<p><strong>比特幣</strong> (CRYPTO: BTC) 現價下跌至 79,000 美元，此前銅金比率首次突破 200 日移動平均線，這一信號在歷史上通常預示着比特幣的重大牛市。</p>
<h3>2020 年信號迴歸</h3>
<p>銅金比率目前為 0.00142，銅價為每磅 6.65 美元，黃金接近每盎司 4,700 美元。</p>
<p>該比率自 2020 年 9 月以來首次顯著突破 200 日移動平均線。</p>
<p>2013 年、2017 年和 2021 年期間，該比率的先前上漲與比特幣價格的重大上漲相一致。</p>
<p>該比率從低點上漲了 25%，歷史上領先比特幣數週到數月，進一步強化了當前加密貨幣反彈可能仍處於早期階段的觀點。</p>
<h3>相關性開始增強</h3>
<p>比特幣與銅金比率之間的相關係數目前為-0.11，儘管它已從-1.00 急劇反彈。</p>
<p>這表明這兩種資產尚未呈現正相關，但關係開始增強。</p>
<p>在比特幣最強勁的牛市期間，相關性已趨近或超過 1.0。目前的負值主要反映了早期的分歧階段，當時比率下跌，而比特幣的下跌速度快於銅。</p>
<p>隨着比率的恢復，歷史上這種關係通常會隨着市場條件的改善而趨於一致。</p>
<h3>為什麼比率重要</h3>
<p>銅金比率被廣泛視為經濟動能和投資者風險偏好的衡量標準。</p>
<p>銅與工業需求密切相關，通常在經濟擴張期間表現優於黃金，而黃金則傳統上與防禦性投資相關。</p>
<p>比率上升表明宏觀環境更具風險偏好。歷史上，銅金比率領先比特幣數週到數月，這表明當前的走勢可能仍處於早期階段。</p>
<h3>儘管回調，通道依然完整</h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/13111100/X_BTCUSD-price-moving-averages-chart-24-1024x879.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/13111100/X_BTCUSD-price-moving-averages-chart-24-1024x879.png"/></p>
<p>比特幣今天回調，正在重新測試上升通道的中間趨勢線，這正是健康修正期間應找到支撐的位置。</p>
<p>自 4 月 61,000 美元低點以來的上升通道是主導結構。儘管今天出現紅色蠟燭，75,617 美元的超級趨勢和 78,796 美元的 SAR 仍然看漲。</p>
<p>通道的下邊界位於 77,500 美元至 78,000 美元之間，這是多頭絕對必須守住的區域。</p>
<p>支撐位在 78,796 美元，然後是 77,500 美元的通道底部。阻力位在 82,000 美元至 83,000 美元的通道頂部，若日線收盤低於 77,500 美元則失效。</p>
<p><em>圖片來源：Shutterstock</em></p>

GBTC

COIN

<p>比特幣（CRYPTO: BTC）已跌至 79,000 美元，因為銅與黃金的比率首次超過自 2020 年 9 月以來的 200 日移動平均線，歷史上這通常預示着比特幣的牛市。當前比率為 0.00142，銅價為每磅 6.65 美元，黃金價為每盎司 4,700 美元。比特幣與銅與黃金比率之間的相關性正在增強，暗示可能出現早期的加密貨幣反彈。儘管出現回調，比特幣正在測試上升通道中間趨勢線的支撐位，關鍵支撐水平為 78,796 美元和 77,500 美元</p>

