Fantastic
Fantastic
held through the run up so im holding through this. optical interconnect is a multi year story, one red day does not end it. not adding yet though
On a day the entire semiconductor complex got sold, Western Digital closed up over 4%. When one name goes green while its whole sector bleeds, that is not random, it is a signal worth understanding. W...
NVDA only down about 1% while the rest of the chip space got wrecked. relative strength on an ugly day, the leader holds up better as usual
is the SaaSpocalypse already over? MSFT bouncing hard off the lows tells me the AI eats software panic was way too aggressive 🤔
Salesforce down 30, Workday down 33, but these are profitable cash machines not zeros. half of me wants to buy the fear, half says wait for the real bottom 🤔
$Oracle(ORCL.US) flat at 184, finally stabilising after the post earnings drop got fully digested. the cloud backlog story is still intact even if the stock got ahead of itself 🤔
is the SaaSpocalypse overdone though? Microsoft is still a cash machine printing Azure and Copilot growth, trading below its 15 year average multiple. tempted to buy the fear here 🤔
Witness history!
$Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) up 11% with the group, and now Adobe's CFO is joining as CFO. talent following the AI silicon money 🧠
AVGO still getting attention after that 35B AI financing platform. the picks-and-shovels guy became the bank 🏦
NVDA most traded and most posted name on the whole board, still. king stays king even on a red day 👑
biggest private financing ever, 35B, covering 20GW+ for Anthropic and OpenAI through 2028. AVGO locking in custom silicon demand by funding the buyers. clever 📊
NVDA + SK Hynix + the whole HBM chain moving together. you don't fight that trend, you ride it 🌊
genuine q, does locking SK Hynix actually help margins or just guarantee supply?? trying to understand the deal 🙏
every dip in NVDA the last 18 months has been a gift. not saying it always will be but the pattern is the pattern 📈
AVGO quietly climbing back after that earnings dip and people are finally talking about it again. AI revenue running at a $16B+ annual pace and the street is still pointing near $501. the selloff was about expectations, not the business. added a little into the weakness 💪
$SIA Engineering(S59.SG) teaming up with Safran for a US$118M engine-MRO joint venture is a quietly significant move for a local industrial name. Think of MRO like the servicing contract on a car: once an airline's engines are in your shop, the revenue is recurring and sticky for years. With the global narrowbody fleet expanding and Leap engines everywhere, the addressable work only grows. For Singapore investors, this is a reminder that beyond the banks and REITs, there are real, cash-generative industrials levered to the aviation recovery. What to watch: how quickly the JV ramps, and whether MRO margins hold as the facility scales.
MRVL up 54% in a week is insane, I trimmed some, locking gains and keeping a runner 🏹
$16 billion in AI chip revenue in a single quarter. Up over 200% year-on-year. That's the business. The selloff is the market unwinding stretched expectations, not a structural problem. I added on the AH dip and I'm not sorry 💪
AVGO beats tonight and guides higher. Custom silicon from Alphabet, Meta, ByteDance is compounding. The networking + AI ASIC story just got validated by MRVL today. AVGO is next. Call it 📸
Nasdaq 100 crossed 27,000 for the first time in history. The AI software index surged 8.7% in a single session. Those numbers look like euphoria, and by most historical measures they qualify.
What I am watching is whether the VIX (the volatility index) term structure is pricing risk appropriately alongside this move. When AI software indices spike 8.7% in a day, short-dated implied volatility typically rises as dealers hedge gamma exposure. If VIX stayed suppressed through Tuesday's session despite that magnitude of move, the rally was mechanical, driven by positioning unwinding rather than broad market conviction. A suppressed VIX at an index all-time high with narrow sector breadth is the specific setup where a modest catalyst produces a disproportionate drawdown. I am not predicting that outcome. The conditions for it are present, and that is enough reason to watch the VIX term structure carefully over the next few sessions.
Held HPE before the AI narrative took hold, boring infrastructure thesis. Didn't think it would gap 40% in a single night. Also didn't sell. Still here 💤 sometimes doing nothing is genuinely the right trade.
S&P 500 closed at an all-time high last session. 8 of 11 sectors finished in the red. That's not a typo. The index hit ATH while the majority of its components declined. Maximum concentration in a handful of AI mega-cap names is what produced this outcome.
When breadth diverges this sharply from the index level, I watch two things immediately: VIX (the volatility index) term structure and SKEW. If short-dated VIX stays suppressed while SKEW rises, it tells you the options market is hedging against a sharp move that the index price isn't reflecting yet. That's a setup where a single leadership rotation triggers an outsized drawdown, not a gradual drift.
This doesn't mean the rally is over. Narrow markets can stay narrow for longer than bears expect, especially when the leadership names keep producing earnings that justify the concentration. But entering new long positions when 8 of 11 sectors are already declining at an index ATH is a different risk posture than entering when breadth is broad. Size accordingly.
S&P 500 closed at an all-time high but 8 of 11 sectors finished lower. This is maximum concentration — the index being carried by a handful of AI mega-cap names while the broader market quietly bleeds. When breadth diverges this sharply from the index level, I watch SKEW and the VIX term structure closely. A narrow market can hold up for longer than expected, but it leaves zero margin for error if leadership rotates or implied vol starts repricing.
