<h2><strong>歐元技術展望：EUR/USD 周交易水平</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>EUR/USD 在從主要阻力位反轉後，已跌破 52 周和 200 日移動平均線。</li>
<li>5 月區間的突破正在加速，隨着下行動能在更廣泛的下行趨勢結構中積聚。</li>
<li>初步支撐現在可見——跌破將威脅到年度下跌的持續。</li>
<li>在年度開盤價以下，反彈嘗試可能會面臨阻力。</li>
<li>阻力位 1.1746/75（關鍵），1.1849，1.1917——支撐位 1.1578/98（關鍵），1.1483，1.1355/94</li>
</ul>
<p>在再次未能突破主要阻力位後，EUR/USD 受到新的壓力，周線反轉超過 1.4%，現已跌破關鍵移動平均線。反轉將短期焦點重新轉向下行，價格現在接近 1.16 附近的關鍵支撐區。儘管在 4 月高點拒絕後風險仍偏向下行，但短期內的下跌可能會在這一關鍵支撐位受到威脅，而此處的反應可能決定下一步走勢。EUR/USD 周線技術圖表上的戰鬥線已劃定。</p>
<p>查看我最新的 <strong>周策略網絡研討會</strong>，深入分析此 EUR/USD 技術設置及更多內容。<strong>週一</strong> 上午 8:30（東部時間）<strong>直播</strong>。</p>
<h3><strong>歐元價格圖 – EUR/USD 周線</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515153832-4.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="999" height="653" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515153832-4.png"/></p>
<p><em>圖表由 Michael Boutros 準備，資深技術策略師；</em> <em>EUR/USD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>技術展望：</strong> 在我上一次的 <strong>歐元技術展望</strong> 中，我們指出 EUR/USD 正在 “連續第四周交易於年度開盤附近的關鍵支撐區。焦點是本月初對此區域的反應，3 月的反彈在此以下顯得脆弱。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一階段突破，損失應限制在 52 周移動平均線之內。” 隨後的第五次嘗試未能維持突破，歐元在週五急劇反轉，跌破月初開盤區間低點。損失總計超過 1.9%，自 4 月高點以來，跌破 52 周和 200 日移動平均線威脅到未來幾周的進一步損失。</p>
<p>初步支撐現在可見，位於 2025 年上漲的 61.8% 回撤位和 1 月收盤低點 <strong>1.1578/98</strong> 附近。該水平下方是我們一直跟蹤的從年度高點延伸出的中線——跌破此斜率將威脅到年度下行趨勢的恢復，下一主要技術考慮在於 4 月下跌的 1.618% 擴展位 <strong>1.1483</strong> 和關鍵支撐位 <strong>1.1355/94</strong>——該區域由 2025 年上漲的 38.2% 回撤位、4 月高點收盤和 7 月擺動低點定義。</p>
<p>關鍵阻力位仍在年度開盤、2025 年高周收盤（HWC）和 2025 年高收盤 <strong>1.1746/75</strong> 附近。請注意，61.8% 的平行線在接下來的幾周內與該區域重合，突破/周收盤在此之上將需要以暗示更顯著的低點已形成。最終，突破上方平行線/4 月高點 <strong>1.1849</strong> 將使年度下行趨勢失效，後續阻力目標瞄準 2022 年上漲的 100% 擴展/2025 年擺動高點 <strong>1.1917/19</strong> 和 2008 年更廣泛下跌的 38.2% 回撤位 <strong>1.2020</strong>。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ"/></p>
<p><strong>總結：</strong> EUR/USD 對年度開盤的關鍵阻力作出了反應，反轉現已接近初步支撐。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一階段向下，反彈需限制在年度開盤之內，收盤低於 1.1578 將需要推動下跌的下一個主要階段。</p>
<p>請記住，下週經濟日曆相對清淡，歐元區 PMI 數據將成為焦點。在這些低點保持靈活，並關注周收盤以獲取指導。查看我最新的 <strong>歐元短期展望</strong>，以更詳細地瞭解近期 EUR/USD 技術交易水平。</p>
<h3><strong>關鍵歐元/美國經濟數據發佈</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515153845-5.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="726" height="646" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515153845-5.png"/></p>
<p><strong>經濟日曆</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新經濟動態和即將到來的事件風險。</p>
<h3><strong>活躍的周技術圖表</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>美元指數 (DXY)</li>
<li>黃金 (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>日元 (USD/JPY)</li>
<li>澳元 (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>瑞士法郎 (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>比特幣 (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>英鎊 (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>加元 (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>標普 500、納斯達克、道瓊斯</li>
</ul>
<p>--- 由 Michael Boutros 撰寫，資深技術策略師</p>
<p>在 X 上關注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>

