Code Man

$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK)Hynix's average daily buyback amount accounted for 10% of its average daily turnover, a scale only seen in Tencent's history, which was used to hedge against the dumping by its major South African shareholder at that time.

$Oracle(ORCL.US) Can't buy Oracle while Meta buys TPUs?

$PDD(PDD.US)I'll support the stock.

The opportunity to monetize physics knowledge has arrived. The entire internet is questioning whether the collision truck video released by Li Auto is fake, as it doesn't comply with the laws of physics. However, at first glance, it still adheres to the conservation of momentum and kinetic energy theorems. If the second live broadcast reproduces the collision effect, the promotional impact should be good. Li Auto will continue to fall next week, with poor July data and dismal store performance, comparable to the crisis during the Mega launch. If the price drops extremely low, betting on a live broadcast reversal is still viable $Li Auto(LI.US)

$Direxion FTSE China Bull 3X(YINN.US) Last Friday's 43 naked call was exercised, now holding a short position in YINN, already have 3000 shares of TQQQ short, plus 4000 shares of YINN short, feeling extremely nervous.

$Circle(CRCL.US) Sold too early, first time participating in momentum stocks, feels good.

$PDD(PDD.US) placed an order for an iPad using Pinduoduo's national subsidy. The ordering process was very smooth, but the variety of products under the national subsidy on Pinduoduo is much less compared to JD.com. The delivery person had to take photos of unpacking and activation, which took about twenty minutes, which is quite unfair to the delivery person. Pinduoduo has marginal improvements in national subsidies but is still at a complete disadvantage. Fortunately, some provinces are gradually controlling and phasing out the subsidies.

$Direxion FTSE China Bear 3X(YANG.US) Last week, the sell call of YANG was exercised. This week, holding the short position of the underlying stock as a hedge, and also sold the call of YINN, and sold the put of YANG. In terms of quantity, if there is a big rise, YANG will be closed out, and the short position of YINN will be held. But considering there are also Chinese concept stocks, and the short position of YINN itself has time decay, plus the money made from YANG can be used as margin, the risk can be controlled in case of a big rise.

People struggle with emotions throughout their lives. Even certain investment gurus, who can reduce the impact of emotions through their developed prefrontal cortex, are inevitably swayed by emotions just like ordinary people. I hope those who are frustrated can soon emerge from the gloom, whether in the casino or the battlefield of love.

$ThredUp(TDUP.US)  @PortAI What is the impact of the China tariff war on the second-hand website thredUP? Please analyze the trend of TDUP.

portAI believes the rebound of the Nasdaq is a dead cat bounce, and the long-term trend is still downward $NASDAQ Composite Index(.IXIC.US)

Trump's actions have severely damaged the credibility of the U.S. and U.S. stocks. It's not just about whether they will fall further, but at least the upside potential is limited now.

$SMIC(00981.HK) The trading volume of SMIC in Hong Kong stocks is twice that of SMIC in A-shares, and the valuation is 50% of that of A-shares. It can no longer be explained by liquidity discounts/premiums. It's simply a supply and demand issue—there's a shortage of high-quality stocks in A-shares and high demand for capital.

$SMIC(00981.HK) The release of new semiconductor equipment by SMIC is a significant positive. The localization of the industrial chain is becoming increasingly mature, and foundries, which are downstream of equipment and upstream of fabless, are entering the most comfortable period.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) The latest AI analysis and trading recommendations are here. Yesterday's portAI interpretation was weak, and it doesn't seem to have improved today.

NVIDIA (NVDA) Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations

Comprehensive Technical Analysis

Trend and Patterns

Primary/Secondary Trend: Both in a downtrend (70% strength), with bearish patterns like head and shoulders (59.1% strength) and double top (69.5% strength), indicating significant short-term pressure.

Support/Resistance: Current price near the lower Bollinger Band (109.15), with a key support range at 113.01-133.83. Strong resistance lies between 143.44-153.13.

Indicator Signals

Moving Averages: Short-term MAs (5/10/20-day) are all below long-term MAs (60/120-day), confirming a bearish alignment.

