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  • E
    Equity research

    Morgan Stanley has CapEx of CSPs ~12% in 2028, with spending on AI semiconductors expected to increase even more.

    > CoWoS/CoPoS/EMIB-T capacity is estimated to grow by 50% in 2028, while infrastructure spending (such as factories and AI data centers) will remain flat, and memory prices will grow moderately in 2028.

    > TSMC's CoWoS capacity will expand from 130,000 wafers per month in 2026, 200,000 wafers per month in 2027, to 260,000 wafers per month in 2028.

    > MI500 series (codename Arcadia) is expected to enter small-scale production by the end of 2027. Production capacity for both the MI455 and MI450 is likely to reach approximately 500,000โ€“650,000 units.

    > TSMC's total CoWoS-L orders will increase by 200% year-on-year to 210,000 wafers in 2027.

    > TSMC's CoPoS capacity is projected to reach 50,000โ€“100,000 wafers per month in 2028 and 100,000โ€“200,000 wafers per month in 2029, but this will depend on the results of the trial production.

    > MS forecasts that TSMC's CoPoS capacity is projected to reach 50,000โ€“100,000 wafers per month in 2028 and 100,000โ€“200,000 wafers per month in 2029, but this will depend on the results of the trial production.

    $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $AMD(AMD.US) $Intel(INTC.US) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Amazon(AMZN.US) $Meta Platforms(META.US) $Microsoft(MSFT.US)

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  • ่ฐ‹
    ่ฐ‹ๅฎšๅŽๅŠจ

    [Mou Weekly] Stop guessing, this is exactly what Warsh meant to say (Week 35 of 2026 | Issue No. 285)

    On Saturday, I shared the Chinese-English parallel text of Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole in the group chat and recommended reading the original. A group member replied: "How we interpret it doesn't matter; what matters is how Wall Street interprets it." This sounds smartโ€”markets are indeed driven by pricingโ€”but it happens to hit the bullseye of this very speech. We'll start from this quote today because the mindset behind it is exactly what Warsh dedicated an entire paragraph to criticizing. Bottom line: The most important takeaway isn't whether he's 'hawkish,' but that Warsh announced a change in the rules of the game. Understanding this...

    ๅ…ณไบŽWarsh่ฎฒ่ฏ็š„่งฃ่ฏปๅƒๅƒไธ‡ไธ‡๏ผŒ ๆˆ‘ๅผบ็ƒˆๅปบ่ฎฎๅคงๅฎถ็œ‹ไธ€็œ‹ๅŽŸๆ–‡๏ผŒ่ฟ™ๆ˜ฏ ไธ‹ๅŠๅนดๆŠ•่ต„ๆœ€้‡่ฆ็š„ๆŒ‡ๅผ• Warshๆฐๅ…‹้€Š้œๅฐ”ๆผ”่ฎฒ ไธญ่‹ฑๅฏน็…ง.pdf PDF 462KB ๆˆ‘ไปฌ
    ๅŽๅฐ”่ก—ๆŠ•่กŒๅฏนWarshๆฐๅ…‹้€Š้œๅฐ”่ฎฒ่ฏ (2026.8.28) ็š„่งฃ่ฏปๅฏนๆฏ” ๆŒ‰ๆœ€้นฐ่‡ณๆœ€้ธฝๆŽ’ๅบ|ๆ•ด็†๏ผš่ฐ‹ๅ‘จ่ฎฐ2026ๅนด็ฌฌ35ๅ‘จ(ๆ€ป็ฌฌ285ๆœŸ) ๆœบๆž„ ไปฃ่กจไบบ็‰ฉ ็ซ‹ๅœบ
    ๅŠ ! 1! ไปŠๅนดๅŠ ไธคๆฌก! ไธๅŠ ! ๅฎšไปทๅคช้นฐไบ†! 9ๆœˆๅŠ ๆฏ? ไฝ ไปฌๆƒณๅคšไบ† ๆณ•ๅ…ด ้ซ˜็›› ้“ๅฏŒ '็œ‹ๅŽๅฐ”่ก—ๅ’‹็†่งฃ็š„"๏ผš่ฏท้—ฎ็œ‹ๅ“ชไธ€ๅฎถ?
    ไป–ไปฌๅฎšไปทไบ†ไป€ไนˆ? ไป–ๆš—็คบไบ†ไป€ไนˆ? ็ปๆตŽ๏ผšๆฒกไบบ็œ‹ๆˆ‘? ็พŽ่”ๅ‚จ ๅธ‚ๅœบ ้•œๅŽ…้—ฎ้ข˜๏ผš ไฝ ็œ‹ๆˆ‘๏ผŒๆˆ‘็œ‹ไฝ ๏ผŒ่ฐ็œ‹็ปๆตŽ?
  • H
    Hardik Shah

