iShares Expanded Tech Software Sector ETF

IGV
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  • A
    amit

    pretty weird way to start off the last trading week of September, but then again every week has been very weird with what’s happening in the macro.

    - 10yr jumps to 5.27%, 52 week high

    - $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) announces $150 buyback and pumps

    - $Meta Platforms(META.US) announces a new AI enterprise business platform and poached the $MongoDB(MDB.US) CEO

    - $SpaceX(SPCX.US) completes the first revenue generating Orbital launch for Starship

    then after market open…

    - semis all dump except $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) meaning the confidence of the buyback didn’t extend into the broader sector

    - $Meta Platforms(META.US) dumps 5% on what should be very bullish news for them bringing agents to the enterprise but the semis ALSO dump even though more business agents = more compute so that was weird

    - $IGV dumps because Meta is now getting into the enterprise so your software names get hit, but the thing creating the hit (Meta) is down and semis which should benefit from Meta are also down when they usually are up when SaaS is down

    - then $SpaceX(SPCX.US) loses all momentum and seemingly takes $Tesla(TSLA.US) down with it today

    no trend or sector trend, just confusion across the board but still a relatively resilient market as $SPY has spent 40 sessions not down 1% or more and even with yields up, the market is not giving out which speaks to how strong the earnings story continues to be.

    Source: amit

  • T
    trade carefully

    bond yield up, should I switch from the stock market to the bond market ?

    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张
  • W
    win win

    Bond's yield up, meaning bond's trade price drop. correct me if I am wrong

    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张
  • 升
    升烟

    The ultimate driver of long-term US Treasury yields is the US fiscal deficit. The so-called widening risk spreads and high corporate debt levels are all built on this fertile ground of US deficits.

    Is there a solution?

    This comes down to whether we face a soft or hard landing.

    If it's a soft landing, the USD needs to depreciate and rates must come down. Right now, it's like having cancer but also suffering from food poisoning—let's handle the emergency first and deal with the chemotherapy later.

    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张
  • T
    trade carefully

    which sticks will benefit?

    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张
  • N
    NewUser_ThinkSwim

    Not many actions in the short term as macro it is not good and micro can be manipulated with posts from news or lawsuits that might come from software or semiconductor sectors in relation to AI. So DCA slowly into both IGV Mags if you believe software stocks will win and betting on soxx for the semiconductor sector with AI factors aiding growth to the companies.

    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张
  • E
    EvO

    10 year treasury yield has risen but US economy is on growth phase esp extraordinary demand from AI related. Hence, how high can the US stock market continue to rally will depends on each quarter earnings report and of course the economic data. Volatility is to be expected as always.

    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张
  • P
    PinkySheepy

    Yields climbing above 5% and substantial issuance are expanding credit spreads, redirecting capital from long-duration AI hardware toward cash-generative software as profit pools move downstream to applications.

    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张
  • N
    NewUser_hCn26

    Surging 10-year yields and widening credit spreads create dual pressure across markets, but the impact is far from uniform. High discount rates naturally compress high-multiple semiconductor valuations after an extended run. Meanwhile, capital rotation into mission-critical software highlights a crucial evolution: investors are becoming far more selective, prioritizing resilient cash flows over capex-heavy AI hardware infrastructure.

    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张
  • K
    koolgal

    Is It Time to Buy IGV and sell SOXX?

    "Buy IGV $iShares Expanded Tech Software Sector ETF(IGV.US)and sell SOXX$iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX.US)" trend is a temporary interest rate driven rotation. Trying to dance between hardware and software sectors during a bond market panic is not a good move.

    Why?

    While it is true that software delivered its strongest single day performance against chipmakers in 25 years, this is not the death of silicon. The extreme cash generation from data center buildouts is still backing semiconductor fundamentals. Software applications can only grow as fast as the hardware chips allow them to compute.

    While tech valuations drop when the 10 year Treasury yield hit over 5%, SOXX $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX.US)has already undergone a massive valuation reset down to 20x forward earnings. It is no longer dangerously overpriced.

    The Bottom Line

    Don't get caught in Wall Street's daily musical chairs. Ignore the temporary software vs hardware rotation headlines. Continue to dollar cost average into QQQM $Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF(QQQM.US) is the way to go for the long term investor.

    It is time in the market that counts, not timing the market.

    FSM L 文A Never stop trying. Never stop believing. Never give up. Your moment wilLong image
    C
    Captain's Compass
    🎁[Reward] Higher Yields, Wider Divide: Stricter On Hardware Stocks?

    The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5%, the highest since 2007. The Fed is hiking again, oil is above $105, and AI infrastructure companies are borrowing heavily — competing with Treasuries for ...

    Spread vs. Us Benchmark Bond-10 Year ICE BofA US High Yield (Right) 一 350 340 33
    Average annual infrastructure spending as a percentage of GDP Telecom Canals Rai
    图片 3,共 3 张