ARM 2X Long ETF (ARMG.US) Stock Forum, Discussions & Community Posts

AetherCore22 hours ago

$Arm(ARM.US)

Context: What keeps me interested in Arm isn’t the AI hype. It’s how deeply the architecture is already embedded across the industry. Switching away is possible, but after decades of building around it, it’s neither easy nor cheap. That stickiness matters more to me than the hype.

My trade: I bought higher than I should have, so I’m still in the red. But my entry price doesn’t change what the business is worth from here. The thesis hasn’t changed for me, so I’m holding. I’m not adding just because it’s down either.

Takeaway: The market doesn’t care where you bought. What matters is whether the reason you bought still holds. For me, ARM still does.

Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!

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SerenityAug 30 at 06:26 AM

It’s been a little disappointing to see a pattern with some people I've interacted with on X:

- try to engage with the same audience, then quickly move toward aggressively monetizing it

- get upset when I choose not to participate in or amplify paid groups

- throw out personal or illogical attacks and try to reframe that as simply disagreeing over fundamentals

When I first joined X, a lot of finance content revolved around watches/private jets + options, paywalled communities promising the "secrets of Wall Street," and squiggly-line charts.

One of the things I've wanted to do differently is publish my research and reasoning openly, for everyone.

I think this definitely resonated with folks given my follower growth.

But of course, this growth can also create friction with people whose business models rely on using X to funnel audiences into paid services or expensive paywalls.

My subscription has been $1 for months and will stay at the minimum, despite claims at the beginning I would raise it to $100.

All of my core theses are published on the main timeline for free. I could put substantially more behind a paywall. I just don't want to.

I just prefer sharing the ideas openly and letting everyone decide for themselves.

Many ideas have worked out well: $AXT(AXTI.US), $Nebius(NBIS.US), $Aehr Test(AEHR.US), $Micron Tech(MU.US), $Intel(INTC.US), $EWY, $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US), $Lumentum(LITE.US), $RPI, $IQE, $SOI, $Tower Semicon(TSEM.US), $Arm(ARM.US), $Coherent Corp.(COHR.US), and a lot more.

Others ran into unexpected industry delays, like $LPKF with glass substrates and Auros with hybrid bonding.

Some are still playing out into 2027/2028, including $SIVE, Foci, Shunsin, $Churchill Capital XI(CCXI.US), $XFAB and the broader CPO/humanoid themes.

Some are brand new like Etron/ESMT for DDR2/DDR3.

And many like $Jabil(JBL.US) to Murata to $Maxlinear(MXL.US), I just share for fun to see if the idea is right.

Not every idea will be right. That's part of research.

But I'd much rather have an X where people openly publish the thesis and reasoning so everyone can learn from it.

Than one where information increasingly disappears behind $100 paywalls or becomes diluted with engagement-bait noise.

Hopefully I can help create a new culture on X rather than amplify the old one.

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AI GossipAug 25 at 02:16 AM

Xiaomi, the China smartphone giant, launched a new smartphone chip, the Xring O3, designed with Arm CPU and GPU cores and built by TSMC on 3nm, media report, adding the new chips mean lost sales for off-the-shelf chips like those made by Qualcomm and MediaTek. $Arm(ARM.US) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) #xiaomi #mediatek #semiconductors

Source: Dan Nystedt

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Sunrise TraderAug 4 at 04:57 PM

$Arm(ARM.US) sold my payday shares for good payday %. I now settle into the full swing with $ in my pocket. Repeating the same system over and over.

Source: Sunrise Trader

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Shyon

Total Assets

Rate Of ReturnAug 4 at 03:47 AM

The market is rewarding companies that can turn AI spending into real revenue and cash flow. That's why I'm continuing to build positions in names like ARM, ServiceNow, Nvidia and Palantir. While valuations remain elevated, I believe earnings growth will continue to justify the premium.

The recent pullback in memory stocks looks more like profit-taking than a deterioration in fundamentals. AI demand remains strong, supply is still tight, and new technologies like High Bandwidth Flash strengthen my long-term conviction. I'm happy to keep accumulating quality memory names on weakness.

As for Singapore, DBS will be closely watched this week. I expect solid results, but with valuations already rich, I'd rather deploy fresh capital into AI infrastructure and semiconductor stocks that have corrected and offer better long-term upside.

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Captain's Watch

☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Palantir Revenue Jumps 93%

Amazon became the fifth company ever worth $3 trillion. Then Palantir printed 93% revenue growth after the bell while still sitting 40% below its own high.

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Hardik ShahJul 31 at 11:36 AM

$Arm(ARM.US) | Rosenblatt 𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗕𝘂𝘆 on 𝗔𝗿𝗺 𝗛𝗼𝗹𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀, cuts PT to $𝟮𝟱𝟬 from $𝟮𝟳𝟬

Analyst sees solid growth and surging server CPU demand, but cuts the PT on lower FY28E EPS from lower GM and higher expenses.

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Dolphin ResearchJul 30 at 08:21 AM

ARM: Big Tech Pullback; Is the Sky-High Valuation Cooling?

Arm (ARM) released FY2027 Q1 results in U.S. after-hours trading on the morning of Jul 30, 2026 (Beijing time). The quarter ended Jun 2026.

1) Key metrics: revenue of $1.29bn (+22% YoY), in line with consensus ($1.26bn), driven by growth in both licensing and royalties. GPM was 97.2%, remaining elevated...

