<p>路透社的一篇文章正在傳播，稱 6 月加息 “幾乎已成定局”</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>歐洲央行官員認為 6 月加息幾乎是確定的</strong>，持續高企的能源成本使通脹壓力保持在高位。</li>
<li><strong>歐洲央行可能會避免承諾 7 月加息</strong>，更傾向於保持選擇的靈活性，並依賴數據做出決策。</li>
</ul>
<p>由於高企的能源價格持續對前景施加壓力，通脹風險有所增加，且與伊朗的和平協議沒有明顯的跡象。總體通脹率已經達到 3%，遠高於歐洲央行 2% 的目標，這進一步支持了 6 月加息的理由。官員們還承認，即使最終達成和平協議，能源價格在市場完全穩定之前可能仍會保持高位。</p>
<p>與此同時，政策制定者對經濟增長前景的擔憂日益加劇。疲弱的經濟活動、較軟的勞動市場狀況和需求放緩預計將有助於在中期內減輕通脹壓力。因此，儘管 6 月加息的可能性越來越大，但歐洲央行預計在此會議之後對持續加息的步伐仍將保持謹慎。</p>
<p>金融市場目前預計在未來一年內將有三次歐洲央行加息，首次加息預計在 7 月進行，最後一次預計在 2 月。</p>
<p>在過去一小時內，EURUSD 匯率有所上升。</p>

歐元 做多 - CurrencyShares

<p>歐洲央行官員認為，由於持續高企的能源成本推動通脹超過 2% 的目標，6 月加息幾乎是確定的。雖然 6 月加息的可能性很大，但歐洲央行可能會避免承諾進一步加息，仍將依賴數據。目前通脹率為 3%，金融市場預計在未來一年內將進行三次加息，第一次加息將在 7 月進行。EURUSD 最近有所上漲</p>

<p>A Reuters article is making the rounds saying that a June rate hike is &#34;nearly sealed&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>路透社的一篇文章正在傳播，稱 6 月加息 “幾乎已成定局”</p>
</div><ul>
<li><strong>ECB officials see a June rate hike as nearly certain</strong>, with persistent high energy costs keeping inflation pressures elevated.</li>
<li><strong>The ECB is likely to avoid committing to a July hike</strong>, preferring to keep options open and remain data dependent.</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><strong>歐洲央行官員認為 6 月加息幾乎是確定的</strong>，持續高企的能源成本使通脹壓力保持在高位。</li>
<li><strong>歐洲央行可能會避免承諾 7 月加息</strong>，更傾向於保持選擇的靈活性，並依賴數據做出決策。</li>
</ul>
</div><p>Inflation risks have increased as elevated energy prices continue to pressure the outlook, with no visible peace agreement involving Iran in sight. Headline inflation is already running at 3%, well above the ECB’s 2% target, reinforcing the case for a June rate hike. Officials also acknowledge that even if a peace agreement is eventually reached, energy prices could remain elevated for some time before markets fully stabilize.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由於高企的能源價格持續對前景施加壓力，通脹風險有所增加，且與伊朗的和平協議沒有明顯的跡象。總體通脹率已經達到 3%，遠高於歐洲央行 2% 的目標，這進一步支持了 6 月加息的理由。官員們還承認，即使最終達成和平協議，能源價格在市場完全穩定之前可能仍會保持高位。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, policymakers remain increasingly concerned about the growth outlook. Weak economic activity, softer labor market conditions, and slowing demand are expected to help dampen inflation pressures over the medium term. As a result, while a June hike appears increasingly likely, the ECB is expected to remain cautious about committing to a steady pace of tightening beyond that meeting.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，政策制定者對經濟增長前景的擔憂日益加劇。疲弱的經濟活動、較軟的勞動市場狀況和需求放緩預計將有助於在中期內減輕通脹壓力。因此，儘管 6 月加息的可能性越來越大，但歐洲央行預計在此會議之後對持續加息的步伐仍將保持謹慎。</p>
</div><p>Financial markets are currently pricing in three ECB rate hikes over the next year, with the first move expected in July and the last anticipated by February.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>金融市場目前預計在未來一年內將有三次歐洲央行加息，首次加息預計在 7 月進行，最後一次預計在 2 月。</p>
</div><p>The EURUSD has moved higher over the last hour</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在過去一小時內，EURUSD 匯率有所上升。</p>
</div>

消息來源稱，歐洲央行很可能在六月加息