<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/japan.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/japan.png"/></p>
<p>日經 225 指數在技術性修正中持續承壓，交易者關注中東的持續發展。在最新的日本消費者通脹和 PMI 報告發布後，該指數也有所回落。</p>
<h2>日本股市因伊朗戰爭持續承壓</h2>
<p>儘管美國股市在週一大幅上漲，道瓊斯和納斯達克 100 指數分別上漲超過 600 點和 300 點，但日經 225 指數仍處於修正狀態。</p>
<p>在唐納德·特朗普宣佈他的政府正在與伊朗進行談判後，美國股市大幅上漲。因此，他決定停止計劃中的對伊朗能源基礎設施的轟炸。</p>
<p>然而，現實是伊朗拒絕了這些説法，並堅持認為霍爾木茲海峽仍然對敵國關閉。特朗普在與地區政府交談後決定緩和局勢，因為伊朗威脅要轟炸他們的基礎設施和海水淡化廠。</p>
<p>因此，伊朗戰爭可能會持續一段時間，因為伊朗旨在防止未來的攻擊。伊朗還堅稱，它需要美國和以色列支付相關費用。</p>
<p>這些擔憂解釋了為什麼能源價格再次開始上漲。布倫特原油作為基準資產上漲至 100 美元，而西德克薩斯中質原油（WTI）上漲至 92 美元。</p>
<p>日本是最受影響的國家之一，因為它大部分能源依賴中東進口。</p>
<h2>日本通脹和 PMI 數據</h2>
<p>在最新的日本通脹和 PMI 數據發佈後，日經 225 指數也有所回落。根據標普全球的數據，製造業 PMI 從 2 月份的 53.0 降至 3 月份的 51.4。</p>
<p>同樣，服務業 PMI 從 53.8 降至 52.8，而綜合指數從 53.90 降至 52.50。這些數字意味着該國的商業活動在持續的伊朗戰爭中開始放緩。</p>
<p>另一份報告顯示，在戰爭開始之前，日本的通脹有所緩和。整體通脹從 1.5% 降至 1.3%，而核心 CPI 從 2% 降至 1.6%。</p>
<p>儘管通脹趨勢向好，但由於國內能源價格上漲，未來幾個月通脹可能會反彈。因此，日本央行可能會在今年晚些時候決定加息。這也解釋了為什麼日本的債券收益率本月持續上升。</p>
<p>日經 225 指數中的主要漲幅公司包括住友大日本、Citizen Holdings、三井、Hoya、Resona Holdings 和三菱化學。</p>
<p>另一方面，一些主要公司股價下跌。日本板玻璃的股價下跌近 10%，而日本鋼鐵、川崎、Konami 和三菱重工的股價均下跌超過 3%。</p>
<h2>日經 225 指數技術分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Nikkei-225-2.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Nikkei-225-2.png"/></p>
<p><em>日經指數圖表 | 來源：TradingView</em></p>
<p>日線圖顯示，日經 225 指數在過去幾週中回落，從 2 月份的高點¥59,330 降至當前的¥51,90。</p>
<p>它已經跌破了自去年 8 月以來連接最低波動的上升趨勢線。它還重新測試了該趨勢線，確認了突破和重新測試模式。</p>
<p>該指數已跌破 50 日指數移動平均線（EMA），而 MACD 指標已跌至零線以下。</p>
<p>因此，該指數可能會繼續下跌，因為賣方將目標鎖定在關鍵支撐位¥50,000。如果跌破關鍵支撐位¥51,837，這一觀點將得到確認。</p>
<p>本文的標題為《日經 225 指數為何面臨跌至¥50,000 的風險》，首次出現在 Invezz 上。</p>