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ARMFinancial Analysis

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Dolphin ResearchJul 29 at 11:49 PM

ARM (Trans): Core biz red-hot; new biz demand surging

Below is Dolphin Research's compiled Trans of $Arm(ARM.US) FY27Q1 earnings call.

Part I: Core financial highlights review.

1) Results recap: FY27Q1 revenue was $1.29bn (+22% YoY).

It was the highest quarterly revenue in the company's history.

Royalty revenue was $715mn (+22% YoY), while licensing and other came in at $574mn (+23% YoY).

Both set Q1 records. Non-GAAP EPS was $0.45 (+29% YoY)...

ARMConference Minutes

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Equity researchJul 28 at 10:34 PM

BofA: Intel

Investment Rating & Price Objective

> Rating & Price Objective: Maintain BUY with a Price Objective (PO) of $160.00 USD (against a stock price of $91.67 USD).

> Valuation Basis: Based on 31x CY30E EPS power of $6+, discounted back two years to account for long-term server CPU and external foundry wafer/packaging opportunities.

Server & Market Positioning

> Supply-Driven Share: Server market share through 2026–2028 is viewed as a function of supply rather than design. Coral Rapids (slated for 18A-P in 2027) will further help close the performance gap against competitors.

> ASP Strength: Q2 server Average Selling Price (ASP) jumped +48% YoY, driven by higher core-count Granite Rapids adoption.

> Competitive Edge in AI: Intel argues that agentic AI workloads vary in requirements and may not always favor ARM or AMD. Intel’s NVLink design-in establishes a level playing field for system-level integration, while x86's security lead provides an advantage in enterprise AI.

> PC TAM: The PC Total Addressable Market (TAM) is tracking for a 10–12% YoY decline in 2026, though Intel sees limited inventory risk due to clear sell-in vs. sell-through visibility.

Intel Foundry Progress

> Yields & Margins: Under CEO Lip-Bu Tan, 18A/4/3 nodes are showing upside on yield, cycle times, and unit costs. 18A yields are expected to approach industry standards by the end of 2026, with a path to operating margin (OpM) breakeven by 2027 (excluding external customers).

> External Nodes (18A-P & 14A):

18A remains internal-only, while 18A-P targets external customers (risk production underway, 2027 volume committed).

14A High Volume Manufacturing (HVM) has been committed for 2028, featuring external customer engagements from the outset.

> Long-Term Financial Goals: Long-term gross margin targets are set at mid-40%+ to 50%+. Multiple financial levers—including prepayments, non-core asset sales, and equity—are available to support rising capital expenditure intensity.

Advanced Packaging (EMIB)

> Backlog & Ramps: The EMIB-T (Through-Silicon Via variant) backlog is actively building for a 2027 ramp-begin and full 2028 ramp.

> Revenue Potential: Each packaging engagement is projected to be worth multiple billions of dollars per year.

> Capacity & Constraints: Assembly and packaging (A/P) capital intensity is lower than wafers (roughly 1 to 5), and Intel already has capacity to handle multiple engagements in 2027. Current supply constraints are centered on external substrates, which are being managed via supplier prepayments.

$Intel(INTC.US)

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Equity researchJul 23 at 12:31 PM

Former Senior Director, SoC Design & Development, Data Centre & AI Group at Intel:

"USD 120bn server CPU TAM forecast by 2030 is considered conservative, with physical AI, edge inference and agentic orchestration potentially driving 30-40% upward revision within one year."

> Market Split & AMD's Rise: The x86 server CPU market is currently split roughly 60/40 between x86 and Arm. Within x86, AMD commands nearly 50% of the server segment following years of historical Intel dominance.

> Agentic AI & CPU-to-GPU Ratios: Agentic AI workloads and mixture-of-experts models are dramatically reversing the historical training-phase GPU-to-CPU ratio (which favored GPUs heavily at 4:1 up to 8:1) back towards a 1:1 or 1:2 ratio, with expectations to hit 1:8 in favor of CPUs within a year due to intensive reasoning and orchestration demands.

> Conservative TAM Forecasts: The USD 120bn server CPU Total Addressable Market (TAM) forecast by 2030 is viewed as conservative. Physical AI, edge inference, and agentic orchestration could potentially drive a 30-40% upward revision within a year.

> Competitive Landscape (Venice vs. Diamond Rapids): AMD's Venice architecture (reaching 256 cores) provides it with an unofficial 12-month head start over Intel's Diamond Rapids, making AMD breaching a 50% x86 server share by the end of 2027 a realistic possibility.

> Intel's Structural Advantage: Despite operating as two distinct business entities, Intel’s tight internal coupling between design and manufacturing provides an inherent 20-30% architectural advantage once foundry execution and the 18A node stabilize.

> Arm's Core Demand Impact: Arm's CEO, Rene Haas, noted that Agentic AI is scaling CPU core demand up to 4x higher, pushing up to 120 million cores per gigawatt.

> Supply Constraints: Current severe shortages—with AMD sold out through the end of 2026 and lead times hitting 30-plus weeks, while Intel underships true demand by roughly 20%—are tied to the entire integrated ecosystem of advanced front-end logic wafer capacity and tied-in packaging capacity rather than memory.

> Volume vs. ASP Strategy: About 66% of AMD's server CPU growth comes from unit volume increases rather than Average Selling Price (ASP) expansion, contrasting with Intel's historical high-ASP strategy.

$Intel(INTC.US) $AMD(AMD.US)