歐元 做多 - CurrencyShares

<p>EUR/USD 已經跌破了 52 周和 200 日移動均線，表明下行趨勢正在增強。初步支撐位在 1.1578/98，如果這一水平被突破，可能會進一步下跌。阻力位仍在 1.1746/75，恢復嘗試可能在年初開盤價下方遇到困難。最近超過 1.4% 的反轉表明市場關注下行動能，未來幾周需關注關鍵技術水平</p>

<h2><strong>Euro Technical Forecast: EUR/USD Weekly Trade Levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>歐元技術展望：EUR/USD 周交易水平</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li>EUR/USD has broken below the 52-week and 200-day moving averages after reversing from major resistance.</li>
<li>Break of the May range is accelerating as downside momentum builds within the broader downtrend structure.</li>
<li>Initial support now in view- a break below would threaten continuation of the yearly decline.</li>
<li>Recovery attempts are likely to face resistance while below the yearly open.</li>
<li>Resistance 1.1746/75 (key), 1.1849, 1.1917- Support 1.1578/98 (key), 1.1483, 1.1355/94</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>EUR/USD 在從主要阻力位反轉後，已跌破 52 周和 200 日移動平均線。</li>
<li>5 月區間的突破正在加速，隨着下行動能在更廣泛的下行趨勢結構中積聚。</li>
<li>初步支撐現在可見——跌破將威脅到年度下跌的持續。</li>
<li>在年度開盤價以下，反彈嘗試可能會面臨阻力。</li>
<li>阻力位 1.1746/75（關鍵），1.1849，1.1917——支撐位 1.1578/98（關鍵），1.1483，1.1355/94</li>
</ul>
</div><p>EUR/USD is under renewed pressure after failing once again at major resistance, with a weekly reversal of more than 1.4% now breaking below key moving averages. The reversal shifts the near-term focus back to the downside, with price now approaching a key pivot zone near the 1.16-handle. While the risk remains weighted to the downside following the rejection from the April highs, the immediate decline may be vulnerable into this key support, and a reaction here may determine the next move. Battle lines drawn on the EUR/USD weekly technical chart.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在再次未能突破主要阻力位後，EUR/USD 受到新的壓力，周線反轉超過 1.4%，現已跌破關鍵移動平均線。反轉將短期焦點重新轉向下行，價格現在接近 1.16 附近的關鍵支撐區。儘管在 4 月高點拒絕後風險仍偏向下行，但短期內的下跌可能會在這一關鍵支撐位受到威脅，而此處的反應可能決定下一步走勢。EUR/USD 周線技術圖表上的戰鬥線已劃定。</p>
</div><p>Review my latest <strong>Weekly Strategy Webinar</strong> for an in-depth breakdown of this EUR/USD technical setup and more. <strong>Join live</strong> on Monday’s at 8:30am EST.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>查看我最新的 <strong>周策略網絡研討會</strong>，深入分析此 EUR/USD 技術設置及更多內容。<strong>週一</strong> 上午 8:30（東部時間）<strong>直播</strong>。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Euro Price Chart – EUR/USD Weekly</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>歐元價格圖 – EUR/USD 周線</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515153832-4.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515153832-4.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>EUR/USD on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖表由 Michael Boutros 準備，資深技術策略師；</em> <em>EUR/USD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Technical Outlook:</strong> In my last <strong>Euro Technical Forecast</strong> we noted that EUR/USD was, “trading just below a key pivot zone around the yearly open for a fourth-consecutive week. The focus is on a reaction off this region early in the month with the March rally vulnerable while below. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to the 52-week moving average IF price is heading for a breakout on <em>this</em> stretch..” A fifth attempt the following week failed to sustain a break with Euro reversing sharply to break the monthly opening range lows on Friday. The losses amount to decline of more than 1.9% off the April highs with a break below the 52-week &amp; 200-day moving averages threatening further losses in the weeks ahead.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>技術展望：</strong> 在我上一次的 <strong>歐元技術展望</strong> 中，我們指出 EUR/USD 正在 “連續第四周交易於年度開盤附近的關鍵支撐區。焦點是本月初對此區域的反應，3 月的反彈在此以下顯得脆弱。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一階段突破，損失應限制在 52 周移動平均線之內。” 隨後的第五次嘗試未能維持突破，歐元在週五急劇反轉，跌破月初開盤區間低點。損失總計超過 1.9%，自 4 月高點以來，跌破 52 周和 200 日移動平均線威脅到未來幾周的進一步損失。</p>
</div><p>Initial support is now in view just lower at the 61.8% retracement of the 2025 advance and the January close low at <strong>1.1578/98</strong>. Just below this level rests the median-line of the pitchfork we have been tracking off the yearly high- losses below this slope would threaten resumption of the yearly downtrend with the next major technical considerations seen at the 1.618% extension of the April decline at <strong>1.1483</strong> and key support at the <strong>1.1355/94</strong>- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the 2025 advance, the April high close, and July swing low.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>初步支撐現在可見，位於 2025 年上漲的 61.8% 回撤位和 1 月收盤低點 <strong>1.1578/98</strong> 附近。該水平下方是我們一直跟蹤的從年度高點延伸出的中線——跌破此斜率將威脅到年度下行趨勢的恢復，下一主要技術考慮在於 4 月下跌的 1.618% 擴展位 <strong>1.1483</strong> 和關鍵支撐位 <strong>1.1355/94</strong>——該區域由 2025 年上漲的 38.2% 回撤位、4 月高點收盤和 7 月擺動低點定義。</p>
