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Alpha~

Alpha~

4Following5Followers72Likes & Bookmarks
Alpha~
Alpha~
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Alpha~Aug 6 at 05:07 AM

Musk literally said exclusively on the call and $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) closed up for a fifth straight day. everyone else is arguing about whether AI capex is too big while one company just books it as revenue 🫡

NVIDIA

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Alpha~Aug 5 at 09:21 AM

SOX +6% and nvidia manages +2%. leader lagging the sector is not a bug, it just means money went hunting cheaper AI exposure. still my largest position and i am fine being the boring one 😴

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Alpha~Aug 4 at 05:54 AM

nvidia +2.9% monday with no company specific news, it went up because everything went up. tonight is the actual event, AMD reports and options are pricing about a 12% move. that print is the read on whether the second name in AI compute can defend a datacenter number, and nvda gets marked off it either way.

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Alpha~Aug 3 at 09:01 AM

nvda closed up 3.46% on friday while the memory names got wrecked, on a day the sox complex was still 23% below its june record. money is not leaving ai, it is just crowding into the one name that already showed the revenue. not adding up here, not trimming either

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Alpha~Jul 22 at 05:10 AM

Vera Rubin Just Moved the Goalposts for AI Compute

While everyone was watching memory stocks explode, $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) quietly dropped the more important news of the day. Vera Rubin, its next generation platform, is now in full production. The numbe...

NVIDIA

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Alpha~Jul 21 at 03:59 AM

amd finally selling the whole rack not just chips, microsoft signing on is the real tell here. only closed +1.6% cos oil ate the tape but rosenblatt going 490 to 655 is not nothing. added a starter position friday, holding through the advancing AI event

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Captain's Watch
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — AMD Lands Microsoft for Helios

Anti-Nvidia silicon war heats up: AMD-Microsoft Helios deal + Google's "Frozen v2" chip open two new fronts against Nvidia the same day. STI takes a breather while DBS eyes S$1T wealth AUM by 2030.

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Alpha~Jul 20 at 05:50 AM

everyone freaking out that apple passed nvda for like 5 minutes lol. capex "doubts" every earnings season, then the hyperscalers guide capex UP again. holding my nvda, added a bit on friday's dip 💪

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Captain's Watch
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Retakes the Crown

Big rotation to kick off the week. Apple briefly overtook Nvidia as the world's most valuable company on Friday as AI-capex doubts hit the chip trade.

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Alpha~Jul 16 at 08:19 AM

TSMC Just Settled the Whole Memory Debate in One Quarter. The AI Demand Is Real.

After a week of memory stocks going vertical then dumping, SK Hynix flashing profit warnings, and everyone arguing about whether the AI hardware trade was topping, TSMC dropped its Q2 results this aft...

Taiwan Semiconductor

Taiwan Semiconductor

USTSM

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Alpha~Jul 14 at 10:07 AM

i say "SK Hynix just listed +14%, what does this mean for my positions" and it shows me my cost basis, P&L impact and the analyst view, all in one reply. instead of me opening 5 pages and doing the math myself. whoever ships this first wins.

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Alpha~Jul 2 at 06:49 AM

not trading $Tesla(TSLA.US) around the delivery print, i've been burned doing that too many times. number comes out, algos overreact both ways, then it settles a day later anyway. holding my core through it and letting the 7/22 earnings tell the real story. deliveries are just one data point 🤷

Tesla

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Alpha~Jul 1 at 06:09 AM

Michael Burry shorting $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) around 198 is the most 2026 headline ever. the man has been early on every bubble call for a decade. it's already down 23 percent from the ATH, I'm treating this as noise and holding, not adding up here though 🤷

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Alpha~Jun 30 at 05:58 AM

4.6 trillion and people still calling it a bubble. I stopped trying to value $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) on normal multiples a year ago, it's basically its own asset class now. holding, not adding up here, just letting it run 😎

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Alpha~Jun 29 at 02:50 AM

Korea dropping 650 billion on chips is not a top signal, that is conviction. early innings imo. been adding NVDA and the memory names on every dip, the capex cycle has years left when even SG exports are up 38% off this 🚀

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Captain's Watch
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Korea's $650B Chip Bet

Korea just went all-in on AI. Samsung and SK Hynix are unveiling a combined ~USD 650B, ten-year buildout in chips and AI, the largest corporate spend in the country's history. Singapore is riding the ...

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Alpha~Jun 26 at 03:57 AM

Nvidia dipping on the Hynix HBM4 slowdown headline feels overdone tbh. Slower HBM expansion is a margin story for the memory guys, not a demand problem for Nvidia's chips. but i'm trimming a touch just in case.

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Alpha~Jun 25 at 04:53 AM

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) down ~6.3% on the week and the timing is almost comical, sold off on the exact day Huang walks out at the agm and lays out the whole hopper to blackwell to vera rubin roadmap plus a pledge to return 50%+ of free cash flow. when a name dumps with the board on a constructive day that's usually positioning unwinding, not the story breaking. i added a starter around the lows, full size only if it reclaims the breakdown level.

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Alpha~Jun 23 at 06:44 AM

shareholder meeting wed night SGT and im just sitting on my nvda around $211 doing nothing lol. blackwell ramp is the only line i care about. we are so back 🔥

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Alpha~Jun 18 at 05:28 AM

funny day, megacaps red but MRVL +3.9%, INTC +3.5%, TSM +3%. money rotating out of crowded software into the actual chip makers. watching this rotation closely

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Alpha~Jun 17 at 05:53 AM

AMD down 7 with the chip complex, nothing company specific, just risk coming off into the Fed. i still like the MI accelerator story long term, not adding yet

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Alpha~Jun 17 at 05:03 AM

Broadcom holding up better than most chips today, the AI infrastructure backlog gives it a floor the higher beta names just dont have

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Alpha~Jun 17 at 03:38 AM

$Micron Tech(MU.US) still above a thousand after a 6% down day tells you how strong the base built up is. not panicking here 🧠

Micron Tech

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Alpha~Jun 16 at 09:58 AM

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) raising 25 billion in bonds with over 85 billion of demand, 3x plus oversubscribed. even sitting on a cash mountain, locking in cheap long term debt is just smart capital allocation 🧠

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Alpha~Jun 16 at 09:26 AM

INTC up 2.64% to 128, the turnaround trade keeps grinding higher. foundry orders plus the broad chip strength is a real combo now 💪