MACD: After a death cross, DIF and DEA continue to decline, with expanding negative MACD bars, showing unabated bearish momentum.

RSI and KDJ: RSI6 (36.54) is in a neutral-to-weak zone, and the KDJ death cross suggests limited short-term oversold recovery potential.

Recent News Highlights

Bearish Factors

Demand Concerns: Market doubts about the sustainability of AI computing demand, coupled with supply chain bottlenecks and regulatory risks (e.g., French antitrust probe), have driven a 16% YTD stock decline.

Earnings Worries: Post-Q4 earnings drop, free cash flow missed expectations, and tariff policies may increase cost pressures.

Bullish Factors

GTC Conference Expectations: GB300 AI chip launch (with upgraded liquid cooling tech) on March 17-21 could catalyze a rebound.

Valuation Repair: Forward P/E dropped to 25x (near decade lows), with Bernstein and others calling current valuations attractive.

Trading Recommendations

Short-Term Strategy (1-4 Weeks)

Wait-and-See: Bearish technicals show no reversal; MACD and MAs lack stabilization signals. Await post-GTC clarity.

Aggressive Traders: Consider light longs if NVDA hits 113.01 support, with stops below 110 and targets at 129.51 (first resistance).

Mid-to-Long-Term Strategy (3-6 Months)

Accumulate on Dips: Monitor GTC’s Blackwell chip demand validation. Break above 143.44 resistance could justify adding positions, targeting Wall Street consensus of 177.41 (58.6% upside).

Risks: Watch for regulatory escalations (e.g., export curbs) and competitor breakthroughs (e.g., DeepSeek’s algorithm optimizations).

Key Events:

🔍 March 17 GTC product launch impact

🌐 U.S.-China-EU regulatory/tariff developments

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

$KINGDEE INT'L(00268.HK)Finally managed to luckily dig out an AI beneficiary stock, but ended up selling at the lowest point due to self-doubt.

$MOBVISTA(01860.HK) It seems that personal information review is unavoidable, otherwise it wouldn't be for sale, and it appears the buyer is really reluctant to offer a price. Lost badly

$MOBVISTA(01860.HK) believes in Huai Ren, classmates from Alimama should know Huai Ren's status in the computational advertising industry.

$MOBVISTA(01860.HK) app surged, the application of AI in advertising has become a market hotspot. Mobvista can be hyped for a while, waiting for Mobvista's own earnings report.

At the 2024 China Enterprise Leaders Annual Conference Super Speech, Jia Yueting stated that he can return to the United States after repaying 700 to 800 million.

$Alibaba(BABA.US) A day in the life of an internet tycoon

5:00 Wake up and go to the bathroom, take a glance at how US stocks performed yesterday

6:50 Officially get up and wash up

7:40 Arrive at the office, change clothes, and go for a 6.5 km run at Aosen

8:40 Return to the office, take a shower

9:00 Go to the company cafeteria for breakfast

9:20 Go to the workstation to grind coffee, have a bag of milk, eat an apple, listen to the news

10:00 Start working

12:00 Lunch, eat fruit, eat nuts, brush teeth

13:00 Take a nap

14:00 Start working

17:00 Snack, eat an egg, have a bag of milk

18:00 Dinner

18:30 Brush teeth, relax

19:00 Work overtime

20:00 Pack up and go home

21:00 Arrive home, read financial articles, think about how to manage finances, screen stocks and funds

23:00 Go to sleep

AVGO relies on integration to build such a large industry, and it can successfully digest each integration, truly a magical company $Broadcom(AVGO.US)

Is this stock going to be unlocked tomorrow? There will be a good show to watch. Will the shareholders in the primary market try to push it up again, or will they take the opportunity to run away? The AI drug structure discovery cannot be falsified in the short term, but friends in the industry don't seem very optimistic.

The trading volume has been very large during this period. If it drops after the unlock, $XTALPI(02228.HK) is expected to rise again.

Under high expectations, Dazai's financial report is actually average, and next year's focus will shift to AI applications