彭博美元指數 做多 - WisdomTree

<p>加元目前正在對美元測試一個關鍵的阻力區間，1.3722/33 的水平至關重要。若能果斷突破該水平，可能會暗示趨勢反轉，而未能突破則可能加大下行風險。即將到來的美聯儲和加拿大央行的利率決策增加了市場的不確定性。市場關注通脹預測，任何上調可能會推遲對美聯儲降息的預期。交易者應關注未來幾天的關鍵水平和市場反應</p>

<h2><strong>Canadian Dollar Technical Outlook: USD/CAD Short-term Trade Levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>加元技術展望：USD/CAD 短期交易水平</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li>USD/CAD has rebounded from early-March lows and is now testing a well-defined resistance zone for a second time this month.</li>
<li>Price remains capped beneath this pivot, with the advance vulnerable unless a decisive break higher is secured.</li>
<li>Major Event risk on tap with the Federal Reserve &amp; Bank of Canada interest rate decisions tomorrow</li>
<li>Resistance 1.3722/33 (key), 1.3759, 1.38 01/11- Support 1.3645, 1.3608 (key), 1.3540/51 (key)</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>USD/CAD 從三月初的低點反彈，目前正在本月第二次測試一個明確的阻力區域。</li>
<li>價格仍然被限制在這個支點之下，除非出現決定性的突破，否則上漲將面臨風險。</li>
<li>明天將有重大事件風險，涉及美聯儲和加拿大央行的利率決策。</li>
<li>阻力位 1.3722/33（關鍵），1.3759，1.38 01/11- 支持位 1.3645，1.3608（關鍵），1.3540/51（關鍵）</li>
</ul>
</div><p>USD/CAD has pushed back toward a key resistance zone after recovering from recent lows, bringing price once again into a critical decision area. This level has already capped advances for the past two-months, and the current retest comes as markets brace for major central bank updates. While the rebound reflects improving near-term momentum, the broader structure remains unresolved beneath this ceiling. A decisive breakout would mark a shift toward a more sustained recovery, while another failure here could reinforce the range and keep downside risks in play. Battle lines drawn on the USD/CAD short-term technical charts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在從近期低點反彈後，USD/CAD 再次逼近關鍵阻力區域，將價格帶入一個關鍵決策區域。這個水平在過去兩個月已經限制了上漲，而當前的重新測試正值市場準備迎接主要央行更新之際。儘管反彈反映出短期動能的改善，但更廣泛的結構在這個上限之下仍未解決。決定性的突破將標誌着向更持續的復甦轉變，而在此處的再次失敗可能會加強區間並保持下行風險。USD/CAD 短期技術圖表上的戰鬥線已劃定。</p>
</div><p>Review my latest <strong>Weekly Strategy Webinar</strong> for an in-depth breakdown of this Loonie setup and more. <strong>Join live</strong> on Monday’s at 8:30am EST.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>查看我最新的 <strong>每週策略網絡研討會</strong>，深入分析這個加元設置及更多內容。<strong>週一上午 8:30（東部時間）</strong> 直播。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Canadian Dollar Price Chart – USD/CAD Daily</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>加元價格圖 – USD/CAD 日線</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121136-5.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121136-5.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/CAD on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖表由 Michael Boutros 準備，高級技術策略師；</em> <em>USD/CAD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Technical Outlook:</strong> In last month’s <strong>Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook</strong>, we noted that, “USD/CAD is testing resistance at the monthly range highs today and the focus is on a reaction off this pivot zone.” The level in focus was <strong>1.3722/33</strong>- a region defined by the September &amp; August swing lows, the objective yearly open, the February opening-range high, and the 38.2% retracement of the November decline. The bulls attempted to break higher on March 3rd but failed to secure a close with USD/CAD plunging more than 1.6% early in the month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>技術展望：</strong> 在上個月的 <strong>加元短期展望</strong> 中，我們指出，“USD/CAD 今天正在測試月度區間高點的阻力，重點關注這一支點區域的反應。” 關注的水平是 <strong>1.3722/33</strong> - 這是由九月和八月的波動低點、年度開盤目標、二月開盤區間高點以及十一月下跌的 38.2% 回撤所定義的區域。多頭在三月三日嘗試突破，但未能確保收盤，USD/CAD 在月初暴跌超過 1.6%。</p>
</div><p>The decline rebounded off support last week at the 78.6% retracement of the January rally and the February close low at <strong>1.3540/51.</strong> The subsequent rebound (1.6%) takes USD/CAD back into pivotal resistance again this week and the focus once again is on inflection off this key zone. The immediate advance is vulnerable while below this threshold with a breach / close above needed to suggest a more significant trend reversal is underway.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該下跌在上週從一月反彈的 78.6% 回撤和二月收盤低點 <strong>1.3540/51</strong> 處反彈。隨後的反彈（1.6%）使 USD/CAD 本週再次回到關鍵阻力區域，重點再次放在這一關鍵區域的拐點上。當前的上漲在這一閾值下仍然脆弱，需要突破/收盤在此之上，才能表明更顯著的趨勢反轉正在進行中。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Canadian Dollar Price Chart – USD/CAD 240min</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>加元價格圖 – USD/CAD 240 分鐘</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121150-6.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121150-6.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/CAD on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖表由 Michael Boutros 準備，高級技術策略師；</em> <em>USD/CAD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Notes:</strong> A closer look at Canadian Dollar price action shows USD/CAD carving the weekly opening-range just below key resistance. Look for the breakout here to offer near-term guidance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>備註：</strong> 更仔細地觀察加元價格走勢顯示，USD/CAD 在關鍵阻力下方形成了每週開盤區間。請關注此處的突破，以提供短期指導。</p>
