<div id="readability-page-1">Shift in rate outlook: Markets now price in over a 50% chance of a Fed rate hike by December 2026, reversing earlier expectations for cuts. Inflation still stubborn: Core import prices rose 3.3% year-on-year in April, while energy costs surged amid Iran conflict-related supply disruptions. Consumers feeling strain: Lower-income households are depleting tax refunds quickly as inflation outpaces wages, raising risks of a spending slowdown.</div>

納斯達克 100 指數

道瓊斯指數

標普 500 指數

納斯達克綜合指數

<p>市場目前預計到 2026 年 12 月美聯儲加息的概率超過 50%，這與之前對降息的預期相反。4 月份核心進口價格同比上漲了 3.3%，能源成本因伊朗衝突導致的供應中斷而上升。低收入家庭的税收退款迅速減少，因為通貨膨脹超過了工資增長，這引發了對潛在消費放緩的擔憂</p>

Markets see December Fed hike as inflation stays high

- 市場預計 2026 年 12 月美聯儲加息概率超過 50%。  
- 4 月核心進口價格同比上漲 3.3%，能源成本因伊朗衝突上漲。  
- 低收入家庭快速消耗退税，通脹加速拖累消費支出。

由於通脹持續高企，市場預計美聯儲將在 12 月加息