<p>日經 225 指數在週一飆升至創紀錄高位，投資者預計接下來一週市場將會非常活躍。該指數上漲至 60,787 日元，遠高於年初至今的低點 50,430 日元。本文將探討本週將推動日本股票的一些主要催化因素。</p>
<p><strong>日經 225 指數將對美伊戰爭問題作出反應</strong></p>
<p>本週日經 225 指數的主要催化因素是美伊戰爭的進展，目前已進入無期限停火安排。</p>
<p>週六，特朗普總統在一份聲明中表示，他已取消了代表團前往巴基斯坦的行程，因為顯然伊朗方面不會出席。</p>
<p>由於美國政府持續封鎖，伊朗方面抵制與美國會面。因此，原油價格持續上漲，布倫特原油週一達到 107 美元的高位。日本企業對這些價格高度敏感，因為該國大部分能源依賴中東進口。</p>
<p><strong>日本銀行利率決策</strong></p>
<p>日經 225 指數的另一個主要催化因素是本週二即將公佈的日本銀行利率決策。</p>
<p>路透社調查的經濟學家預計，日本銀行將維持利率在 30 年來的高點 0.75% 不變。官員們將此利率決策解釋為觀察戰爭對通脹影響的方式。</p>
<p>儘管如此，分析師預計日本銀行最終將在今年晚些時候加息 0.25%，這是國際貨幣基金組織（IMF）所要求的。這也解釋了為什麼近期短期日本國債價格飆升。</p>
<p>除了日本銀行的決策，接下來美聯儲的利率決策也將對該指數產生影響。鴿派傾向可能會推動指數上漲。</p>
<p><strong>日本企業財報</strong></p>
<p>與此同時，一些重要的日本公司將在本週公佈財務業績。其中最引人注目的是沃倫·巴菲特投資的綜合商社，包括三菱、三井、丸紅、住友和伊藤忠等公司將於週五發佈財報。</p>
<p>更多大型公司如東京電子、豐田通商、豪雅、村田製作所、三菱電機、富士通和小松將在本週公佈最新業績。強勁的企業盈利將對指數產生非常積極的影響。</p>
<p>此外，該指數還將對美國財報季作出反應，本週微軟、谷歌、蘋果和 Meta Platforms 等公司將加速發佈財報。</p>
<p><strong>日經 225 指數技術分析</strong></p>
<p><em>NI225 指數圖表 | 來源：TradingView</em></p>
<p>日線圖顯示，日經 225 指數近期出現強勁的看漲突破，目前徘徊在歷史最高點。它已經突破關鍵阻力位 59,297 日元，確認了杯柄形態。</p>
<p>該指數仍高於所有移動平均線和 Murrey Math Lines 工具的強力反轉支點。因此，下一個需要關注的關鍵阻力位將是 62,500 日元的最終阻力位。</p>

南方日經225

1346

華安日經225ETF

<p>日經 225 指數達到創紀錄的 60,787 日元，主要受到本週關鍵因素的推動。持續的美伊戰爭及其對原油價格的影響（原油價格達到 107 美元）是一個主要因素，因為日本在能源進口方面依賴嚴重。此外，日本銀行的利率決定預計將維持在 0.75%，這可能會導致未來加息。包括沃倫·巴菲特支持的主要日本公司的重要財報也將影響該指數的表現</p>