    ๐Ÿ“ข ๐—๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—ง ๐—œ๐—ก: $BTQ Tech(BTQ.US) BTQ Technologies Signs Quantum-Safe Security MOU With Koreaโ€™s ITCEN PNS

    ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐—ž๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—›๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐˜€:

    โžค ๐—•๐—ง๐—ค ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ป๐—ผ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ signs post-quantum security MOU with ๐—œ๐—ง๐—–๐—˜๐—ก ๐—ฃ๐—ก๐—ฆ.

    โžค Partnership targets ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—น, public-sector, and enterprise security infrastructure.

    โžค Companies will integrate ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜-๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐˜‚๐—บ ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ต๐˜† and quantum-safe authentication.

    โžค ITCENGLOBAL reported approximately ๐—ž๐—ฅ๐—ช ๐Ÿด.๐Ÿต ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป in 2025 revenue.

    โžค ITCEN PNS recently obtained ๐—ž๐—–๐— ๐—ฉ๐—ฃ validation for hybrid cryptography.

    โžค Validated module incorporates NIST-standardized ๐— ๐—Ÿ-๐—ž๐—˜๐—  post-quantum technology.

    โžค Collaboration covers ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†, biometrics, blockchain, and Web3 security.

    โžค Companies will evaluate commercialization of ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐˜‚๐—บ-๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ฒ solutions in Korea.

    โžค Agreement expands BTQ's presence across Korea's ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ.

    ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€:

    โžค Gives ๐—•๐—ง๐—ค access to established Korean financial and government deployment channels.

    โžค Combines BTQ technology with ITCEN PNS's ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜†-๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ cryptographic infrastructure.

    โžค Could accelerate practical adoption of ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐˜‚๐—บ-๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ฒ security across critical systems.

    โžค Addresses growing risks from future quantum attacks on ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป.

    ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€:

    ๐—ข๐—น๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฅ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐˜† ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„๐˜๐—ผ๐—ป, CEO and Chairman of BTQ Technologies:

    "ITCENGLOBAL is one of Korea's most significant technology groups, with deep relationships across public-sector, financial, and enterprise infrastructure. ITCEN PNS has already done the difficult work of taking post-quantum cryptography through national validation and into live financial environments. That combination of regulatory credibility and real deployment channels is exactly what turns quantum-safe technology into adoption. Korea is one of the most important markets globally for the transition to quantum-safe infrastructure, and this collaboration supports BTQ's mission of Building Trusted Quantum technologies for the systems that matter most."

    ๐—ช๐—ผ๐—ป-๐—ด๐˜†๐˜‚ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ, Chief Executive Officer of ITCEN PNS:

    "ITCEN PNS is focused on building next-generation security platforms for public institutions, financial organizations, and enterprise customers. As organizations prepare for the post-quantum transition, technical credibility and implementation experience will be critical. BTQ has established meaningful expertise in post-quantum cryptography, quantum-safe networks, and hardware-rooted security architectures. This collaboration gives us a strong framework to evaluate how those capabilities can be applied to practical security environments across Korea's financial, public-sector, and enterprise infrastructure."