<p><strong>Bitcoin</strong> (CRYPTO: BTC) is down to $79,000 after the copper-to-gold ratio broke above its 200-day moving average for the first time since September 2020, a signal that has historically preceded major Bitcoin bull runs.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>比特幣</strong> (CRYPTO: BTC) 現價下跌至 79,000 美元，此前銅金比率首次突破 200 日移動平均線，這一信號在歷史上通常預示着比特幣的重大牛市。</p>
</div><h3>The 2020 Signal Returns</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>2020 年信號迴歸</h3>
</div><p>The copper-to-gold ratio currently stands at 0.00142, with copper trading at $6.65 per pound and gold near $4,700 per ounce.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>銅金比率目前為 0.00142，銅價為每磅 6.65 美元，黃金接近每盎司 4,700 美元。</p>
</div><p>The ratio has climbed above its 200-day moving average for the first meaningful time since September 2020.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該比率自 2020 年 9 月以來首次顯著突破 200 日移動平均線。</p>
</div><p>Previous surges in the ratio during 2013, 2017, and 2021 aligned with major gains in Bitcoin prices.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>2013 年、2017 年和 2021 年期間，該比率的先前上漲與比特幣價格的重大上漲相一致。</p>
</div><p>The ratio has risen 25% from its lows and historically leads Bitcoin by weeks to months, reinforcing the view that the current crypto rally may still be in its early stages.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該比率從低點上漲了 25%，歷史上領先比特幣數週到數月，進一步強化了當前加密貨幣反彈可能仍處於早期階段的觀點。</p>
</div><h3>Correlation Beginning To Strengthen</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>相關性開始增強</h3>
</div><p>The correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the copper-to-gold ratio currently sits at -0.11, though it has rebounded sharply from -1.00.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特幣與銅金比率之間的相關係數目前為-0.11，儘管它已從-1.00 急劇反彈。</p>
</div><p>This suggests the two assets are not yet positively correlated, but the relationship is beginning to strengthen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這表明這兩種資產尚未呈現正相關，但關係開始增強。</p>
</div><p>During Bitcoin’s strongest bull runs, the correlation has moved toward or above 1.0. The current negative reading largely reflects the earlier divergence phase, when the ratio was falling and Bitcoin declined faster than copper.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在比特幣最強勁的牛市期間，相關性已趨近或超過 1.0。目前的負值主要反映了早期的分歧階段，當時比率下跌，而比特幣的下跌速度快於銅。</p>
</div><p>As the ratio recovers, that relationship has historically converged alongside improving market conditions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>隨着比率的恢復，歷史上這種關係通常會隨着市場條件的改善而趨於一致。</p>
</div><h3>Why The Ratio Matters</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>為什麼比率重要</h3>
</div><p>The copper-to-gold ratio is widely viewed as a gauge of economic momentum and investor risk appetite.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>銅金比率被廣泛視為經濟動能和投資者風險偏好的衡量標準。</p>
</div><p>Copper is closely tied to industrial demand and tends to outperform during periods of economic expansion, while gold is traditionally associated with defensive positioning.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>銅與工業需求密切相關，通常在經濟擴張期間表現優於黃金，而黃金則傳統上與防禦性投資相關。</p>
</div><p>A rising ratio signals a more risk-on macro environment. Historically, the copper-to-gold ratio has led Bitcoin by several weeks to months, suggesting the current move may still be in its early stages.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比率上升表明宏觀環境更具風險偏好。歷史上，銅金比率領先比特幣數週到數月，這表明當前的走勢可能仍處於早期階段。</p>
</div><h3>Channel Intact Despite Pullback</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>儘管回調，通道依然完整</h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/13111100/X_BTCUSD-price-moving-averages-chart-24-1024x879.png" alt="" original-src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/13111100/X_BTCUSD-price-moving-averages-chart-24-1024x879.png"/></p>
<p>Bitcoin pulled back today and is retesting the ascending channel’s middle trendline, which is exactly where it should find support during a healthy correction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特幣今天回調，正在重新測試上升通道的中間趨勢線，這正是健康修正期間應找到支撐的位置。</p>
</div><p>The ascending channel from April’s $61,000 lows is the dominant structure. Supertrend at $75,617 and SAR at $78,796 both remain bullish despite today’s red candle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>自 4 月 61,000 美元低點以來的上升通道是主導結構。儘管今天出現紅色蠟燭，75,617 美元的超級趨勢和 78,796 美元的 SAR 仍然看漲。</p>
</div><p>The channel’s lower boundary sits around $77,500–$78,000, the absolute must-hold zone for bulls.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>通道的下邊界位於 77,500 美元至 78,000 美元之間，這是多頭絕對必須守住的區域。</p>
</div><p>Support sits at $78,796, then $77,500 channel floor. Resistance sits at $82,000–$83,000 channel top with invalidation on a daily close below $77,500.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>支撐位在 78,796 美元，然後是 77,500 美元的通道底部。阻力位在 82,000 美元至 83,000 美元的通道頂部，若日線收盤低於 77,500 美元則失效。</p>
</div><p><em>Image: Shutterstock</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖片來源：Shutterstock</em></p>
</div>

If You Want To Know Where Bitcoin Is Headed Next, Watch The Price Of Copper

- 比特幣目前價格為 $79,000，銅金比率首次突破 200 日均線。
- 銅金比率已上漲 25%，歷史上通常會提前數週至數月引領比特幣。
- 比特幣的回調測試上升通道的中趨勢線，支撐位在 $78,796 至 $77,500。

如果你想了解比特幣的未來走勢，請關注銅的價格