<p>在四月份發佈的疲弱就業數據之後，澳大利亞儲備銀行進一步加息的預期減弱。根據 Jin10 的報道，IG Markets 分析師 Tony Sycamore 指出，市場之前預計 RBA 在六月的下一次會議上將加息 4 個基點，但這一預期現在已降至 1 個基點。展望長期，他補充道，市場預計 2026 年全年將累計收緊 33 個基點，但現在已降至 25 個基點。目前，終端官方現金利率預計為 4.60%，顯著低於上月底預測的 4.82%。</p>

<p>澳大利亞儲備銀行加息的預期在 4 月份就業數據疲軟後有所下降。IG Markets 的分析師 Tony Sycamore 指出，6 月份會議上預期的加息幅度從 4 個基點降至 1 個基點。市場對 2026 年累計收緊的預測也從 33 個基點降至 25 個基點，預計的終端現金利率現在為 4.60%，低於上個月的 4.82%</p>

<p>Following the release of weak employment data in April, expectations for further rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia have diminished. According to Jin10, IG Markets analyst Tony Sycamore noted that the rate market had previously priced in a 4 basis point increase for the RBA's next meeting in June, but this expectation has now dropped to 1 basis point. Looking at the longer-term outlook, he added that the market had priced in a cumulative tightening of 33 basis points for the entire year of 2026, which has now decreased to 25 basis points. The terminal official cash rate is currently expected to be 4.60%, significantly lower than the forecast of 4.82% at the end of last month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在四月份發佈的疲弱就業數據之後，澳大利亞儲備銀行進一步加息的預期減弱。根據 Jin10 的報道，IG Markets 分析師 Tony Sycamore 指出，市場之前預計 RBA 在六月的下一次會議上將加息 4 個基點，但這一預期現在已降至 1 個基點。展望長期，他補充道，市場預計 2026 年全年將累計收緊 33 個基點，但現在已降至 25 個基點。目前，終端官方現金利率預計為 4.60%，顯著低於上月底預測的 4.82%。</p>
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市場對澳大利亞加息的預期有所下降