Deutsche Bank: Humanoids
Market Growth Forecast> Rapid Expansion: The global humanoid robot market is projected to see significant growth, moving from approximately 3,030 units in 2024 to an estimated 700,500 units by 2030.> Long-Term Outlook: Looking further ahead, the forecast anticipates the market scaling to 70 million units by 2050.> Market Value: The market value is also expected to climb sharply, reaching $1,050,000 million (or $1.05 trillion) by 2050.Regional Dominance> China's Lead: China is currently the primary driver of the market, accounting for 85% of global shipments in 2024. While this percentage is forecast to decrease as other markets mature, China is still expected to remain a dominant player, holding 43% of the market share by 2050.> United States: The U.S. share is projected to grow from 12% in 2024 to 43% by 2050, effectively matching China's share by the end of the forecast period.> Other Regions: Europe, Japan, and other regions are expected to grow from a small 3% share in 2024 to 14% of the global market by 2050.Key Industry Players> United States: Major players include Tesla, Figure, Agility, Boston Dynamics, and 1X. Tesla is forecasted to be a significant contributor, growing from 100 units in 2024 to 150,000 units by 2030.> China: Prominent companies include Unitree, AGIBOT, UBTECH, Leju Robotics, Booster Robotics, and Galbot. Unitree is projected to reach 100,000 units by 2030.UBTECH ROBOTICS (9880)
Ubtech Robotics Corp Ltd engages in the research, design, development, production, commercialization, marketing, and sale of robotic products and services in Ch...
- Open
- 63.000
- High
- 69.800
- Low
- 61.900
- Prev. Close
- 63.900
- Volume
- 9.74M
- Turnover
- 645.75M
- Avg Price
- 66.296
- Bid/Ask Ratio
- -79.71%
- Amplitude
- 12.36%
- 52wk High
- 156.400
- Volume Ratio
- 1.54
- Turnover Ratio
- 2.22%
- 52wk Low
- 61.900
- HK Mkt Cap
- 29.88B
- Market CapHKD
- 34.33B
- P/ETTM
- Loss
- P/EDynamic
- Loss
- P/EStatic
- --
- EPSTTM
- -1.37
- EPSDynamic
- -1.42
- EPSStatic
- --
- BVPS
- 15.93
- P/B
- 4.28
- HK Shares
- 438.19M
- Dividend YieldTTM
- --
- DividendTTM
- --
- Shares
- 503.40M
- Min lot size
- 50
- Currency
- HKD
UBTECH ROBOTICS Analyst Rating
View moreForecast & Rating
Sep 29, 2026- Strong buy81.82%
- Buy9.09%
- Hold9.09%
- Sell0.00%
- Strong sell0.00%
- Strong buy
- 9
- Buy
- 1
- Hold
- 1
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
Daily Events
- Oct, 23
UBTECH Robotics staged a morning dip and afternoon recovery, closing at HK$68.20 for a 6.73% gain, after announcing a Ras Al Khaimah, UAE expansion for humanoid robot projects and the delivery of six humanoid robots to Japan, while Hong Kong robotics names rallied in the afternoon session. The stock touched a 52-week low of HK$61.90 in the morning and peaked at HK$69.80 at 14:48 BJ, on HK$646 million turnover. Peers such as 51WORLD (+22%) and UNITREE (limit up) reinforced sector sentiment, while Q2 revenue reached HK$733 million, up 115.26% yoy, with net loss narrowing 20.63% to HK$180 million and per-share loss of HK$0.3579 improving 30.74%. Still, the price sits 56.39% below its February 19 high of HK$156.40 and down 47.94% YTD, under MA20 of HK$70.60 and MA60 of HK$79.40, and JPMorgan remains cautious on the pace of Tesla Optimus mass production.
- Oct, 22
UBTECH Robotics opened at HK$66.80 and closed 5.12% lower at HK$63.90 against the prior close of HK$67.35, a high-open-then-fade session that peaked at HK$67.25 by 09:34 BJ and slid to HK$63.35 by 14:54 BJ, settling near the bottom of the day's range and about 5% below the intraday high, as momentum from the prior session's strategic MOU with the Ras Al Khaimah government and its lead role in drafting the first six national humanoid-robot standards faded. Turnover was roughly HK$405m. Fundamentals did not deteriorate in step: Q2 revenue reached about HK$733m, up 115.26% year on year, while operating loss narrowed 43.05% and net loss narrowed 20.63% to HK$180m; EPS of -HK$0.3579 with ROE of -8.94% remains negative, against a HK$32.2bn market capitalisation, a 4.01 PB and a negative PE. The company also pushed six humanoid robots into the Japanese market, though the heavy news flow met profit-taking on earlier gains.