  • F
    Fattycat

    $SpaceX(SPCX.US)

    ๐Ÿค– Is SpaceXโ€™s AI Being Valued At Zero?

    Thatโ€™s the big question facing SPCX as it keeps sliding postโ€‘IPO.

    โฐ The $100 Inflection Point:

    The idea that hitting $100 means SpaceXโ€™s AI business is worth zero comes directly from top Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas.

    At that price level, the market would effectively value all AI projects including Grok and the Cursor acquisition at absolutely nothing.

    โฐ Why The Doubt?

    Investors worry about the massive capital needed for AI infrastructure, especially compared to the proven cash flow from its Space & Starlink operations.

    โฐWhere It Stands Now:

    After peaking at $225.64, shares have fallen sharply to ~$110.85 (well below the $135 IPO price) .

    โฐ More Supply Coming:

    Coming 6 August brings the first major lockโ€‘up expiry, releasing up to 911.5 million shares. It is effectively doubling current free float and adding more pressure.

    Even so, Morgan Stanley stays bullish with a $300 price target, calling current levels an attractive entry point.

    They point to recent wins like the 13th Starship test flight and next yearโ€™s NASA moon mission as proof execution stays firmly on track.

    Is the market overreacting or has the AI hype run too far ahead? ๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ๐Ÿค”

    Post-IPO High $225 SpaceX at the Brink๏ผš The AI Valuation Crisis Below $135 Debut
  • H
    Hardik Shah

    ๐Ÿ“ข ๐‰๐”๐’๐“ ๐ˆ๐: IDF and Oaktree Invest $1.7 Billion in Bloom Energy AI Power Project - $Nebius(NBIS.US) $Bloom Energy(BE.US)

    ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐‡๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ๐ฌ:

    โžค ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐… and ๐Ž๐š๐ค๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž announce ๐’๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ• ๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง AI infrastructure investment.

    โžค Project will deploy ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐ฆ ๐„๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ฒ fuel cell technology.

    โžค Power will serve ๐๐ž๐›๐ข๐ฎ๐ฌ'๐ฌ AI cloud infrastructure.

    โžค ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐… leads project development with ๐Ž๐š๐ค๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž as minority equity investor.

    โžค ๐Œ๐จ๐ซ๐ ๐š๐ง ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ง๐ฅ๐ž๐ฒ acted as sole tax equity investor and placement agent.

    โžค ๐Œ๐”๐…๐† ๐๐š๐ง๐ค provided senior debt financing.

    โžค Project delivers dedicated ๐›๐ž๐ก๐ข๐ง๐-๐ญ๐ก๐ž-๐ฆ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ซ power for AI operations.

    โžค IDF and Bloom have developed over ๐’๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ” ๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง in projects together.

    โžค ๐Ž๐š๐ค๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž managed ๐’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’ ๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ง in assets as of March 31, 2026.

    ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ญ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ:

    ๐€๐ฆ๐š๐ง ๐‰๐จ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข, Chief Commercial Officer of Bloom Energy:

    "AI infrastructure customers need more than innovative technology. They also need a path to finance and deploy power rapidly. Our collaboration with IDF demonstrates how institutional capital can help accelerate the build-out of AI infrastructure."

    ๐๐ข๐ค ๐๐ฎ๐ง๐ž๐ฌ, CEO of IDF:

    "meet the energy demands of the AI economy."

    ๐€๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ง ๐๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง, Managing Director of Oaktree:

    "confidence in Bloom's fuel cell technology"

  • K
    Kellyk310

    the bank prints i'm most curious about are $Goldman Sachs(GS.US) and Morgan Stanley (reporting Wednesday), because the investment banking and trading rebound should finally show up in the numbers. dealmaking woke up and market volatility is a trading tailwind. if IB revenue surprises, the capital-markets names have room to run. small position in GS, watching Wednesday for MS to confirm the theme.