</div><p>A breach / close above <strong>1.3733</strong> would validate a breakout of the February / March opening-range highs suggest a more significant trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the 61.8% retracement of the year-to-date range at <strong>1.3759</strong> and the 200-day moving average / 50% retracement of the November decline at <strong>1.3801/11</strong>. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>突破/收盤在 <strong>1.3733</strong> 之上將驗證二月/三月開盤區間高點的突破，表明更顯著的趨勢反轉正在進行中。後續的阻力目標關注在年初至今區間的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.3759</strong> 和 200 日移動平均線/十一月下跌的 50% 回撤位 <strong>1.3801/11</strong>。如果達到，請關注更大的反應。</p>
</div><p>Monthly open support rests at <strong>1.3645</strong> and is backed by the 61.8% retracement of the monthly advance at <strong>1.3608</strong>. Ultimately, a break / close below <strong>1.3540</strong> would be needed to mark resumption of the November downtrend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>月度開盤支撐位在 <strong>1.3645</strong>，並受到月度上漲的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.3608</strong> 的支持。最終，突破/收盤在 <strong>1.3540</strong> 之下將標誌着十一月下跌趨勢的恢復。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-Indices-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ" alt="" original-src="https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-Indices-V2.jpg?extension=webp&amp;hash=02BA65E65BB9F508C5A91DBB3AFB588E"/></p>
<p><strong>Bottom line:</strong> The USD/CAD is testing pivotal resistance at multi-monthly range highs today with the Fed and Bank of Canada rate decisions on tap tomorrow. From at trading standpoint, pullbacks should be limited to 1.36 IF price is heading higher on <em>this</em> stretch with a close above 1.3733 needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>底線：</strong> USD/CAD 今天正在測試多個月份區間高點的關鍵阻力，明天將有美聯儲和加拿大央行的利率決策。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段上升，回調應限制在 1.36，收盤在 1.3733 之上將需要推動下一輪上漲。</p>
</div><p>Keep in mind the Fed will release its updated Summary of Economic Projections tomorrow, with revisions to the growth, employment, and inflation forecasts. Elevated energy prices driven by the Iran conflict are likely to keep inflation risks front and center, while last month’s weak Non-Farm Payrolls report underscores growing downside risks in the labor market- intensifying the tension within the Fed’s dual mandate.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>請記住，美聯儲明天將發佈更新的經濟預測摘要，修訂增長、就業和通脹預測。由於伊朗衝突推動的高能源價格可能會使通脹風險處於中心位置，而上個月疲弱的非農就業報告則突顯出勞動力市場日益增長的下行風險，加劇了美聯儲雙重任務之間的緊張關係。</p>
</div><p>The focus will be on the updated inflation projections, as any upward revision to the outlook could further delay expectations for a Fed rate cut. As of today, Fed funds futures are pricing roughly a 56% probability that the next cut will come in October, marking a sharp shift from pre-war expectations that favored a July move. Stay nimble into the release tomorrow and watch the weekly closes here for guidance. Review my latest <strong>Canadian Dollar Weekly Forecast</strong> for a closer look at the longer-term USD/CAD technical trade levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>焦點將放在更新的通脹預測上，因為任何對前景的上調都可能進一步推遲美聯儲降息的預期。截至今天，美聯儲基金期貨定價大約有 56% 的概率，下一次降息將在十月進行，這與戰前預期的七月行動形成了明顯的轉變。請在明天的發佈中保持靈活，並關注每週收盤以獲取指導。查看我最新的 <strong>加元每週預測</strong>，以更仔細地觀察長期的 USD/CAD 技術交易水平。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Key USD/CAD Economic Data Releases</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>關鍵 USD/CAD 經濟數據發佈</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121221-8.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121221-8.png"/></p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar</strong> <strong>-</strong> latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>經濟日曆</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新經濟動態和即將到來的事件風險。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Active Short-term Technical Charts</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>活躍的短期技術圖表</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Bears Charge Pivotal Support for a Seventh Time</li>
<li>Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Bears Assault Multi-Month Support- Breakdown Risk Builds</li>
<li>Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Three-Week Surge Stalls – Breakdown Risk Builds</li>
<li>US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Breakout Faces Major Test at January High- NFP on Tap</li>
<li>Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook: USD/CHF Breakout Surge Tests Major Resistance</li>
<li>Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Bulls Retreat After 23% Surge- 7% Drop Sparks Infection Risk</li>
<li>Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD 6-Week Winning Streak Faces Major Test at Multi-year Highs</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>英鎊短期展望：GBP/USD 空頭第七次衝擊關鍵支撐</li>
<li>歐元短期展望：EUR/USD 空頭攻擊多個月支撐- 下跌風險加大</li>
<li>日元短期展望：USD/JPY 三週上漲停滯- 下跌風險加大</li>
<li>美元短期展望：USD 突破面臨一月高點的重大考驗- NFP 即將發佈</li>
<li>瑞士法郎短期展望：USD/CHF 突破上漲測試重大阻力</li>
<li>黃金價格短期展望：XAU/USD 多頭在 23% 上漲後撤退- 7% 下跌引發感染風險</li>
<li>澳元展望：AUD/USD 六週連勝面臨多年來高點的重大考驗</li>
</ul>
</div><p>Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>撰寫者：Michael Boutros，高級技術策略師</p>
</div><p>Follow Michael on X <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 X 上關注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
</div>

加元短期展望：美元/加元正在測試關鍵阻力位，突破風險正在增加