- Oct, 20
UBTECH ROBOTICS spiked to an intraday HK$71.35 before fading to close at HK$68.45, up about 6.0% from the prior HK$64.55, after signing an MoU with Ras Al Khaimah's government on humanoid robot R&D and leading the drafting of the first six national humanoid robot standards; turnover reached HK$662.9 million with a 2.2% turnover rate, the stock peaking at 10:55 BJ and sliding from HK$69.25 in the afternoon session below its HK$68.89 average price. Q2 revenue of HK$732.9 million rose 115.3% year on year and net loss narrowed 20.6%, yet the shares remain down 47.8% year to date, 56.2% below the HK$156.4 52-week high and under both the HK$72.6 MA20 and HK$80.1 MA60, with PB at 4.3x. A Huizhou embodied-AI subsidiary and a Japan distribution deal are watch points, though a -24.5% net margin and -8.9% ROE leave the profit inflection unconfirmed.
- Oct, 16
UBTECH Robotics closed up 3.03% at HK$64.55 on HK$272 million turnover, lifted by a sector-wide robotics rally after Tesla's Optimus mass-production progress, though the session traced a spike-and-fade pattern: an intraday high of HK$65.90 in the morning gave way to HK$64.30 by late afternoon. Support also came from its partnership with FAW-Volkswagen on humanoid logistics applications and a plan to sell no fewer than 10,000 humanoid robots to C&D Inc. by 2030. Q2 2026 revenue reached HK$732.9 million, up 115.26% year on year, while the net loss of HK$179.9 million narrowed 20.63%, net margin stayed at -24.54% and ROE at -8.94%. Still, the shares sit 58.73% below the HK$156.40 52-week high and down 50.73% year to date, beneath the MA20 of HK$73.2 and MA60 of HK$80.3, with the HK$62.60 low set only two sessions earlier.
- Oct, 15
Dragged by a JPMorgan downgrade and a broad cooldown across the robotics sector, UBTECH opened at HK$65.90 and slid in a one-way decline to an intraday low of HK$62.60 in the afternoon, a fresh 52-week low, before closing at HK$62.65, down 6.77% on 6.81 million shares worth HK$433.5 million. Q2 2026 revenue of HK$732.9 million rose 115.26% year over year while the net loss of HK$179.9 million narrowed 20.63%, leaving a -24.54% net margin that offsets part of the top-line surge; the company has also been advancing logistics-scenario cooperation with FAW-Volkswagen and agreed with C&D Inc. to sell no fewer than 10,000 humanoid robots by 2030. The stock is down 52.18% year to date and sits 59.94% below its Feb 19 peak of HK$156.40, trading under both its MA20 of HK$73.955 and MA60 of HK$80.544, at a 3.93 price-to-book. Market disagreement over the pace of embodied-AI commercialization persists, though.
News
Posts
View more- S
Mitsubishi Motors joins robotics race to deploy humanoid workers by 2027.
Pairing with Highlanders, a Japanese robotics company.- Agility $Churchill Capital XI(CCXI.US) x Foxconn, Toyota- Apptronik x $Jabil(JBL.US), Mercedes- Highlanders x Mitsubishi- Figure × BMW- Boston Dynamics x Hyundai (subsidiaries)- Optimus x Tesla (Internal)- Rainbow Robotics x Samsung (subsidiaries)Idk if it's just me of there's a lot of patterns with humanoid companies playing buddy-buddy up with a major auto player/manufacturer. If they're not already vertically integrated by one already. Then the Chinese players like UBTech/AgiBot/Unitree don't seem to care and work with a wide variety of auto players in China. Curious how this trend plays out... - S
Came across an interesting report from SVRC Research called "State of Robotics 2026", published in April.
Which listed:1. Figure AI 2. Agility Robotics $Churchill Capital XI(CCXI.US)3. Apptronik 4. $Tesla(TSLA.US) 5. Boston Dynamics6. Physical Intelligence 7. 1X Technologies8. $Amazon(AMZN.US) Robotics9. Covariant10. Skild AI As the National Champions of the United States robotics program. "The United States leads the world in where robotics is heading: Fundation models, OpenAI-style scaling laws applied to action, autonomous vehicles. While losing the race on where robotics is shipping today." Then it frames:1. Rare Earths Exposure: from Neodymium for motors to samarium-cobalt for high-temp applications as a critical vulnerability.2. Actuator dependency. Series elastic actuators, quasi-direct-drive motors, and precision reducers overwhelmingly sourced from Japan, Germany, and ChinaAs one of the main vulnerabilities alongside Manufacturing velocity/data collection cost/regulations. Then their take was: "With at least six well-funded US humanoid companies competing for a market still in early formation, we expect at least two significant consolidation events (acquisition or merger) in 2027". With Logistics / E-commerce (like $Amazon(AMZN.US) / $FedEx(FDX.US)) and Automotive from $General Motors(GM.US) to $Forward Industries(FORD.US) as being the immediate top use cases for deployment.I think it's just interesting to see a lot of my points I've been talking about reiterated by research firms. Regardless, I do think it's going to be a major frontier race between the US and China. Agility Robotics (which I own), Tesla, Figure, and Apptronik as leaders representing the USA. Competing against Unitree, AGIbot, Ubtech, and others in China.