</div><p>Key resistance remains with the yearly open, the 2025 high-week close (HWC), and the 2025 high-close at <strong>1.1746/75</strong>. Note that the 61.8% parallel converges on this zone over the next few weeks and a breach / weekly close above would be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place. Ultimately, a breach above upper parallel / April high at <strong>1.1849</strong> would invalidate the yearly downtrend with subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 100% extension of the 2022 advance / the 2025 swing high at <strong>1.1917/19</strong> and the 38.2% retracement of broader the 2008 decline at <strong>1.2020</strong>.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>關鍵阻力位仍在年度開盤、2025 年高周收盤（HWC）和 2025 年高收盤 <strong>1.1746/75</strong> 附近。請注意，61.8% 的平行線在接下來的幾周內與該區域重合，突破/周收盤在此之上將需要以暗示更顯著的低點已形成。最終，突破上方平行線/4 月高點 <strong>1.1849</strong> 將使年度下行趨勢失效，後續阻力目標瞄準 2022 年上漲的 100% 擴展/2025 年擺動高點 <strong>1.1917/19</strong> 和 2008 年更廣泛下跌的 38.2% 回撤位 <strong>1.2020</strong>。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ" alt="" original-src="https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg?extension=webp&amp;hash=02BA65E65BB9F508C5A91DBB3AFB588E"/></p>
<p><strong>Bottom line:</strong> EUR/USD has responded to key resistance at the yearly open with the reversal now approaching initial support. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to the yearly open IF price is heading lower on <em>this</em> stretch with a close below 1.1578 needed to fuel the next major leg of the decline.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>總結：</strong> EUR/USD 對年度開盤的關鍵阻力作出了反應，反轉現已接近初步支撐。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一階段向下，反彈需限制在年度開盤之內，收盤低於 1.1578 將需要推動下跌的下一個主要階段。</p>
</div><p>Keep in mind the economic calendar is rather light next week with Eurozone PMI data headlining the docket. Stay nimble into these lows and watch the weekly closes for guidance. Review my latest <strong>Euro Short-term Outlook</strong> for a closer look at the near-term EUR/USD technical trade levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>請記住，下週經濟日曆相對清淡，歐元區 PMI 數據將成為焦點。在這些低點保持靈活，並關注周收盤以獲取指導。查看我最新的 <strong>歐元短期展望</strong>，以更詳細地瞭解近期 EUR/USD 技術交易水平。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Key Euro / US Economic Data Releases</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>關鍵歐元/美國經濟數據發佈</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515153845-5.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260515153845-5.png"/></p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar</strong> <strong>-</strong> latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>經濟日曆</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新經濟動態和即將到來的事件風險。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Active Weekly Technical Charts</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>活躍的周技術圖表</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>US Dollar Index (DXY)</li>
<li>Gold (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>Japanese Yen (USD/JPY)</li>
<li>Australian Dollar (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>Swiss Franc (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>Bitcoin (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>British Pound (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, Dow</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>美元指數 (DXY)</li>
<li>黃金 (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>日元 (USD/JPY)</li>
<li>澳元 (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>瑞士法郎 (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>比特幣 (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>英鎊 (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>加元 (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>標普 500、納斯達克、道瓊斯</li>
</ul>
</div><p>--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>--- 由 Michael Boutros 撰寫，資深技術策略師</p>
</div><p>Follow Michael on X <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 X 上關注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
</div>

Euro Technical Forecast: EUR/USD Breaks Key Averages—Downtrend Risk Builds

歐元技術預測：歐元/美元突破關鍵均線，面臨加劇的下行趨勢風險