<p>The Nikkei 225 Index soared to a record high on Monday as investors anticipated a busy market week ahead. It jumped to a high of ¥60,787, much higher than the year-to-date low of ¥50,430. This article looks at some of the top catalysts that will move Japan stocks this week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日經 225 指數在週一飆升至創紀錄高位，投資者預計接下來一週市場將會非常活躍。該指數上漲至 60,787 日元，遠高於年初至今的低點 50,430 日元。本文將探討本週將推動日本股票的一些主要催化因素。</p>
</div><p><strong>Nikkei 225 Index to react to the US-Iran war issues</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日經 225 指數將對美伊戰爭問題作出反應</strong></p>
</div><p>The main catalyst for the Nikkei 225 Index this week is the progress of the US-Iran war, which has now moved into an open-ended ceasefire arrangement.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本週日經 225 指數的主要催化因素是美伊戰爭的進展，目前已進入無期限停火安排。</p>
</div><p>In a statement on Saturday, President Donald Trump said that he had canceled the trip to Pakistan by his representatives as it became clear that the Iranians will not show up.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>週六，特朗普總統在一份聲明中表示，他已取消了代表團前往巴基斯坦的行程，因為顯然伊朗方面不會出席。</p>
</div><p>Iranians have resisted meeting with the US as the US government continues the blockade. As a result, crude oil prices continued rising, with Brent reaching a high of $107 on Monday. Japanese companies are highly exposed to these prices because the country imports most of its energy from the Middle East.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由於美國政府持續封鎖，伊朗方面抵制與美國會面。因此，原油價格持續上漲，布倫特原油週一達到 107 美元的高位。日本企業對這些價格高度敏感，因為該國大部分能源依賴中東進口。</p>
</div><p><strong>Bank of Japan interest rate decision</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日本銀行利率決策</strong></p>
</div><p>The other main catalyst for the Nikkei 225 Index is the upcoming Bank of Japan interest rate decision that comes on Tuesday this week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日經 225 指數的另一個主要催化因素是本週二即將公佈的日本銀行利率決策。</p>
</div><p>Economists polled by Reuters expect the bank to leave interest rates uncharted at the 30 year high of 0.75%. Officials will justify the rate decision as a way to observe the impact of the war on inflation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>路透社調查的經濟學家預計，日本銀行將維持利率在 30 年來的高點 0.75% 不變。官員們將此利率決策解釋為觀察戰爭對通脹影響的方式。</p>
</div><p>Still, analysts expect that the bank will ultimately hike interest rates by 0.25% later this year as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has requested. This explains why the short-term Japanese government bonds have soared recently.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管如此，分析師預計日本銀行最終將在今年晚些時候加息 0.25%，這是國際貨幣基金組織（IMF）所要求的。這也解釋了為什麼近期短期日本國債價格飆升。</p>
</div><p>In addition to the BoJ decision, the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision will have an impact on the index. A dovish tilt will likely push the index higher.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>除了日本銀行的決策，接下來美聯儲的利率決策也將對該指數產生影響。鴿派傾向可能會推動指數上漲。</p>
</div><p><strong>Top Japanese earnings</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日本企業財報</strong></p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, some important Japanese companies will publish their financial results this week. The most notable of them are the sogo-shoshas, which Warren Buffett has invested in. This includes companies like Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Marubeni, Sumitomo, and Itochu that will release their numbers on Friday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，一些重要的日本公司將在本週公佈財務業績。其中最引人注目的是沃倫·巴菲特投資的綜合商社，包括三菱、三井、丸紅、住友和伊藤忠等公司將於週五發佈財報。</p>
</div><p>More large companies like Tokyo Electron, Toyota Tsusho, Hoya, Murata Engineering, Mitsubishi Electric, Fujitsu, and Komatsu will publish their latest results this week. Strong corporate earnings will be highly bullish for the index.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更多大型公司如東京電子、豐田通商、豪雅、村田製作所、三菱電機、富士通和小松將在本週公佈最新業績。強勁的企業盈利將對指數產生非常積極的影響。</p>
</div><p>In addition to this, the index will react to the US earnings season, which will accelerate this week with companies like Microsoft, Google, Apple, and Meta Platforms releasing their results.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，該指數還將對美國財報季作出反應，本週微軟、谷歌、蘋果和 Meta Platforms 等公司將加速發佈財報。</p>
</div><p><strong>Nikkei 225 Index technical analysis</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日經 225 指數技術分析</strong></p>
</div><p><em>NI225 Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>NI225 指數圖表 | 來源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The daily timeframe chart shows that the Nikkei 225 Index has made a strong bullish breakout recently and is now hovering at its highest point on record. It has already moved above the key resistance level at ¥59,297, confirming the cup-and-handle pattern.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日線圖顯示，日經 225 指數近期出現強勁的看漲突破，目前徘徊在歷史最高點。它已經突破關鍵阻力位 59,297 日元，確認了杯柄形態。</p>
</div><p>The index remains above all moving averages and the strong pivot reverse of the Murrey Math Lines tool. Therefore, the next key resistance level to watch will be at the ultimate resistance at ¥62,500.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該指數仍高於所有移動平均線和 Murrey Math Lines 工具的強力反轉支點。因此，下一個需要關注的關鍵阻力位將是 62,500 日元的最終阻力位。</p>
</div>

本週推動日經 225 指數的三大因素