熊猫投zi手札

$USA Rare Earth(USAR.US)

$US Antimony(UAMY.US)

$Critical Metals(CRML.US)

$MP Materials(MP.US)

$Lithium Americas(LAC.US)

$Energy Fuels(UUUU.US)

The rare earth predicted yesterday has already started soaring in the night market

Many stocks are not randomly chosen, but based on the strategic logic for 2026

The market has now entered the era of "hard tech hegemony". The upward momentum of these targets in early 2026 is no longer solely based on financial data, but on their irreplaceability in the national interest chain

Rare earth is not just for batteries, but also essential for F-35 and guided weapons. These companies are the only trump card for "domestic supply in the US"

Although this does not guarantee a "buy with eyes closed" market, standing on the side of policy trends will be more favorable for investment

The most outstanding player in the semiconductor sector these two days is none other than $AMD(AMD.US) and $Intel(INTC.US). They have one thing in common: both are CPU giants. Recently, the well-known institution KeyBanc released a research report, revealing a bombshell: AMD and Intel's server CPU production capacity for 2026 has basically been sold out! This means market demand is insanely strong. More importantly, when supply falls short of demand, sellers gain "pricing power." The report mentions...

$AppLovin(APP.US)Do you know about "ad money laundering"?

Traditional money laundering requires opening restaurants to falsify revenue, buying properties with cash transactions, or exchanging cash for chips at casinos. These methods have limited scale and are easily traceable. Digital advertising is completely different.

The global digital advertising market is worth $600 billion annually, with billions of transactions daily. An ad auction completes in milliseconds. A U.S. advertiser can pay a Southeast Asian publisher in one second—this would trigger countless alarms in traditional banking but is normal business in the ad industry.

You just need to set up a shell company, claim to be a "game developer," and then aggressively place ads on ad platforms. The platform receives the ad fees and shares a portion with "publishers." If you're also the publisher, the money flows back to your pocket. Now, this money has a perfect source: "ad revenue."

The entire process requires no physical presence, no real restaurants or properties. You just need a few computers, fake accounts, and an ad platform that doesn’t ask too many questions.

On January 19, a report accused AppLovin, with a $140 billion market cap, of being such a platform.

The report linked AppLovin to two criminal networks. One was China’s $36 billion P2P fraud case "Tuandai." The other is familiar to Taiwanese: the Prince Group.

Yes, that Prince Group—Chen Zhi, Cambodian scam compounds, pig-butchering scams, and "you can beat but not kill." In November 2025, Taipei prosecutors raided the Heping Dayuan mansion, seized $4.5 billion in assets, and listed nine Taiwanese companies on U.S. sanctions. Chen Zhi was arrested and extradited to China on January 7, 2026.

The report claimed AppLovin, Prince Group, and major shareholder Hao Tang built a "Möbius strip": criminal organizations placed ads via AppLovin’s algorithms, and the money was eventually "cleaned" into U.S. capital markets.

Despite several short-seller reports over two years, the stock still rose 108% in 2025.

AppLovin is an S&P 500 component. If you own an S&P 500 ETF, your retirement fund might include this company.

1. Key event: The U.S. Department of Defense issued a "Stop Work Order" The U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) issued a "Stop Work Order" to $Aerovironment(AVAV.US). This primarily targets the BADGER phased array antenna system under the SCAR (Squad Common Equipment Transport) program. Reason: Not due to product failure, but to "renegotiate contract terms." The government aims to shift the contract from a "Cost-Plus" model to a "Fixed-Price" model...

$Ondas(ONDS.US) performed well on the investment day, but the stock market's reaction was not as expected because everyone had high expectations, but the content received did not meet expectations. I can understand how you feel, please remember that investment is not just about the short term. I have two reminders for everyone:

The revenue target for 2026 has been raised from $140 million to approximately $175 million, and the revenue for 2025 is expected to reach about $49 million, with the backlog jumping from about $23 million in November to about $65 million (already great)

The specific company entity included in the MDA SHIELD list is Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS)

(In the "Border Protection Tender" won in December 2025, the official document clearly stated that the winner was Ondas Autonomous Systems)

Thank you all

$IREN(IREN.US) Recently, rumors about $IREN(IREN.US) (Iris Energy) signing a contract or announcing a partnership with Anthropic have been widely circulated on X (especially on January 11–12, 2026).

Some claim to have heard that IREN will announce a major collaboration with Anthropic on Monday (January 12) or within this week, possibly involving large-scale power/data center supply (similar to IREN’s previous $9.7 billion deal with Microsoft).

However, these are currently just market rumors and community hype, with no official announcements or reliable news sources confirming them.

Some have already begun to question this as a typical "buy the rumor" behavior, with some even saying, "Hope it doesn’t turn into a meme stock with no credible backing."

As of now, the connection between IREN and Anthropic remains speculative.

If a partnership is announced, it would be a massive positive.

But if nothing materializes, the stock price could face a pullback risk.

$Sidus Space(SIDU.US)

I'm not on the $Sidus Space(SIDU.US) train, not daring to chase

The stock I'd rather get on is $Velo3D(VELO.US)

这事吧，大多数人第一眼就看错了。大家都在说：Manus 是 Agent、是生态位、是套壳。但说实话，Meta 根本不是冲这些去的。你站在扎克伯格的位置想一秒就明白了：他现在最焦虑的根本不是 “有没有一个好看的 Agent 产品”，而是——AI 战争，Meta 在数据和实战经验上落后了。Manus 真正值钱的就两样东西。第一是 工程环境。不是 PPT 里的 demo...

This report is built on two core themes: 👉 K-shaped economic recovery 👉 AI-driven future. Evercore ISI believes that the future market will be clearly divided: some companies will benefit from the AI wave and high-income consumer spending, while others will rely on policy stimulus and the recovery of middle-class demand. 1. Retail & Consumer. Evercore ISI expects that future tax cuts will directly boost consumer spending power, especially benefiting price-sensitive consumers. Walmart (WMT) is listed as the #1 retail choice...