1580

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<p>日經 225 指數受到技術性修正的壓力，受持續的中東緊張局勢以及近期日本通脹和採購經理人指數（PMI）數據的影響。儘管美國股市上漲，該指數已從 59,330 日元回落至 51,900 日元，分析師預測可能會跌至 50,000 日元。日本的通脹有所緩和，但能源價格上漲可能會促使日本銀行考慮加息。主要股票表現不一，一些大型公司經歷了顯著的下跌</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/japan.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/japan.png"/></p>
<p>The Nikkei 225 Index remained under pressure in a technical correction as traders observed the ongoing developments in the Middle East. It also retreated after the latest Japanese consumer inflation and PMI report.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日經 225 指數在技術性修正中持續承壓，交易者關注中東的持續發展。在最新的日本消費者通脹和 PMI 報告發布後，該指數也有所回落。</p>
</div><h2>Japan stocks pressured as Iran war continues</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>日本股市因伊朗戰爭持續承壓</h2>
</div><p>The Nikkei 225 Index remains in a correction despite the surge in American equities on Monday, when the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 indices rose by over 600 and 300 points.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管美國股市在週一大幅上漲，道瓊斯和納斯達克 100 指數分別上漲超過 600 點和 300 點，但日經 225 指數仍處於修正狀態。</p>
</div><p>US equities jumped after Donald Trump did a TACO, by announcing that his administration was in talks with Iran. As a result, he decided to stop the planned bombing of Iran’s energy infrastructure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在唐納德·特朗普宣佈他的政府正在與伊朗進行談判後，美國股市大幅上漲。因此，他決定停止計劃中的對伊朗能源基礎設施的轟炸。</p>
</div><p>However, the reality is that Iran has rejected these claims and maintained that the Strait of Hormuz was still closed to enemy countries. Trump decided to de-escalate after talking with regional governments as Iran had threatened to bomb their infrastructure and desalination plants.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，現實是伊朗拒絕了這些説法，並堅持認為霍爾木茲海峽仍然對敵國關閉。特朗普在與地區政府交談後決定緩和局勢，因為伊朗威脅要轟炸他們的基礎設施和海水淡化廠。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, there is a likelihood that the Iran war will continue for a while as the latter aims to prevent future attacks. Iran also insists that it will need to be paid by the United States and Israel for the description.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，伊朗戰爭可能會持續一段時間，因為伊朗旨在防止未來的攻擊。伊朗還堅稱，它需要美國和以色列支付相關費用。</p>
</div><p>These fears explain why energy prices have started rising again. Brent, the benchmark asset, rose to $100, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose to $92.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這些擔憂解釋了為什麼能源價格再次開始上漲。布倫特原油作為基準資產上漲至 100 美元，而西德克薩斯中質原油（WTI）上漲至 92 美元。</p>
</div><p>Japan is one of the most exposed countries as it imports most of its energy from the Middle East.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日本是最受影響的國家之一，因為它大部分能源依賴中東進口。</p>
</div><h2>Japan inflation and PMI data</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>日本通脹和 PMI 數據</h2>
</div><p>The Nikkei 225 Index also retreated after the latest Japanese inflation and PMI data. According to S&amp;P Global, the manufacturing PMI dropped from 53.0 in February to 51.4 in March.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在最新的日本通脹和 PMI 數據發佈後，日經 225 指數也有所回落。根據標普全球的數據，製造業 PMI 從 2 月份的 53.0 降至 3 月份的 51.4。</p>
</div><p>Similarly, the services PMI dropped from 53.8 to 52.8, while the composite figure dropped from 53.90 to 52.50. These numbers mean that business activity in the country has started to moderate amid the ongoing Iran war.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>同樣，服務業 PMI 從 53.8 降至 52.8，而綜合指數從 53.90 降至 52.50。這些數字意味着該國的商業活動在持續的伊朗戰爭中開始放緩。</p>
</div><p>Another report showed that Japan's inflation moderated before the war started. The headline inflation dropped from 1.5% to 1.3%, while the core CPI dropped from 2% to 1.6%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一份報告顯示，在戰爭開始之前，日本的通脹有所緩和。整體通脹從 1.5% 降至 1.3%，而核心 CPI 從 2% 降至 1.6%。</p>
</div><p>While the inflation trend is positive, chances are that it will rebound in the coming months because of the rising energy prices in the country. As a result, the Bank of Japan may decide to hike interest rates later this year. This explains why Japan’s bond yields have continued rising this month m</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管通脹趨勢向好，但由於國內能源價格上漲，未來幾個月通脹可能會反彈。因此，日本央行可能會在今年晚些時候決定加息。這也解釋了為什麼日本的債券收益率本月持續上升。</p>
</div><p>The top gainers in the Nikkei 225 Index were companies like Sumitomo Dainippon, Citizen Holdings, Mitsui, Hoya, Resona Holdings, and Mitsubishi Chemicals.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日經 225 指數中的主要漲幅公司包括住友大日本、Citizen Holdings、三井、Hoya、Resona Holdings 和三菱化學。</p>
</div><p>On the other hand, some top companies were in the red. Nippon Sheet Glass stock dropped by nearly 10%, while Japan Steel Works, Kawasaki, Konami, and Mitsubishi Heavy dropped by over 3%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，一些主要公司股價下跌。日本板玻璃的股價下跌近 10%，而日本鋼鐵、川崎、Konami 和三菱重工的股價均下跌超過 3%。</p>
</div><h2>Nikkei 225 Index technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>日經 225 指數技術分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Nikkei-225-2.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Nikkei-225-2.png"/></p>
<p><em>Nikkei Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>日經指數圖表 | 來源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The daily timeframe chart shows that the Nikkei 225 Index has retreated in the past few weeks, moving from a high of ¥59,330 in February to the current ¥51,90.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日線圖顯示，日經 225 指數在過去幾週中回落，從 2 月份的高點¥59,330 降至當前的¥51,90。</p>
</div><p>It has dropped below the ascending trendline that links the lowest swings since August last year. It also retested that trendline, confirming the break-and-retest pattern.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>它已經跌破了自去年 8 月以來連接最低波動的上升趨勢線。它還重新測試了該趨勢線，確認了突破和重新測試模式。</p>
</div><p>The index has dropped below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), while the MACD indicator has moved below the zero line.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該指數已跌破 50 日指數移動平均線（EMA），而 MACD 指標已跌至零線以下。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the index will likely continue falling as sellers target the key support level at ¥50,000. This view will be confirmed if it drops below the key support level at ¥51,837.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，該指數可能會繼續下跌，因為賣方將目標鎖定在關鍵支撐位¥50,000。如果跌破關鍵支撐位¥51,837，這一觀點將得到確認。</p>
</div><p>The post Here’s why the Nikkei 225 Index is at risk of falling to ¥50,000 appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文的標題為《日經 225 指數為何面臨跌至¥50,000 的風險》，首次出現在 Invezz 上。</p>
</div>

以下是日經 225 指數可能跌至 50,000 日元的原因